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Originally posted by Robin Marks
reply to post by thorella
The largest quake was 4.7 magnitude on Feb. 27.
At the moment I am trying to calm myself down. I have been debating whether I should speculate on what I am seeing. I agree there seems to be something building.
Two reasons. The regular intervals of quakes around the 2 magnitude range. And now there are more and more smaller ones under 1.5 magnitude.
They've just listed another 2.4.
Originally posted by Robin Marks
reply to post by thorella
The largest quake was 4.7 magnitude on Feb. 27.
At the moment I am trying to calm myself down. I have been debating whether I should speculate on what I am seeing. I agree there seems to be something building.
Two reasons. The regular intervals of quakes around the 2 magnitude range. And now there are more and more smaller ones under 1.5 magnitude.
They've just listed another 2.4.
Originally posted by HadEnough
reply to post by kentuckycowboy2
My very best, non-expert, purely spectator guess, would be that your feeling some of the waves from Japan, or other quakes going on around the world. In my above post, I linked an article stating that Japan has moved by 8 feet. Once again, I am on the opposite end of the spectrum from expert, but if there is that much movement over there, it's going to affect things everywhere. The Gulf of California has had several decently sized quakes since Japan started up. And as far as the USGS site goes.. they are under reporting things. I have even seen large events posted, then later gone without a trace. If something happened by you that was less than a 2, they probably won't report it anyways (because under normal circumstances most people don't feel it, so they think they can keep in all 'hush-hush.')
CROWLEY: The magnitude of this quake is hard to comprehend. A U.S. Geological Survey scientist told CNN that the quake moved the main island of Japan eight feet and shifted the earth on it's axis nearly four inches. Here to discuss how countries like Japan can manage national disasters, James Lee Witt, former FEMA director and now CEO of a crisis management firm that worked on the reconstruction after the Indian ocean tsunami.
Mr. Witt, thank you for joining us. Right now in Japan, the essential work is about trying to find people. What are they up against and what are you -- what are they worried about at this point? I have to guess it's running out of time.
JAMES LEE WITT, FRM. FEMA DIRECTOR: Well, the first 72 hours is really important. But of course, search and rescue teams that are in there now and the Japanese military and American military, those teams going in there with the dogs, the biggest concern is debris and also buildings that have partially collapsed. The safety of those teams, you know, they have engineers with them. And they will be looking at that as well. But also trying to get as many people out that they can when they find them.
CROWLEY: Now, we are told over and over again that Japan, there's no country on earth that exceeds Japan in its preparedness for earthquakes, first of all, because they have so many of them, but as well for emergencies. And yet we look and we are looking at some devastating numbers here.
What is the lesson? Is it that you cannot prepare for anything this big or is it that Japan was not quite there in terms of preparedness? What's your take?
WITT: Well, you know, Candy, after the Kobe earthquake, President Clinton sent me over there. What happens, Japanese government has some the most stringent seismic earthquake codes as anyone. But the thing of it is in Japan as well as the United States we have inherited a traditional stock of buildings that were built before the new seismic codes and getting those buildings retrofitted is to me at least life safety is very important.
But they have buildings, as well as we do, that are not up to the type of code they need to be.
CROWLEY: Well then let me bring you here to the U.S. because I think in general, the American people look at what's happening in Japan and it seems like something that could happen to Japan, but not something that could happen here in the U.S. it's just such a huge magnitude. What are the possibilities here in the U.S.? Because I know some of this must have kept you up late at night as FEMA director.
WITT: Yeah, it did. And the thing of it is here in the United States, particularly California, Oregon and Washington state, and even in Arkansas, and even in the city of New York has earthquake fault, so 1811, 1812 in Arkansas, the New Madrid fault, we had an 8.0 earthquake. It rang the bells on the churches in Boston. And right now we found a new fault in Arkansas, they call it the Guy fault, that just recently had a 5.8 and they're having like hundreds a day of smaller quakes. And that fault line's getting bigger.
But it was an unknown fault line. And we wouldn't have the tsunami possibility unless it's on the west coast and out in the ocean which could create one, but in Japan and here, they also have all of the warning systems, the buoys out there that would identify a tsunami very quickly. And they could evacuate.
But in Japan right now, that's massive debris and destruction. And it's going to take a while.
CROWLEY: Well, you bring up the New Madrid fault lines. Do you think -- are you confident that should there be -- and I think a lot of people believe the New Madrid at some point is going to lead to a big earthquake. Are we ready? Are the buildings secure? I mean, what is the potential here? What are we learning in Japan that applies here?
WITT; Well, back when I was director in Arkansas for President Clinton, then governor, we passed legislation for seismic building codes in Arkansas. And one of the most important things was to build the bridges that would be earthquake resistant. But we still have an awful lot of buildings that were built before these codes were put in place. And so that concerns me a great deal. Schools, you know, older buildings, public buildings, that were built out of concrete blocks. And you know, they would be in danger.
CROWLEY: James Lee Witt, thank you so much for your time. We appreciate it this morning.