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Originally posted by trebor451
That is the whole crux to this problem. If you don't care enough or know enough to give a damn about the variables, indeed variables that can and will change the entire result, how can anyone take you seriously?
Please keep in mind that these are *unknowns*, and making up any parameter for them is nothing more than just that - making up a parameter
What was the angle of bank of the aircraft?
What was the precise flight path?
Where did the aircraft wing hit the pole?
At what height was the pole hit?
Actual speed of car (vice estimate by Mr. England)
Actual location of car at impact
Actual braking distance (a significant unknown based on the aforementioned location and speed of car, vice the estimate by Mr. England)
Physical positioning of pole in car
What part of pole actually impacted the car
Human factor inputs (Mr. England's reactions)
Without high-performance computers programmed with the variable data in a properly designed model/simulation/logical representation that takes into account not only computational fluid dynamics of the event but the expected different results from the available variables, what you have is nothing of use to anyone...
posted by Stillresearchn911
reply to post by SPreston
So for me it all seems to line up , all were missing of course is a photo of it sticking out of his car. I would bet VDOT captured it while watching every inch of all the highways like they always do.
Originally posted by turbofan
Well Mr. "trebor451", if you had studied this event closely, you could
have answered about 75% of the questions listed.
Originally posted by trebor451
Rather than address each and every excuse you have for the guesses you came up with on the variables I submitted, suffice it to say, your defense of your schema is pretty funny. "How did you calculate the length of the pole?" "I measured it from photographs!" "What about perspective and parallax? Focal length of the lens? Subject distortion from anomalies of photography?" "I measured it from photographs!" Ok...great.
Originally posted by SPreston
[atsimg]http://files.abovetopsecret.com/images/member/0362c8dfd392.jpg[/atsimg]
Larger photo
Wheelbase, in. 117.4
Overall Length, in. 218.9
Overall Width, in. 76.7
Overall Height, in. 56.9
Curb Weight, lbs. 4040
External dimensions: overall length (mm): 5,560, overall width (mm): 1,953, overall height (mm): 1,445, wheelbase (mm): 2,982, front track (mm): 1,595, rear track (mm): 1,608 and curb to curb turning circle (mm): 12,192
Weights: curb weight (kg) 1,832
Originally posted by trebor451
Its more fun to sit back and watch the PffffT crew make fools of themselves than to try and talk sense or logic about this issue. TF would just be obnoxious, SPreston would just post more of his images, the "gentleman" from down under would just be condescending while speaking nonsense - in other words, the usual responses from the usual suspects.
If I *were* to respond with anything, though, I'd ask what I asked in a different thread - prove to me that it *couldn't* happen - and you can't. As improbable or as impossible as the moonbats claim this is, I've been in and around aviation for well over 25 years and I've heard stranger things.
Originally posted by trebor451
If I *were* to respond with anything, though, I'd ask what I asked in a different thread - prove to me that it *couldn't* happen - and you can't. As improbable or as impossible as the moonbats claim this is, I've been in and around aviation for well over 25 years and I've heard stranger things.
The argument from ignorance, also known as argumentum ad ignorantiam ("appeal to ignorance" [1]), argument by lack of imagination, or negative evidence, is a logical fallacy in which it is claimed that a premise is true only because it has not been proven false, or is false only because it has not been proven true.
...
Both arguments commonly share this structure: a person regards the lack of evidence for one view as constituting proof that another view is true.
...
Overview
Commonly in an argument from personal incredulity or argument from ignorance, the speaker considers or asserts that something is false, implausible, or not obvious to them personally and attempts to use this gap in knowledge as "evidence" in favor of an alternative view of his or her choice. Examples of these fallacies are often found in statements of opinion which begin: "It is hard to see how...," "I cannot understand how...," or "it is obvious that..." (if "obvious" is being used to introduce a conclusion rather than specific evidence in support of a particular view).
Originally posted by turbofan
You do know there is a Taxi cab just a few feet away from the pole,
correct?
Originally posted by trebor451
For someone purporting to be something of an "expert" in aeronautical matters you and your team here sure do appear pretty dense to what I trying to put forth.
Read carefully. I will not and cannot (neither can you, despite you and your team's frantic digital gesticulating) estimate that which cannot be accurately estimated. You DON'T know what the actual flight path was. You DON'T know if the right wingtip barely impinged the VDOT camera pole, ergo you DON'T know exactly where the aircraft flew. You DON'T know exactly where on the the aircraft the first light pole hit. You DON'T know the precise dynamics of Lloyd's car. You don't UNDERSTAND the variables of perspective and parallax and lens focal length with regards to photo analysis, making whatever numbers you come up with bogus. You can make up whatever numbers or data you like, but the bottom line is (read this next line out loud if you think it will help) "they will never be anything else than numbers you MAKE UP".
MAKING UP the data to support your thesis is really pretty funny, but again, it is what is expected from you and your team. This tactic is par for the course on nearly everything you and your team do, from cherry picking witness statements to leading questions to overt extrapolation of others thoughts to making up numbers - all to match your pre-conceived and pre-determined conclusion.
So, we'll just continue to wait for your "evidence" to appear on some other media outlet other than the Rock Creek Press. I'm done with this thread. I gave you ample opportunity to make your case but, in true CIT/PfT form you insist on creating yoru own "evidence. You and your team can take your handwaving and your fanciful concoctions of mysterious numbers and peddle them to others.
Dictionary: cop-out cop·out (kŏp'out')
also n. Slang.
1. A failure to fulfill a commitment or responsibility or to face a difficulty squarely.
2. A person who fails to fulfill a commitment or responsibility.
3. An excuse for inaction or evasion.
Originally posted by trebor451
Read carefully. I will not and cannot (neither can you, despite you and your team's frantic digital gesticulating) estimate that which cannot be accurately estimated. You DON'T know what the actual flight path was.
You DON'T know if the right wingtip barely impinged the VDOT camera pole, ergo you DON'T know exactly where the aircraft flew.
You DON'T know exactly where on the the aircraft the first light pole hit.
You don't UNDERSTAND the variables of perspective and parallax and lens focal length with regards to photo analysis, making whatever numbers you come up with bogus.
You can make up whatever numbers or data you like, but the bottom line is (read this next line out loud if you think it will help) "they will never be anything else than numbers you MAKE UP".
How much energy do you figure was transferred to the lower portion of the
light pole after the wing "sliced through it" at 460+ knots?
Keep in mind the top section fell within 10 feet of the base. Also keep in
mind the lower section of the pole was bolted to the ground.
Do you feel the heavier bolted section should move more, equal, less than
the top sliced section?
Just answer that; we'll leave the cab speed and pole length as variable.
Originally posted by trebor451
This tactic is par for the course on nearly everything you and your team do, from cherry picking witness statements to leading questions to overt extrapolation of others thoughts to making up numbers - all to match your pre-conceived and pre-determined conclusion.
Originally posted by trebor451
Its called analytical bias, or to be more precise "systematic bias" which is a subset of the former.
Originally posted by trebor
I don't have to "prove" it because it happened.
Originally posted by trebor451
Feel free to continue to make up numbers and data that match your pre-conceived conclusions. You seem to enjoy that, but don't expect anyone with any analytical or intellectual rigor to accept it.