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Originally posted by StargateSG7
Originally posted by Danbones
Remember how the south korean leader announced he was going to invade the north and the north reacted by attacking...
Loose lips and stupid claims can lead to bad things...like wars that don't end.
[edit on 22-7-2010 by Danbones]
---
With some significant experience in the sphere of
modern battlespaces, I can illustrate an event during
President Ronald Reagan's era from 1980 to 1988
during a NATO command exercise "Able Archer 83"
starting on November 2, 1983 that spanned 10 days over
almost all of Western Europe which very nearly caused
World War 3 because the then Soviet Union leadership
REALLY THOUGHT a nuclear first strike was imminent
from the western sphere.
At one point, a "Technical Operations Advance Briefing"
document was sent to Soviet field commanders giving ultimate
firing authority for nuclear assets to in-field command
personnel and NOT the higher ups. An attack from the
West was widely believed to occur within 36 hours
and at that time the Nuclear Missile submarines
of the Soviet Union were put on the alert
for general operational response standby.
See Weblink:
en.wikipedia.org...
The Soviet leadership were much, much more paranoid
than we were led to believe and it wasn't until the
post-Soviet era that the west was able to fully perceive
how close to a full 12 Gigaton Multi-city Nuclear
exchange we really were!
It can take ONE SINGLE COMMANDER to be overly paranoid
and order an in-field attack and then all hell breaks loose!
Conversely, it can also take only ONE PERSON to STOP WW3:
See:
Stanislav Yevgrafovich Petrov
en.wikipedia.org...
With regards to North Korea, the west is grotesquely
uninformed about the true state of mind within the
upper-level leadership. This means we CANNOT ASSUME
that our actions will NOT come without SERIOUS CONSEQUENCES !!!!
IF THERE IS ANY OFFICER OF ANY AGENCY READING THIS ATS POST
then I IMPLORE YOU to read about the BACKGROUND of
Able Archer 83 so that YOUR LEADERSHIP gains a better
understanding of the current state-of-mind of the NK leadership
WHICH NEEDS TO BE ASSESSED on a much deeper level.
Do Not Assume that the current paranoia is mere
Sabre-Rattling !!! When nutcases make threats they
usually INTEND to carry them out at SOME POINT
DOWN THE LINE !!!!
As a matter of policy, North Korea is MILITARILY STRONG
but economically WEAK and thus the potential for an
ACCIDENTAL EXPLOSION of the powderkeg that is the
Korean Penninsula is NOT TO BE UNDERESTIMATED !!!!!
That said...We MUST ALSO FOLLOW THE POLICY OF
RONALD REAGAN....Speak Softly but Carry a Very, Very Big Stick!
And because China has a large say in what happens in North Korea,
Make it VERY CLEAR TO CHINA that WE WILL NOT STAND for
an attack on South Korea or on Japan by North Korea and that
ANY actions of ANY party which would threaten the sanctity
of South Korea OR Japan would be met with the FULLEST OF
MILITARY FORCE up to and INCLUDING a directed nuclear
bombardment of the aggressor(s).
In this case I AM A SUPER-HAWK...Big forces need to met with
MUCH BIGGER STICKS TO CAUSE A BACKDOWN from BOTH
North Korea AND China....Top Dogs MUST ESTABLISH A PECKING
ORDER RIGHT FROM THE OUTSET and WE ARE TOP DOG when it
comes to the safety of South Korea and Japan whom we are
BOTH SWORN TO DEFEND!!!
---
As an aside, I decided to add this tidbit on what can happen
BY WAY OF ACCIDENT simply because of misunderstandings
and paranoia or simple stupidity.
20 Mishaps that Might Have Started Accidental Nuclear War:
www.wagingpeace.org...
[edit on 2010/7/22 by StargateSG7]
[edit on 2010/7/22 by StargateSG7]
[edit on 2010/7/22 by StargateSG7]
[edit on 2010/7/22 by StargateSG7]
Originally posted by Catch_a_Fire
Does anyone remember a prediction that was made regarding WWIII being started when war games (excercises) went wrong?. Its starting to ring true.
Originally posted by silent thunder
have said it before, will say it again:
Lil' Kim's pronouncements of wrath are intended mostly for citizens INSIDE North Korea rather than nations outside...this is the key to understanding the madness. Its a way of terrifying his own population, which is growing increasingly unsatisfied and difficult to control after 20 years of on-again, off-again famine and the increasing pourousness of the border with China. This latter factor is allowing a new influx of cell-phone images and DVDs that are showing the increasingly-angry North Korean people how badly their own gov't has lied to them. Now that the gov't propaganda machine is breaking down, the threat of war is the glue that is binding a desperate, fraying nation together.