Quake Watch 2011

reply to post by mizd18


Do you have a location map or know the exact area?

How strong are the quakes?

MAP 2.6 2011/03/19 03:17:31 33.456 -116.442 44.4 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

MAP 3.0 2011/03/19 01:31:15 32.234 -115.164 0.1 BAJA CALIFORNIA

USGS only showing these 2. Baja sure was shallow.

I'm pretty new at this - so this is what I was watching

quakes.globalincidentmap.com...

reply to post by zenius


There is very little publicly available around Tonga.

The closest I can find are on this temporary page I have just put up.

qvsdata.wordpress.com...

I will fix the menu in case you forget the link. It will be on Links By Country shortly.

The last thing I want to be doing right now is writing. But I am compelled. To be honest, California is always a mess. The same with Alaska and the entire Ring of Fire. I've been watching the world-wide quakes for two years. I think I've got a handle on the basic norms. Starting on around March 6, apogee. The larger quakes began showing up. It had been relatively quiet prior to the new moon. Activity started gradually increasing. The 9.0 Japanese earthquake happened on the 11th, but the plate started moving before that. The first of the precursory quakes started early on the 9th. The plate didn't exactly start moving on the 9th, it's always moving. So something critical could have changed before the 9th.

Since the Japanese main shock, I've noticed a pattern. The earthquakes in the United States especially, have been moving inland and to the east. And quakes are popping up in some not so usual areas. New Hampshire. Ohio. Maybe Florida???? One in Canada on a big fault. California is very active. But so is Alaska. And the quakes in Alaska are also moving inland and migrating. It would seem the Japanese quake has activated the Pacific Platea and the Juan de Fuca Plate, and they are being thrust under North America. I see obivous triggering.

And that's not all. It appears the Indian Plate is migrating as well. I've been paying special attention to Asia and have noticed three main stress point to the north of India. Ajzerbijan had a mud volcano eruption as well. Puterman disagrees with me because he thinks the distances involved are too great. Even with the massive energy of the main shock and aftershocks, he thinks this would not be enough to trigger a mud volcano so far away. The experts think the same. And well, I would say they are correct. The Japenese quake didn't not directly trigger the mud volcano. Nor did the 9 pointer trigger the other Asian quakes directly. There are several factors. But the Indian Plate on the move would trigger the mainland quakes and cause localized increased activity.

In my nakes eyes, and confessing I am an amatuer, I see lots of worldwide plate movement and strange coincidental epicenters. But I don't believe in coincidences. Nothing happens in complete isolation.

The moon and water are key factors. You can't look at an earthquake and only think of the dirt. There's liquification. Remember, the earthquake did not kill many people in Japan. The event it triggered did the most damage. The waves. Earthquakes cause waves in the rock and in the ocean. The moon causes waves in the oceans and in the groundwater. These are called tides. There is an incredible dynamic between our moon and the sun and our blue world. This dance drives the whole process. To look at one aspect and not understand the whole is to miss the most crucial point of order.

I'm not saying all hell is going to break loose. I can't even say anything major will happen under the full moon. It's not that simple or predictable. But it is like the weather, you can forecast, but you can never fully guage the storm's intesity or direction. You can only observe and try to use educated guesses to test your hypothesis and see if your models hold up to the scrutiny that reality and real events provide.

I hope this helps. I need rest. I'm not at my best. I think too much.

reply to post by crazydaisy

Saturday March 19 2011, 04:42:41 UTC 7 minutes ago Southern California 1.8 6.6
Saturday March 19 2011, 04:28:48 UTC 15 minutes ago Baja California, Mexico 1.9 19.9
Saturday March 19 2011, 03:50:19 UTC 43 minutes ago Northern California 1.0 3.2
Saturday March 19 2011, 03:41:55 UTC 52 minutes ago Southern California 2.1 4.8
Saturday March 19 2011, 03:32:36 UTC 61 minutes ago Southern California 1.6 7.0
Saturday March 19 2011, 03:31:34 UTC 62 minutes ago Southern California 1.2 4.5
Saturday March 19 2011, 03:30:43 UTC 63 minutes ago Southern California 1.2 7.4
Saturday March 19 2011, 03:29:39 UTC 64 minutes ago Southern California 1.3 7.8
Saturday March 19 2011, 03:28:24 UTC 65 minutes ago Southern California 1.2 4.6
Saturday March 19 2011, 03:24:02 UTC 69 minutes ago Southern California 1.1 6.9
Saturday March 19 2011, 03:23:42 UTC 70 minutes ago Southern California 1.6 8.6
Saturday March 19 2011, 03:22:46 UTC 71 minutes ago Southern California 1.2 9.1
Saturday March 19 2011, 03:22:37 UTC 71 minutes ago Southern California 1.3 13.4
Saturday March 19 2011, 03:21:05 UTC 72 minutes ago Southern California 2.1 6.6
Saturday March 19 2011, 03:19:42 UTC 74 minutes ago Southern California 1.8 4.7
Saturday March 19 2011, 03:19:05 UTC 74 minutes ago Southern California 1.6 7.4
Saturday March 19 2011, 03:17:30 UTC 76 minutes ago Southern California 2.6 44.4
Saturday March 19 2011, 03:05:37 UTC 88 minutes ago Northern California 1.1

quakes.globalincidentmap.com...

I am not knowledgeable about earthquakes, but this seems wild to me. I know they are small but holy crap. Ive been watching this for the last week or so and I haven't seen this much activity. Is this a prelude to something? I'm not trying to fear monger here, i just have no clue.

(my times might be off, lots of cuts and pastes sorry)

I found this graph showing the frequency and acceleration of earthquakes from 1973-2006. This graph counts 7m and above, Worldwide. www.earth.webecs.co.uk...



DATES FROM & TO PERIOD NO. EARTHQUAKES (Mag. > 6.99)
--------------------------- ----------- ------------------------------
1863 to 1900 incl 38 yrs 12

1901 to 1938 incl 38 yrs 53
www.earth.webecs.co.uk...
1939 to 1976 incl 38 yrs 71
www.earth.webecs.co.uk...
1977 to 2014 incl * 38 yrs 164 (to Mar. 2011) predict >190 in total.
www.earth.webecs.co.uk...

Muzzy & Moo - I thought either of you would be reporting this one first! But then again, you might have more of a life on your Saturday nights then me!

4.0 30km south of Taupo


Universal Time March 19 2011 at 7:11
NZ Daylight Time Saturday, March 19 2011 at 8:11 pm
Latitude, Longitude 38.95°S, 176.21°E
Focal Depth 80 km
Richter magnitude 4.0
Region Taupo
Location
30 km south of Taupo
270 km south-east of Auckland

Originally posted by Shenon
Maybe our Quake Nerds would like to look into it

Did the Earth Shake in St. Augustine this Morning?

www.associatedcontent.com...

Found this info re: Fl quakes. It actually mentions the St. Augustine area. I thought I felt it too. At first I thought it was a freight train as I have racks not far away but no train. Weird.

reply to post by PuterMan


Where's the RAO.IU.10 BHZ located?
Thanks for the links. If they aren't available to the public, how do you get them?

Originally posted by Robin Marks
The moon and water are key factors. You can't look at an earthquake and only think of the dirt. There's liquification. Remember, the earthquake did not kill many people in Japan. The event it triggered did the most damage. The waves. Earthquakes cause waves in the rock and in the ocean. The moon causes waves in the oceans and in the groundwater. These are called tides. There is an incredible dynamic between our moon and the sun and our blue world. This dance drives the whole process. To look at one aspect and not understand the whole is to miss the most crucial point of order.

I'm not saying all hell is going to break loose. I can't even say anything major will happen under the full moon. It's not that simple or predictable. But it is like the weather, you can forecast, but you can never fully guage the storm's intesity or direction. You can only observe and try to use educated guesses to test your hypothesis and see if your models hold up to the scrutiny that reality and real events provide.

I hope this helps. I need rest. I'm not at my best. I think too much.

edit on 18-3-2011 by Robin Marks because: (no reason given)

I think you are right about the moon and water. I was reading on one of the NASA links about the SuperMoon (and I can't find the link I was reading) which was stating that the highest tides will be two or three days after the 19th, so just maybe the EQ's will do the same? Just a thought...

Has anyone seen this one yet?
Magnitude: 5.9
Location: near the east coast of Honshu, Japan

Time: Sat, 19 Mar 2011 09:56:51 GMT
GMT: Sat, 19 Mar 2011 09:56:51 GMT

Latitude: 36° 51' 19" N (36.8554°)
Longitude: 140° 19' 51" E (140.3311°)
Depth: 24.7 km

Sky news are reporting it as a 6.1
Is this on a different fault, different earthquake or part of the aftershocks?

reply to post by Tzavros


A bit hard to tell as it's not on Google earth yet, but USG has it placed on the land about half way between Tokyo & Sendai

* This event has been reviewed by a seismologist.

Magnitude 6.1
Date-Time

* Saturday, March 19, 2011 at 09:56:51 UTC
* Saturday, March 19, 2011 at 06:56:51 PM at epicenter
* Time of Earthquake in other Time Zones

Location 36.810°N, 140.375°E
Depth 24.9 km (15.5 miles)
Region NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
Distances 52 km (32 miles) NE of Utsunomiya, Honshu, Japan
53 km (32 miles) WSW of Iwaki, Honshu, Japan
56 km (34 miles) NNW of Mito, Honshu, Japan
140 km (86 miles) NNE of TOKYO, Japan
Location Uncertainty horizontal +/- 13 km (8.1 miles); depth +/- 0.2 km (0.1 miles)
Parameters NST=487, Nph=493, Dmin=197 km, Rmss=0.64 sec, Gp= 32°,
M-type=centroid moment magnitude (Mw), Version=9
Source

* USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)

Event ID usc00026q2usgs


ETA google earth have it on land also, about 50km west of Iwaki

Magnitude
6.1
Date-Time
Saturday, March 19, 2011 at 09:56:51 UTC
Saturday, March 19, 2011 at 06:56:51 PM at epicenter
Time of Earthquake in other Time Zones
Location
36.810°N, 140.375°E
Depth
24.9 km (15.5 miles)
Region
NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
Distances
52 km (32 miles) NE of Utsunomiya, Honshu, Japan
53 km (32 miles) WSW of Iwaki, Honshu, Japan
56 km (34 miles) NNW of Mito, Honshu, Japan
140 km (86 miles) NNE of TOKYO, Japan
Location Uncertainty
horizontal +/- 13 km (8.1 miles); depth +/- 0.2 km (0.1 miles)
Parameters
NST=487, Nph=493, Dmin=197 km, Rmss=0.64 sec, Gp= 32°,
M-type=centroid moment magnitude (Mw), Version=9
Source
USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)
Event ID
usc00026q2


neic.usgs.gov...

reply to post by berkeleygal


That same area has been having multiple 5-6 mag EQ's everyday since the big one...
5.0+ Earthquakes March Worldwidr- PAST 7 days

reply to post by ltinycdancerg


If this series of quakes is along a separate fault line and they ate showing signs of increasing intensity, is this something that would be cause for concern?

I remember watching the quakes off the coast of Japan and mentioning to my wife that it seems like that quakes were getting stronger. I recall they were in the 4 range then the begun to be in the 5s and then there was that 7.2. So, if we see a similar pattern emerge along this separate fault line it could be indicative of another large quake on this other fault.

Well from what I've noticed, for every month in 2010-2009, there were earthquakes of 7.0+... except from January 18 to March 11... almost two months, not a single one 7.0+.. the earth needed a release... and a big one at that.

Been 8 days since the last 7.0+ earthquake. We should see a new one within the next 2-3 weeks max. Hopefully it's not in Japan again.

reply to post by jadedANDcynical


Basically yes. That 9.0 however was a monster and represents 97% of all the energy since the 7+ on the 9th.

The magnitudes seem to be settling down as well.

Graphics

Originally posted by zenius
reply to post by PuterMan

 

Where's the RAO.IU.10 BHZ located?
Thanks for the links. If they aren't available to the public, how do you get them?

Raoul, Kermedec Islands

No, these are publicly available. I don't have some special access

What I was meaning was that on Tonga itself there is nothing available to the public. I would imagine there are instruments, but we can't get at them.