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Originally posted by mossme89
Are we nearing another takedown in Gold? Look at the chart:
www.kitco.com...
Almost identical to Monday.
Seems further evidence to me that QE3 is imminent.edit on 21-9-2011 by mossme89 because: (no reason given)
Our thesis that global coordinated monetary stimulus is returning is playing out, first slowly, then very rapidly, with the Fed expected to announce at least Op Twist and an IOER cut at 2:15pm today, following a currency peg by the SNB, more printing promises by the BOJ, and the ECB now assumed to return to cutting rates shortly even as it purchases sovereign bonds in the open market. Sure enough, the latest entrant in the global resumption of printing is the BOE, which in minutes presented earlier, makes it clear it won't lag behind the Fed.
[...]
First it was US money markets; then it was various European industrial concerns (which somehow double down as banks); then it was China; now the bank runs shift to insurance institutions when, as Bloomberg reports, Lloyd's of London has decided to pull peripheral Euro bank deposits. What next: complete collapse of European interbank market as bank runs become a daily thing at both the retail and institutional level? Well, we already anticipated that. But it is something totally different to see it happen in practice.
The Federal Reserve is running out of options to try to boost a slumping economy and lower unemployment. So policymakers are expected to reach 50 years back into their playbook for their next move.
Most economists expect the Fed to announce a plan Wednesday to shift money in its $1.7 trillion portfolio out of short-term securities and into longer-term holdings.
The plan could lower Treasury yields further. Ultimately, it could reduce rates on mortgages and other consumer and business loans, too.
The contagion is getting every closer to the core, with risk in Italy (+6) and Spain (+11) getting ever closer to Austria (+5), Germany (+1) and the UK (+0.5). Also, some rumbling out of ironclad Scandinavia with Finland +7 to 81.75 bps.
The plan could lower Treasury yields further.
Originally posted by Shenon
Someone is pumping alot of Money into French Banks right now,especially BnP (which is at +2,30% right now)
Hm...
Originally posted by Shenon
Someone is pumping alot of Money into French Banks right now,especially BnP (which is at +2,30% right now)
Hm...
90 minutes after rumors of forced mergers and recaps and an easing of collateral requirements by the ECB, SocGen (among other French banks) has retraced more than 75% of the gains and senior financial credit spreads have weakened to their widest levels intraday. It certainly feels like any strength is being used to reduce exposure further - even as we wait for Bernanke's Bonanza this afternoon...
The gold market is manipulated because, despite Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke's insistence to Congress a few weeks ago that gold is not money, just "tradition," gold is indeed a currency that competes brutally with government-issued currencies and helps determine not only the value of those currencies but also interest rates and the value of government bonds.
Time for another bath. This time metaphorical. "The downgrades result from a decrease in the probability that the US government would support the bank, if needed. Moody's believes that the government is likely to continue to provide some level of support to systemically important financial institutions. However, it is also more likely now than during the financial crisis to allow a large bank to fail should it become financially troubled, as the risks of contagion become less acute. Moody's is therefore lowering the amount of support it incorporates into Bank of America's ratings to levels reflected prior to the crisis."
The Bank of England has opened the door to injecting more money into the faltering UK economy.
"Most members" of the Bank's Monetary Policy Committee agreed that the case for an "immediate" stimulus had strengthened, according to minutes from their meeting in September.
Some analysts believe that quantitative easing could re-start in November...
Suggestions of further stimulus come as storm clouds gather over the UK economy.
On Tuesday, the International Monetary Fund cut its UK growth forecast for this year and next, and there is speculation that the government is planning to boost spending on public projects.
On Wednesday, latest data showed that public sector net borrowing during August was a higher-than-expected £15.9bn.
It means a third of the way into the fiscal year, cumulative borrowing at £52bn is only 7% less than a year ago despite the government's programme of budget cuts.
Although only one MPC policymaker - Adam Posen - voted in favour of the Bank resuming assets purchases, others were considering such a move.
The minutes say: "For some members, a continuation of the condition seen over the past month would probably be sufficient to justify an expansion of the asset purchase program at a subsequent meeting..."
Howard Archer, chief UK and European economist at IHS Global Insight, said: "The minutes of the September MPC meeting are appreciably more dovish, opening the door wide to more quantitative easing by the Bank of England and very possibly sooner rather than later.
"We expect the MPC to approve a further £50bn in quantitative easing during the fourth quarter. A move as soon as October is entirely possible, but we suspect November is more likely."
The minutes show that MPC members discussed a raft of deteriorating economic signs, including slowing retail sales growth, lower output, falling exports and a flagging housing market...
...it said it was still expecting inflation to come down to target in 2012 [ ] thanks to the likelihood of a synchronised period of weak global growth, pressured by the eurozone crisis and a US economy beset with its own problems.
Mr Posen has argued for months that a weak economy was a bigger danger than rising inflation and therefore the QE programme should be increased by £50bn, to add to the £200bn already agreed.
Buffett tells Obama how to tax the country and all he gets is this lousy shirt that says "I got double penetrated by Moody's on Central Planning day"
[...]
Moody's Investors Service downgraded the long-term ratings of Wells Fargo & Company(holding company senior debt to
A2 from A1) and of its major subsidiaries including Wells Fargo Bank N.A.
(rating on the bank for deposits to Aa3 from Aa2). The actions conclude a review for downgrade announced on June 2, 2011. The outlook on the long-term senior ratings remains negative.
The downgrades result from a decrease in the probability that the US government would support the bank, if needed. Moody's believes that the government is likely to continue to provide some level of support to systemically important financial institutions. However, it is also more likely now than during the financial crisis to allow a large bank to fail should it become financially troubled, as the risks of contagion become less acute. Moody's is therefore lowering the amount of support it incorporates into Wells Fargo's ratings to levels reflected prior to the crisis.
There goes Citi...
Moody's Investors Service confirmed the A3 long-term rating of Citigroup and the A1 long-term and Prime-1 short-term ratings of Citibank N.A. At the same time, Moody's downgraded the short-term rating of Citigroup (the holding company) to Prime-2 from Prime-1. The actions conclude a review for possible downgrade announced on June 2, 2011. The outlook on the long-term senior ratings remains negative.
The confirmations reflect two offsetting factors: a decrease in the probability that the US government would support the bank, if needed, and an improvement in the bank's stand-alone credit profile reflected in an increase in Citibank N.A.'s unsupported baseline credit assessment (BCA) to Baa1 from Baa2.The downgrade of the short-term rating of Citigroup results from the reduced assumption of systemic support. Typically A3-rated companies are rated Prime-2 for their short-term obligations.
Just so the Italian banks don't feel isolated and get more than their fair share of intraday limit down closes, here comes S&P, via Bloomberg:
- S&P cuts Intesa Sanpaolo ratings to A from A+; outlook negative
- S&P cuts Mediobanca ratings to A from A+; outlook negative
Edit 3: 3 more downgrades added
- S&P cuts Mediobanca ratings to A from A+; outlook negative
- UniCredit Spa Rating Outlook to Negative by S&P
- Findomestic Banca Cut to A From A+ by S&P
Judging by the market response, forget QE3: QE 3000 must be coming.
*GREEK PENSION CUT FOR THOSE EARNING MORE THAN EU1,200 A MONTH
*GREECE TO REDUCE TAX-FREE THRESHOLD TO EU5,000 FROM EU8,000
*GREECE TO REDUCE PENSIONS BY 40% FOR THOSE UNDER 55
*GREECE TO CUT WAGES OF 30,000 STATE WORKERS THIS YEAR
*GREECE TO CUT PENSIONS OVER EU1,200 BY 20%: STATEMENT