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Originally posted by thrashee
It might not be a rock, RF. But it's absolutely reasonable to assume it is, regardless of scientific data (or the lack thereof).
Originally posted by thrashee
We've been over this before. It seems you are attempting to argue from the standpoint of "Because you can't prove it's a rock, you can't disprove it's anything else."
Originally posted by thrashee
And that's technically correct. We can't. However, in such cases, reason presumes. Let's pretend that we're NASA administrators (and to placate certain people here, let's assume NASA is not privy to any kind of inside knowledge or attempting to hide anything from the public). Let's say we see this picture. Would this warrant developing and launching a probe to Mars specifically to analyze this "rock", or whatever it is? Would several hundred millions of dollars of a price tag be justified on this photo alone?
Originally posted by thrashee
I don't think so. I think the most we'd come up with is, "Hey, it looks rather interesting, but there's really no compelling reason to think this isn't just some funky natural formation of some sort."
Originally posted by thrashee
I'm thinking it would take a hell of a lot better pictures than have ever been posted here on ATS to warrant such a mission. Some have been vaguely interesting, but quite honestly, most of them are obvious stretches of the imagination (one particular Moon photo even went so far as to label a "building" as a fueling depot).
Originally posted by RFBurns
reply to post by mi2sense
Science is based on factual data, not benevolance. Without data, there is no science fact, just assumption.
Now we have 1 256 gray scale image...filled with stuff.
Take that 256 gray scale image of an area surrounded with similar stuff here on Earth.
Could you from just looiking at 1 256 gray scale image tell me the makeup of those rocks?
No you cant.
You and a couple others here seem to just shovel aside the scientific reason for those rovers being up on Mars, and why they have geological filters on that pancam, and want to declare my reasoning as bogus when I point and provide direct scientific data that there is no way whatsoever your going to tell anyone that this rock is indeed a rock and that object is also a rock when you have no clue what either is made of...because you rely on a 256 gray scale image and your benevolance rationalizing because mars is known to have rocks. Earth has rocks too..is that all there is?
Ya ok.
WHUTEVER!!!
Why do you keep on saying that we do not get all the data?
Originally posted by RFBurns
Sure there is a compelling reason to think it may not just be another funky natural formation of some sort...perhaps not to NASA, but to us who only get a fraction of the data, but pay for so much more, that alone is cause for wanting to know more...and there is alot more to Mars than just funky natural formations.
Even then it would not be the same, because the photo would be a greyscale version of how the scene looks in visible light, while the photos from the Rovers show a limited wavelength (in this case between 416nm and 456nm)
Try it yourself. Grab a camera, find an area of rocks, varying types of rocks, find an area with a variety of dark shade rocks, and then have someone find a blob of dark shade rubber or dired up tar that you dont know what it looks like or its shape and have them throw it into the scene while closing your eyes. Then take a 256 gray scale image of the scene and then see if you can spot that dark shade material amongst the other dark shade materials mixed in with the ligher shade material.
Why do you keep on saying that we do not get all the data?
Do you have any real information about it?
Thank you ArMaP, my point exactly.
RFB’s argument for me doing an experiment by photo taking only makes my point. We are not talking about a 50/50 chance of him being right over me, but rather the law of probability that RFB is right about this object on Mars.
[edit on 18-2-2009 by mi2sense]
Originally posted by ArMaP
Why do you keep on saying that we do not get all the data?
Originally posted by ArMaP
Do you have any real information about it?
Originally posted by ArMaP
Try it yourself. Grab a camera, find an area of rocks, varying types of rocks, find an area with a variety of dark shade rocks, and then have someone find a blob of dark shade rubber or dired up tar that you dont know what it looks like or its shape and have them throw it into the scene while closing your eyes. Then take a 256 gray scale image of the scene and then see if you can spot that dark shade material amongst the other dark shade materials mixed in with the ligher shade material.
Even then it would not be the same, because the photo would be a greyscale version of how the scene looks in visible light, while the photos from the Rovers show a limited wavelength (in this case between 416nm and 456nm)
Originally posted by RFBurns
Funny you guys keep dancing around the fact that no 256 gray scale image, especially one from a blue UV filter with a narrow wavelength rage cannot give us the information to determine compositional makeup of what is in that image. Why deny the obvious?
I think my entire postion here has been on that fact alone, that this single image is no way to determine mineralogic data on what is in that image.
You guys can go ahead and assume about this one particular image all you want based on the "rational" conclusion that rocks are on Mars. Well rocks are on Earth too...but there is alot more here as well.
Ignore the fact that a very long time ago Mars was once a little Earth, and that life most probably evolved there. Just because it seems too far out of your paradyme to accept even NASA's own analysis of the past of Mars, well sorry I guess you are barking at the wrong tree here...go bark at NASA's scientists and planitary geologists about it.
If the missions of the rovers were to gather up simple 256 gray scale images for eye candy, then there would be no need for a filter wheel on any of those rovers. But they do have those filters for a reason, and did use them in many of those datasets. They are right there on the MER raw data pages.
And no one can deny that NASA used those geologic filters in many areas of interest, and did not use them....so far as we know....on other areas. After 40 years of lies and lame excuses, I wont just take the same old song and dance like you guys want to. Dance their dance all you want, but the rest of us will keep looking and will keep a fire lit under NASA, as we have been for the last 15 years..and we have been successful in getting what we paid for.
Originally posted by mi2sense
What is conclusive is that you agree with me RFB. Your own better judgment determines that the more than supermajority of the objects in that photo are rocks and you need to argue with yourself not others.
Originally posted by mi2sense
Making an appeal to the fallibility of man is hardly debatable and trying to depict yourself as the one making an argument for the necessary data is very funny in deed. Go get your data before making statements like you have provided “direct scientific data”. Photos are not direct scientific data in the face of absolutely no geological data at all.
Originally posted by mi2sense
Like I said, you are arguing from a faulty premise that X is true because there is no proof that X is false and all the speculation in the world is subject to confirmation via the scientific method. You are still at ground zero with no geological data and it is a pure lie that you have a 50/50 chance (probability) of being right. Out of one side of your mouth you argue the great probability that even all the scientists can be wrong that the objects in the photo are rocks, but then you give yourself this huge 50% margin? Delusion.
Originally posted by mi2sense
I suggest that everyone run away from such a thinker that would award themselves such a margin with the conclusive determination you offer; “we don’t know”.
Originally posted by mi2sense
You are just arguing for arguments sake, not truth’s sake.
Originally posted by mi2sense
I did get a chuckle out of you using the same thing I’m trying to say of your doubt of me being able to identify a single object with the zero probability of “I doubt it”. And you wonder at my doubt? You dismiss my speculation with overgeneralization that I am just rationalizing. What do you think your speculations are? You put too much worship in your grey matter.
Originally posted by mi2sense
Is the law of averages a science? If not, then where do you get off using it to assign a 50/50 chance that you are right? I don’t think an honest person can look at that photo and say that the law of averages is 50% in their argument’s favor; that it is something different than the other 99.99% of it’s surroundings. You can try and take the argument against the other matter in that photo also not being rocks, but the point is that it is plain to see that 99.99% of that photo are not wrenches or eels.
Originally posted by mi2sense
RFB’s argument for me doing an experiment by photo taking only makes my point. We are not talking about a 50/50 chance of him being right over me, but rather the law of probability that RFB is right about this object on Mars.
Originally posted by Equinox99
Nothing to see here folks move along! Spirit was having technical difficulties so it was using a wrench to fix itself. Evidently, it could not reach the bolts so it bet the wrench and tossed it. Honest.
All jokes aside, nice find!
Originally posted by thrashee
The obvious is simply this: you cannot determine the geological qualities of said specimen from said photograph. This does not mean, however, that ANY possibility under the sun is equally rational. Poor reasoning.
Originally posted by thrashee
I think my entire postion here has been on that fact alone, that this single image is no way to determine mineralogic data on what is in that image.
Great. So in other words, nothing conclusive can be obtained from this photograph. So what are we left with? Nothing other than logical conclusions. They don't all carry the same weight, by the way.
Originally posted by thrashee
You guys can go ahead and assume about this one particular image all you want based on the "rational" conclusion that rocks are on Mars. Well rocks are on Earth too...but there is alot more here as well.
See...now you're contradicting your own logic. Just because there is a lot more here does not mean there is a lot more there. Period.
Originally posted by thrashee
Ignore the fact that a very long time ago Mars was once a little Earth, and that life most probably evolved there. Just because it seems too far out of your paradyme to accept even NASA's own analysis of the past of Mars, well sorry I guess you are barking at the wrong tree here...go bark at NASA's scientists and planitary geologists about it.
Obviously you are appealing to erroneous conclusions made by scientists of yesteryear. Just because once upon a time scientists thought the universe was geocentric does not make it true.
Originally posted by thrashee
If the missions of the rovers were to gather up simple 256 gray scale images for eye candy, then there would be no need for a filter wheel on any of those rovers. But they do have those filters for a reason, and did use them in many of those datasets. They are right there on the MER raw data pages.
While this sounds authoritative, it's not. You cannot truly speak for why NASA employed any measure.....unless, of course, you are/were employed by NASA?
Originally posted by thrashee
And no one can deny that NASA used those geologic filters in many areas of interest, and did not use them....so far as we know....on other areas. After 40 years of lies and lame excuses, I wont just take the same old song and dance like you guys want to. Dance their dance all you want, but the rest of us will keep looking and will keep a fire lit under NASA, as we have been for the last 15 years..and we have been successful in getting what we paid for.
Right. So we should just believe your claims here, rather than give you the same "song and dance". Because this always makes for a hearty argument?
Originally posted by RFBurns
They were not sent there to simply test remote robotic capabilities and to take ugly gray scale images.
On the mining-thing. I can only state that in the broadest of senses mining operations have taken place on the lunar surface and are presently being conducted on Mars (and continue on a micro-scale, on the Moon). Although the use of terminology, 'mining' has been downplayed (by NASA) and there exists an 'internal memo' , what has actually taken place on the Moon and on Mars are micro-mining operations, complete with chemical/geological analytical capability, in situ.
---snipped--- (the debunkers have not the need to know )
Use of terminology, e.g., 'mining', could be considered (by some countries) to constitute a violation of the International Space Treaty. Thus, NASA is real-careful about use of terminology that could be considered a breach of 'Policy and Protocol'. I can give you this stuff as it's 'public information'. You have to look between the spaces/lines for more info and draw your own conclusions.
I thought you were talking about this specific case of the rovers, since that is what we have been talking about.
Originally posted by RFBurns
Because it has been proven time and again that NASA, and their various contractors such as Malin and ASU, have held back data, sometimes for months, and then release that data only after a massive public outcry for it occurs.
Then you should have said that, I was just pointing that just taking a grey-scale photo of some rocks to try to find an object that is not a rock is not the same as taking a photo through a short band filter.
Anyone can get a filter with a 416-456nm wavelength and slap that in front of their camera. If you can buy Gen-3 NR equipment, you can certianly get your hands on a simple blue UV filter in the 416-456nm wavelength.
Who is "dancing around" anything? I even said (although not explicitly, but I thought you would understand) that a grey-scale photo would show more than a photo taken through that 416-456 nm filter.
Funny you guys keep dancing around the fact that no 256 gray scale image, especially one from a blue UV filter with a narrow wavelength rage cannot give us the information to determine compositional makeup of what is in that image. Why deny the obvious?
Yes, I have noticed that, you said it in 12 posts (if I did my counting correctly ).
I think my entire postion here has been on that fact alone, that this single image is no way to determine mineralogic data on what is in that image.
I only said that this is a rock because almost all of the non-rock people were talking as if there was any proof that this is not a rock.
You guys can go ahead and assume about this one particular image all you want based on the "rational" conclusion that rocks are on Mars. Well rocks are on Earth too...but there is alot more here as well.
I do not ignore the fact that Mars was different from what it is now, but you do not have any real data to call it "a little Earth" and the "most probably" about the past existence of life is just that, a probability. And I don't understand why you are talking about do not accepting NASA's analysis, where did I said that?
Ignore the fact that a very long time ago Mars was once a little Earth, and that life most probably evolved there. Just because it seems too far out of your paradyme to accept even NASA's own analysis of the past of Mars, well sorry I guess you are barking at the wrong tree here...go bark at NASA's scientists and planitary geologists about it.
I can only accept what they say about their missions because they are their missions, why should I accept what some unknown person tells me about other people's works?
And no one can deny that NASA used those geologic filters in many areas of interest, and did not use them....so far as we know....on other areas. After 40 years of lies and lame excuses, I wont just take the same old song and dance like you guys want to. Dance their dance all you want, but the rest of us will keep looking and will keep a fire lit under NASA, as we have been for the last 15 years..and we have been successful in getting what we paid for.
Originally posted by RFBurns
You cannot determine the geological qualities of said specimen from said photograph. Now if we had the geological datasets, we could. But we dont have that. So you are 100 percent correct that we cannot say said object is made up of the same thing as object b that we still have no idea what its make up is.
So does that mean we exclude what was in the past on Mars? Does that mean we do not include the whole history just because you or I were not around to witness that history, thus exclude anything from that history in our findings?
What kind of screwed up thinking is that? We have found objects dating back tens of thousands of years right here on Earth and even with those facts we will exclude any past history about Mars just to fit it in the rational box?
Ignore the fact that a very long time ago Mars was once a little Earth, and that life most probably evolved there. Just because it seems too far out of your paradyme to accept even NASA's own analysis of the past of Mars, well sorry I guess you are barking at the wrong tree here...go bark at NASA's scientists and planitary geologists about it.
Nope, go find it for yourself, at the MER raw dataset websites. As I said before, I did not make the NASA websites, NASA did. It is THEIR published datasets, not mine. I am merely pointing out how some datasets use all the geological filters and some do not.
Originally posted by RFBurns
"trashee"....I submit to you that it is not logical to rationalize when other data could have been gathered, and most likey has been gathered. Do you honestly think that the geologists are not going to utilize every bit of scientific equipment on that rover to determine what that might be in that scene? Cmon..don't be so naieve. Millions of dollars spent on a piece of equipment and it runs into an unsual object amongst other objects, and they are just going to take a 3D image with only one filter of it and not even bother to find out for sure what it is..only assume and rationalize that its just another one of the "rock" boys???
Hardly scientific, and hardly logical. I am sure they got that extra data, and I would bet that the data clearly shows that object that some have dubbed "wrench" and "eel" is no rock, and is why we do not have that extra datasets on the MER raw data website. They WANT us to apply assumption and just say its a rock. Well we do not even have the data that tells us that it is a rock in the first place. NASA just assumes that there is still dumb people out here and that we take their word for everything.
I think that is being pretty darned rational, and quite logical.
Millions of dollars spent on a piece of equipment and it runs into an unsual object amongst other objects, and they are just going to take a 3D image with only one filter of it and not even bother to find out for sure what it is..only assume and rationalize that its just another one of the "rock" boys???
Hardly scientific, and hardly logical. I am sure they got that extra data, and I would bet that the data clearly shows that object that some have dubbed "wrench" and "eel" is no rock, and is why we do not have that extra datasets on the MER raw data website. They WANT us to apply assumption and just say its a rock. Well we do not even have the data that tells us that it is a rock in the first place. NASA just assumes that there is still dumb people out here and that we take their word for everything.