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Originally posted by Lazyninja
Scientists wouldn't have any jobs if they didn't just sell us doom all the time, and then at a later date sell us expensive solutions to them.
Cosmic rays have not varied.
Not quite as well-established as GHG-induced warming which has about 150 years of basic physics and climate science behind it, but I understand the need to grab at the most tenuous straws.
There are surely hundreds if not thousands of issues which are far more prevalent, dangerous to human life, proven and immediate than global warming ( and terrorists ), yet not getting a fraction of the attention. Smokescreen.
Originally posted by majestictwo
reply to post by RogerT
I cannot think of anything more important than climate change let alone 1000s – give us your list. Terrorism doesn’t even come close it’s a miniscule nonsense in comparison. Not being able to look that far ahead I guess you will have to live it to eventually find out because as the thread suggests it’s TOO LATE
In the new (fourth) IPCC Summary for Policymakers there are 12 key variables pertaining to temperature changes between the years 1750 and 2000. The IPCC characterizes its confidence level as “high” on only one of those variables. Two are characterized as “medium,” one is “low,” and eight are “very low.”
Originally posted by Lazyninja
Scientists wouldn't have any jobs if they didn't just sell us doom all the time, and then at a later date sell us expensive solutions to them.
Originally posted by RogerT
Cosmic rays have not varied.
Because you say so? Source please.
Well that's what I'm trying to establish for myself, by considering both sides of the argument. Just 'cos you say so' doesn't cut it for me, and patronising me doesn't help your case either.
Originally posted by infolurker
Glaciers are growing around the world, including the United States
Global Warming? New Data Shows Ice Is Back
www.iceagenow.com...
The data, he said, came from a website called www.iceagenow.com. Iceagenow was constructed by a man called Robert W Felix to promote his self-published book about "the coming ice age". It claims that sea levels are falling, not rising; that the Asian tsunami was caused by the "ice age cycle"; and that "underwater volcanic activity - not human activity - is heating the seas".
Is Felix a climatologist, a volcanologist or an oceanographer? Er, none of the above. His biography describes him as a "former architect". His website is so bonkers that I thought at first it was a spoof. Sadly, he appears to believe what he says.
Wow, all these guys are just in it for the cash.
will voiced at the Bali Climate Change Conference held
in December 2007.
UNEP’s flagship Global Environment
Under the auspices of the International Council for
Science (FAGS/ICSU), the International Union of Geodesy
and Geophysics (IACS/IUGG), the United Nations
Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organisation
(UNESCO), the World Meteorological Organisation
(WMO), and the UNEP, the World Glacier Monitoring
Service (WGMS) collects and compiles the basic
glacier data from all parts of the world and provides
information on the state and trends of glaciers in almost
all mountain regions.
Originally posted by majestictwo
I cannot think of anything more important than climate change let alone 1000s – give us your list. Terrorism doesn’t even come close it’s a miniscule nonsense in comparison. Not being able to look that far ahead I guess you will have to live it to eventually find out because as the thread suggests it’s TOO LATE
Originally posted by melatonin
Originally posted by RogerT
Cosmic rays have not varied.
Because you say so? Source please.
I gave one.
There really isn't both sides. This is essentially comparable to wacky creationists vs. evolutionary biology. Strangely enough, I know some of the 'contrarian' scientists are actually creobots.
On one side we have the weight of the scientific literature, backed by 150 years of science, the vast majority of the scientists, and the totality of scientific organisations.
On the other we have a few shills from oil-funded think-tanks, pseudosceptics, internet cargo-cult science, an army of strawmen wielding cherrypick-bombs camouflaged in FUD, noise-dwelling, and creationist-like lists of random 'scientists'.
There are real questions out there and real scientists asking and trying to answer them,
With your own reasoning take a look at stuff "downunder" there is brilliant stuff happening. Check out Australia's Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation. The CSIRO is one of the largest and most diverse scientific institutions in the world.
Start here at the scientists and the climate change debate
Link
The Swindle
The atmospheric concentration of carbon dioxide today is 25 per cent higher than the maximum level recorded at any time during (at least) the 650,000 years prior to the Industrial Revolution
Jim, 2 major problems with your key argument. first what changed something over 600k years ago that makes 600k years special. Go back 150 millon years and CO2 was muvh higher, but temperature wasn't. second, the ice cores tell us nothing about peak CO2 in the past 600k years. In a high precipitation region like like Law Dome, it takes about 80 years for the ice to close, so the record is at best an 80 year moving average, that certainly smears the peak. Also the sampling frequency beyond ca 100k years is in the order of 100 years, further smearing any peak. For Vostok, which is a very low precipitation high desert, it is estimated that ice closure takes 4000 to 6000 years, and the sampling definition is in the order of 1000 years. At prior interglacials we see measured CO2 a little above 300 ppm, which suggests a peak well above 300 ppm. Fossil leaf stomata for the brief warming just prior to the Younger Dryas (ca 12,000 y BP) show CO2 concentration of at least 340 ppm. There are several other problems with ice cores that probably decrease the trapped CO2 concentration before measurement, like depressurization, handling and storage issues that have simply not been measured, so ice cores a a very blunt instrument. Also for Vostok, the linkage is warming first, and apart from the big interglacial peaks one can see at least brief excursions where contemporaneous warming and CO2 concentration go in opposite directions. Also note the curve John shows of the logarithmically declining warming effect of increases in CO2 concentration, which explains why past high CO2 concentrations had no significant effect.
Originally posted by RogerT
My apologies, I didn't read thoroughly enough and missed the last sentence of the source you quoted but failed to link to. But that's ok, I do that myself quite often, either can't be bothered to find the online paper or don't want to reveal my source
So I have your quote from a paper in May 2005 saying it doesn't and a complete paper with data in 2007 saying it does. Since your source doesn't include the data, or at least your quote doesn't, then what I have is 'your guy says no and my guy with further research at a later date says yes and here's the data and calculations to prove it'. If you were me, which side would sway you?
In any case, it hardly validates the claim you made that the theory is not well supported, and if it is accurate, being 'well' supported is quite irrelevant.
Subjective, Ad hominem, totally false and carries no weight in any intelligent debate. You lose.
Even if that were true, and from my very pre-cursory searches it ISN'T, this sounds a lot like the argument for the coming Ice Age in 1970, not to mention the flat earth, orbiting sun, amalgam is perfectly safe trust me, and just about every other scientific consensus cock-up throughout known history.
A fact doesn't need scientific consensus or weight of literature, it just needs proof.
Oh dear. You lose again.
I think you have hit the nail on the head here. 'Trying to answer the questions'. Thank you for the honesty of uncertainty, which I am finding is quite rare amongst those that support AGW.
Maybe, since we are still 'trying to answer the questions', we should allow a contrarian voice the same respect and avenue of expression that we allow those that begin with the 'politically' accepted conclusion and then seek data to validate it.
Originally posted by bloodcircle
Quite easily, we will eventually either pollute ourselves into extinction or we will use up all of the natural resources we require to live.
As animals with an innate ability to break things, we are not infallible.
It's happened to far more gracious creatures throughout history under far more hospitable circumstances.
The difference is we have the nack of sticking bandaids on things as we go along, but that has no choice but to come to a end for us at some point.
I see how as the egotistical animals we are, we've got an absolute disregard for what we do to this planet for profit and/or power, so I do consider that if things point towards a sudden change in the global climate (Warmer or colder, I don't give a toot because it all ends up bad in the end)
as a result of some of the things that we have done, then I will indeed make as much noise as those I see throw about glib insults and random facts without so much as a thought from their own brain even entering into it.
And if at the end of the day it turns out that -IF- the global climate is warming and it's completely natural, well think how much more pleasant it will be if we've stopped buggering up the atmosphere as opposed to not?
Ultimately, *I* have no control over what conglomero buiscorp does, so I'll just plod along, mostly trying to ignore the people who seem to be eager to use a big stick to beat people as soon as they mention G
Originally posted by saint4God
Alrighty, just didn't want you to de-credential yourself. Although you and I haven't the funding to go out and get the data, we do have access to see the data that was gathered. In addition, we can compare it to the data of other scientists. Read their explanations, summaries, etc. Scientists are just as split on this as everyone else. Primary reason? Lack of data, a problem we'll have for another thousand years or so unless we're able to recover a history we didn't record to determine if this is cyclical change.
Originally posted by ahnggk
Global warming is not a conspiracy, we never spent a cent on it because we've always used 'green products' for as long as I remember, but we feel it. I used to sleep with thick blankets on December two decades ago, in the past couple of years I could sleep naked in the same month.