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...Tropical Cyclone Gonu is the storm that had been forecast by numerical forecast guidance (most boldly so by the ECMWF) earlier in the week. Late Saturday night, local time, the core of this moderately strong tropical storm lies 665 kms/475 miles southwest of Mumbai with top sustained winds of 55 knots/100 kph. It is drifting slowly towards the west-northwest. The JTWC along with numerical forecast models indicate movement towards the west and the northwest as well as significant strengthening over at least the next 24 hours. Specifically, the ECMWF numerical forecast model is emphatic on a strong storm reaching to the shore of southern Oman. Moreover, it sustains a strong tropical low inland to the Empty Quarter--this strikes me as most unusual behavior for a tropical cyclone, though it remains to be seen whether it will happen. Looking at the latest GFS I see a much `tamer` solution that least to a strong tropical wave with rain reaching the southeastern shore of Oman...
Updated: 6/2/2007 5:44 PM
...There is TC Gonu, unusually powerful and unusually far to the northwest--and it is headed towards the northwest. Thus, the first land in the path of Gonu, as it is now moving, would be easternmost Oman. And this is where the latest JTWC advisory takes Gonu--ashore southeast of Masqat. As far as numerical forecast models, the GFS is still handling Gonu poorly, but the ECMWF, which has been remarkably prescient on this amazing storm, is still taking a powerful low ashore in SE Oman--and even into interior eastern Arabia. I cannot rule out extreme, unusual weather in UAE, Qatar and Saudi Arabia to at least Al Ahsa and the southern/middle Najd (Riyadh)....
Updated: 6/4/2007 7:02 AM
My vote goes for number 4. Has anyone actually studied the history of storms in the Indian ocean? Where is the data on 50 years of Hurricans of the Eastern world? Sounds like it would be an excellent guide to sell in bookstores. Lotsa people, myself included enjoy reading about the planets natural activities.
In Your Opinion ... Do you think that "Gonu" is:
1. Another Sign of Global Warming
2. Weather Modification / Weather Wars
3. Wrath of God for Iran's destroy Isreal Agenda
4. Business as Usual, nothing to see here.
It is called nature my friend, and it has been happening this way as long as the planet has had climate. I live in Florida for 18 years of my 21 year life. It does not appear to anyone here as anything else but typical Florida climate.
Didnt anyone else find the two recent tropical systems that hit Florida odd?
With the recent droughts it almost seemed as if someone was trying to "water" Florida and Georgia. Perhaps as practice for something more important..
And now the clouds forms in ways I have never seen before, they look like cartoons...
Originally posted by AndrewTB
But..... I am really hoping Iran gets hit with a Cat. 5 and it destroys their nuclear facilities (if its possible).
Originally posted by Where2Hide2006
Ok Lets make this a multiple choice question. please feel free to write your opinions however you see fit, but please answer this question first and foremost.
In Your Opinion ... Do you think that "Gonu" is:
1. Another Sign of Global Warming
2. Weather Modification / Weather Wars
3. Wrath of God for Iran's destroy Isreal Agenda
4. Business as Usual, nothing to see here.
Originally posted by Eyeofhorus
It sees to be a hyperdimensional storm.
Considering the power of the HAARP antenna array, it would not be hard to focus enough vibrational energy to warm this area of ocean in order to build and steer the storm.
Originally posted by Golack
Didnt anyone else find the two recent tropical systems that hit Florida odd?
Originally posted by selfless
It should be summer and hot right now where I am but instead it's cold like winter and it snowed last week...
And now the clouds forms in ways I have never seen before, they look like cartoons...
Originally posted by Where2Hide2006
I mean i understand you guys saying that it could be a 100 year storm...but has ot ever happened BEFORE, or are you just talking ourt your ... lack of information?