Looks like you guys are having fun going back and forth. I have been so caught up with getting my four kids back to school this week and also with
work that I have not been on here as much as I would like. My apologies.
The point of this thread is study the sun, note any ongoing trends and events, and have some cool debate.
I am glad you guys are debating well, since there is just not too much going on with the sun right now.
Personally, I do not believe that the sun is going to nail us next week, nor in 2012.
While I have read and seen a number of 'theories' on catastrophic solar activity, nothing makes as much sense to me as actual scientific data.
According to NASA, a super powerful CME or X Flare can happen any time, with some 'times' having a greater chance than others. However, this solar
maximum is not one of them. They say it is going to be weaker than normal.
With that in mind, to me, prophecy regarding the sun zapping us like laser tag, is pointless. Completely pointless.
The reason for this is that I do believe that I am prepared as possible. If the sun erupts in a major, major, major way, paradigm shift. Ok, no
techonology and possibly a societal breakdown. My family already owns 80 private acres with my own water source in an isolated area that is ideal for
growing. I worked my tail off for years now, and I am an airborne army vet who loves guns and has lots.
The chance of the sun fragging us is remote, but always there. Education and knowledge is what can help. An example from the earlier posts is the
discussion covering solar flares. Yes, spot 1105 is crackling with energy right now, but none of it is strong. Here is a lesson on flares from
spaceweather.com:
The Classification of X-ray Solar Flares
or "Solar Flare Alphabet Soup"
A solar flare is an explosion on the Sun that happens when energy stored in twisted magnetic fields (usually above sunspots) is suddenly released.
Flares produce a burst of radiation across the electromagnetic spectrum, from radio waves to x-rays and gamma-rays. [more information]
Scientists classify solar flares according to their x-ray brightness in the wavelength range 1 to 8 Angstroms. There are 3 categories: X-class flares
are big; they are major events that can trigger planet-wide radio blackouts and long-lasting radiation storms. M-class flares are medium-sized; they
can cause brief radio blackouts that affect Earth's polar regions. Minor radiation storms sometimes follow an M-class flare. Compared to X- and
M-class events, C-class flares are small with few noticeable consequences here on Earth.
Each category for x-ray flares has nine subdivisions ranging from, e.g., C1 to C9, M1 to M9, and X1 to X9. In this figure, the three indicated flares
registered (from left to right) X2, M5, and X6. The X6 flare triggered a radiation storm around Earth nicknamed the Bastille Day event.
spaceweather.com...
__________________________________________
With that in mind, I look forward to everyone contributing on this post regardless of if you believe in Solar doom or not. I just wanted to give my
.0001 cents on the topic, and share some additional information about flares.
However, I do love hearing about any prophecy, and I think that a lot of us on ATS do as well. And I am also looking forward to watching the sun as
it becomes more active, which I do hope that happens soon, next week or whenever.
I really appreciate both the scientific, and non-scientific viewpoints.
To conclude, I simply believe that sun is absolutely amazing to study. I also believe that it is better to study the sun itself and be aware of what
it is doing in order to be prepared for anything, than to trust in any type of prophecy. For a number of reasons, I do believe that a major paradigm
shift might be coming soon, I just do not think it is coming from the sun.
But the sun sure is fun to watch, for whatever your reason!