It looks like you're using an Ad Blocker.
Please white-list or disable AboveTopSecret.com in your ad-blocking tool.
Thank you.
Some features of ATS will be disabled while you continue to use an ad-blocker.
NOAA forecasters estimate a 60% chance of polar geomagnetic storms on Feb. 3rd. They say a high-speed solar wind stream and a CME could hit Earth's magnetic field on Wednesday--a double whammy almost certain to spark some degree of geomagnetic activity
Bureau Of Meteorlogy ( BOM ) - updated 08:50pm EST / 09:50pm ESDT
[atsimg]http://files.abovetopsecret.com/images/member/4454c612e5d9.gif[/atsimg]
IDQP0005
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
Media: Transmitters serving the area from Cape Flattery to Sarina and inland to
the Northern Territory border are requested to USE the Standard Emergency
Warning Signal before broadcasting the following warning.
TOP PRIORITY
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 21
Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane
Issued at 8:50pm EST on Wednesday the 2nd of February 2011
A Cyclone WARNING is current for coastal and island communities from Cape
Flattery to Sarina, extending west across the tropical interior to the Northern
Territory border.
At 9:00 pm EST Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi, Category 5 was estimated to be 145
kilometres east southeast of Cairns and 110 kilometres east of Innisfail and
moving west southwest at 25 kilometres per hour.
THE VERY DESTRUCTIVE CORE OF CYCLONE YASI WILL CROSS THE COAST NEAR INNISFAIL
CLOSE TO MIDNIGHT, WITH A DANGEROUS STORM TIDE AND BATTERING WAVES SOUTH OF THE
CYCLONE CENTRE.
Tropical Cyclone Yasi, CATEGORY 5, will continue to move in a west-southwesterly
direction and is expected to cross the coast near Innisfail close to midnight.
Coastal residents between Cairns and Ayr are specifically warned of an EXTREMELY
DANGEROUS SEA LEVEL RISE [i.e. storm tide] as the cyclone approaches, crosses
the coast and moves inland.
Higher than normal tides will exceed the high water mark with damaging waves and
flooding in low lying areas in remaining warning areas to the south of Ayr.
VERY DESTRUCTIVE winds with gusts up to 290 km/h are expected to develop between
Cairns and Ingham during the next few hours as the cyclone approaches. These
VERY DESTRUCTIVE winds will extend inland to the nearby ranges including the
Atherton Tablelands.
Due to the large size of the cyclone, people in the path of the VERY DESTRUCTIVE
WINDS are likely to experience these conditions for about 3 to 4 hours.
DESTRUCTIVE winds with gusts in excess of 125 km/h between Cape Tribulation and
Ayr are expected to spread inland overnight.
Full Bulletin
[atsimg]http://files.abovetopsecret.com/images/member/51e48542997e.jpg[/atsimg]
[atsimg]http://files.abovetopsecret.com/images/member/7ebd629bcbd4.gif[/atsimg]
Updated: 10:32UDT
BOM Tech Bulletin:
IDQ20018
TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN: AUSTRALIA - EASTERN REGION
Issued by BRISBANE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE
at: 0633 UTC 02/02/2011
Name: Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi
Identifier: 14U
Data At: 0600 UTC
Latitude: 17.1S
Longitude: 148.1E
Location Accuracy: within 15 nm [30 km]
Movement Towards: west southwest [248 deg]
Speed of Movement: 19 knots [35 km/h]
Maximum 10-Minute Wind: 110 knots [205 km/h]
Maximum 3-Second Wind Gust: 155 knots [285 km/h]
Central Pressure: 930 hPa
Radius of 34-knot winds NE quadrant: 190 nm [350 km]
Radius of 34-knot winds SE quadrant: 240 nm [445 km]
Radius of 34-knot winds SW quadrant: 170 nm [315 km]
Radius of 34-knot winds NW quadrant: 140 nm [260 km]
Radius of 48-knot winds NE quadrant: 80 nm [150 km]
Radius of 48-knot winds SE quadrant: 120 nm [220 km]
Radius of 48-knot winds SW quadrant: 100 nm [185 km]
Radius of 48-knot winds NW quadrant: 60 nm [110 km]
Radius of 64-knot winds: 40 nm [70 km]
Radius of Maximum Winds: 15 nm [30 km]
Dvorak Intensity Code: T6.5/6.5/D1.5/24HRS STT: D0.5/6HRS
Pressure of outermost isobar: 1002 hPa
Radius of outermost closed isobar: 240 nm [445 km]
Storm Depth: Deep
FORECAST DATA
Date/Time : Location : Loc. Accuracy: Max Wind : Central Pressure
[UTC] : degrees : nm [km]: knots[km/h]: hPa
+12: 02/1800: 18.6S 144.5E: 045 [085]: 085 [155]: 951
+24: 03/0600: 19.9S 141.3E: 075 [140]: 045 [085]: 984
+36: 03/1800: 21.1S 138.6E: 110 [205]: 030 [055]: 992
+48: 04/0600: 22.1S 136.4E: 140 [260]: 025 [045]: 996
+60: 04/1800: 23.0S 134.7E: 185 [345]: 025 [045]: 996
+72: 05/0600: 23.7S 133.9E: 230 [425]: 025 [045]: 996
REMARKS:
The latest imagery shows Yasi as very symmetric showing a well defined eye with
surrounding deep convection. Dvorak intensity: Eye pattern white surround [6.0]
with OW/W [0.5] eye adjustment giving DT=6.5, adj. MET=6.0. FT/CI=6.5. Max winds
estimated at 110 knots [205 km/h] [AMSU/SATCON estimates at 125kn [1min]].
Surface observations indicate hurricane force winds extend about 50 nm [95 km]
Full Bulletin
Forecast Track Map - Issued at 8:54 pm EST Wednesday 2 February 2011.
[atsimg]http://files.abovetopsecret.com/images/member/c2c1086f78a9.gif[/atsimg]
THE VERY DESTRUCTIVE CORE OF CYCLONE YASI WILL CROSS THE COAST NEAR INNISFAIL CLOSE TO MIDNIGHT, WITH A DANGEROUS STORM TIDE AND BATTERING WAVES SOUTH OF THE CYCLONE CENTRE.
Tropical Cyclone Yasi, CATEGORY 5, will continue to move in a west-southwesterly direction and is expected to cross the coast near Innisfail close to midnight.
Coastal residents between Cairns and Ayr are specifically warned of an EXTREMELY DANGEROUS SEA LEVEL RISE [i.e. storm tide] as the cyclone approaches, crosses the coast and moves inland.
Higher than normal tides will exceed the high water mark with damaging waves and flooding in low lying areas in remaining warning areas to the south of Ayr.
VERY DESTRUCTIVE winds with gusts up to 290 km/h are expected to develop between Cairns and Ingham during the next few hours as the cyclone approaches. These VERY DESTRUCTIVE winds will extend inland to the nearby ranges including the Atherton Tablelands.
Due to the large size of the cyclone, people in the path of the VERY DESTRUCTIVE WINDS are likely to experience these conditions for about 3 to 4 hours.
DESTRUCTIVE winds with gusts in excess of 125 km/h between Cape Tribulation and Ayr are expected to spread inland overnight.
DAMAGING WINDS with gusts to 90 km/hr are occurring in remaining coastal areas between Cape Flattery and Sarina, and are forecast to spread inland and west to Mt Isa during Thursday.
Winds are forecast to gradually ease about the east coast during Thursday morning as the cyclone moves inland.
FLOODING RAINS will develop from Cooktown to Sarina tonight and gradually extend inland.
People in the path of the very dangerous cyclone should stay calm and remain in a secure shelter, above the expected water level, while the very destructive winds continue.
- Do not venture outside if you find yourself in the eye of the cyclone; very destructive winds from a different direction could resume at any time.
- Follow the evacuation advice or directions of Police, Emergency Services personnel and local authorities.
More Information
News Updates:
Ninemsn AU
Queenslanders prepare for dark, lonely night
A nemsn reader is one of many Queenslanders taking shelter in their bathrooms as the monstrous category five Cyclone Yasi bears down.
Jacki, who did not want her full name published, is one of about 20 people bunkering down in Rydges Hotel on Palmer Street in Townsville together with six staff.
"We've been told to move into the bathroom after 9pm," Jacki told ninemsn.
"We've been basically told that regardless of what we hear we're not allowed to leave and just to stay in our room."
Jacki said she expected that power in the hotel would go out soon and the lights were flickering.
"It's going to be a very dark and a long night in the bathroom," she said.
The Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) is predicting Yasi will cross the coast as a severe category five cyclone at around midnight (AEST).
Authorities have warned of widespread power outages as Cyclone Yasi crosses land, with a weather station that sat in the storm's path already wiped out.
Looking out her hotel window Jacki said the wind was growing stronger and "the trees are just moving all over the place".
Full Story
-------------
Bigpond News AU
Yasi travels slower but still category 5 - Wednesday, February 02, 2011 » 10:14pm
[atsimg]http://files.abovetopsecret.com/images/member/c38512f8df28.jpg[/atsimg]
Cyclone Yasi is travelling across the sea at a much slower speed but it will still arrive at midnight Queensland time as a category 5 monster, according to the latest Bureau of Meteorology (BoM) report.
The BoM's 8pm (AEST) warning states that Cyclone Yasi is now travelling at 26km/h and is estimated to be 135km east north-east of Innisfail and 165km east of Cairns.
It is moving in a west south-west direction and almost 10 kilometres slower than at 6pm and is generating wind gusts up to 285km/h.
"We've been told not to open our window but if you do open the window you can definitely hear it," she said.
Full Story
Originally posted by Havick007
reply to post by plexus
I wanna voice how annoyed i am that your post is getting starred for your updates....
Why do i bother spending 10 minutes on a post, gathering multiple sources, saving and uploading images to make the post more interesting and informative and no one seems to care....
Perhaps i should just give up. Maybe a 2 minute copy and paste is of better quality...............edit on 2-2-2011 by Havick007 because: (no reason given)