Monster Storm Bears Down On Australia

Originally posted by HunkaHunka

Originally posted by OzWeatherman
reply to post by backinblack

 

Whatever, im done with you

Personally Im predicting the winds to not exceed 260km/h....im not in QLD severe weather, but thats my own prediction

A wager of some kind would make it interesting.

Perhaps the loser of the debate has to point it out in their signature or something.

What's the wager??
All I've done is post stuff said by his mates at BOM.....

Personally I'm not against anyone hyping this event up if it means people will listen and get out of there or prepare for the worst...

reply to post by plexus


Now i feel bad, as per my previous post to ozweatherman....

Although in saying that do people bother to check ATS for headlines that are already posted...

Also good to see the OP has kept the thread upto date - have they even posted a comment since the first post??

Back to topic:

TC Technical Bulletin:

The latest imagery shows Yasi as very symmetric showing a well defined eye with
surrounding deep convection. Dvorak intensity: Eye pattern white surround [6.0]
with OW/W [0.5] eye adjustment giving DT=6.5, adj. MET=6.0. FT/CI=6.5. Max winds
estimated at 110 knots [205 km/h] [AMSU/SATCON estimates at 125kn [1min]].
Surface observations indicate hurricane force winds extend about 50 nm [95 km]
to the southwest of the track.

At 0600UTC [16:00EST] Yasi was just 120nm from the coast and with a steady 19
knot WSW movement, landfall is estimated at about 1300UTC [23:00EST] with the
intensity maintained at category 5.

Full Bulletin

Webcam from the Cairns CBD

www.ustream.tv...

Lets see how long it stays functional.

pffft man were aussies. we eat category 5 storms for breakfast. we deal with salt water crocks killer frogs snakes spiders rays jelly fish and a multitude of other things than can kill us on this continent. 'She'll be right , mate!"

regardless what happens we will pick up the pieces and move forward, thats what we do. this country was built on hard ship and we are the decedents of migrants and criminals = harder than a coffin nail. Just ask any armed forces that does joint military maneuvers with the aussy navy air force or army. we never give up.

Originally posted by Havick007
Also good to see the OP has kept the thread upto date

- have they even posted a comment since the first post??

edit on 2-2-2011 by Havick007 because: (no reason given)

I think its the middle of the night in the UK.

Plus why would a Pom stay up to see their cricket team get flogged in real time.

reply to post by Krusty the Klown


oh yeah good point... duh

Yeah although they will brag about the ashes...

reply to post by Havick007


it's cool.. hopefully as we start approaching zero hour people will stop bickering and start contributing relevant information.

I mean, people are taking bets on wind speed and the size of their e-penis while tens of thousands of people won't know if they have a life to come back to tomorrow.

In the meantime, here's another webcam - www.ustream.tv...

reply to post by OzWeatherman

Thankyou!!!! Finally someone that actually gets what Im saying

Oh we get what ya saying mate, just some cant get their head out of their a$$, your a highly regarded member on here OZ thanks for the updates and knowledge its appreciated dont give up

La Nina for all the doomsayers, Australia has got cyclones since the cows come home, you think they had HAARP 100 + years or more ( as far as records show), where's global warming back then , get a grip we don't need your crap, its mother nature at her best and you got to love her for the power

Stay safe fellow Australians where worried about you

Wal

reply to post by OzWeatherman


I just saw a weather guru on the television and he was saying that as the cyclone passes the Great Barrier Reef that the warm waters (due to global warming) would fuel Yasi to go even faster and, therefore, by time it hits landfall the cyclone would have intensified. What are your views on this?

Originally posted by Krusty the Klown
Webcam from the Cairns CBD

www.ustream.tv...

Lets see how long it stays functional.

Have had this feed open a couple of minutes only, and already I saw what was a strong wind turn into a very strong wind, and it is getting stronger.

Live feed from a bunch of guys who are actually chasing the storm in a car.. but also

www.ustream.tv...

Join us on U stream for our storm chasing adventures. Please feel free to join up and chat with us while we're on the road. We'd love to hear from you.


---------------------------------------------

Cairns feed (maybe a dupelicate)

Have to say, with as serious as is starting to get, the cheering section in chat for that pink towel, is going strong.

reply to post by Australiana


el nino has a greater effect than climate change, not global warming.

I would be very doubtful tropical waters around the barrier reef would alter anything, barrier reef isn't the only tropical climate, most of the entire top end from east to west is.

Cyclones usually get worse around land fall anyway, probably changes in precipitation and winds.

Originally posted by backinblack


Obviously you just alter what YOU say anyway...

Mate, he's a weatherman what do you expect

In the UK they've been even more wrong than usual this year, I think all their historical comparisons data is useless now because of climate change and the comparative lack of sun spots, it's like they're playing blind mans bluff now.

Originally posted by LadySkadi
Cairns feed (maybe a dupelicate)

Have to say, with as serious as is starting to get, the cheering section in chat for that pink towel, is going strong.

Oh you mean chuck?
I was Ziggy1890 in the chat. Been there for a few hours but left because I need sleep.
We've had some pretty funny moments there I gotta add.
"CAR!"

reply to post by plexus


I have been trying to explain that to people as well, now with La-Nina... thats what was the supposed cause of the floods.

La Niña is a coupled ocean-atmosphere phenomenon that is the counterpart of El Niño as part of the broader El Niño-Southern Oscillation climate pattern. During a period of La Niña, the sea surface temperature across the equatorial Eastern Central Pacific Ocean will be lower than normal by 3–5 °C. In the United States, an episode of La Niña is defined as a period of at least 5 months of La Niña conditions. The name La Niña originates from Spanish, meaning "the girl", analogous to El Niño meaning "the boy".

Source - Wiki

Originally posted by Thepreye

Originally posted by backinblack


Obviously you just alter what YOU say anyway...

Mate, he's a weatherman what do you expect

In the UK they've been even more wrong than usual this year, I think all their historical comparisons data is useless now because of climate change and the comparative lack of sun spots, it's like they're playing blind mans bluff now.

Well he said he's done with me, yet everything I posted came from his mates at BOM..
What can I say?

reply to post by LadySkadi


Thats classic!

When you mentioned pink towel i had a feeling that was what i was gonna see on the feed before i clicked it.

I give it another hour at the most!

Edit: oh njo i just lost the feed, when it comes back i bet the towel is gone...

All I can say is good luck, and hang on tight.

I was on Okinawa when we got hit by a Super Typhoon that :

1. Broke the anenometer after a gust of 185 knots.

2. Sailed a massive radar dish into the South China Sea.

3. Took about 20 maintenance stands we cabled together and tied down with 3/8" braided steel cable attached to anchors sunk 4' deep in concrete to join the dish, anchors and all.

One memorable moment...actually about an hour, came when one guy had a nicotene fit (we'd long since run out of smokes) attempted to go to the next barracks to bum a smoke. It took him about an hour to traverse the distance between the two barracks (normally about a 30-second journey), most of which time he spent doing a pretty fair imitation of a fluttering flag while clinging to a tree for dear life.

So hang on, guys, it can't last more than a few days.

Uhhh, and whatever you do...DON"T go out for cigarettes!

Here's the Live Webcam in QLD:


www.ustream.tv...