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Originally posted by raingirl
I also think that just being from a Christian family doesn't mean you're aware of the above... however, i'm happy for you to be a first... if you would care to tell me more about what you know and why you don't believe
Originally posted by TheCrystalSword
I'm not sure I follow your question, Spamandham.
How many trials do I get?
Originally posted by TheCrystalSword
I am having doubts as to your educational level
You don't know very much, do you?
I again must feel you've never taken a statistics course in anything
And knowing some people with Math degrees, there is such a term as "Statistical Impossibility". It's when a number is so ludicrously small that it may as well be indistinguishable from zero.
Oh, and by the way, there are no impossibilities, only high improbabilities.
...as Stephen Hawking himself stated Chthulu could very well come out of a black hole in a reversal of his view that nothing escaped the gravity well. Granted, he was using a ludicrous concept at the time...
Unless you happen to have a zero on one face of the die. And honestly, it's a bad example. Even without a zero, there is an infinitesmal chance that for whatever reason, it lands on an EDGE. Even assuming a perfectly flat surface.
As for growing wings, not a statistical impossibility. Provided the correct genetic engineering techniques, I imagine it comes into the realm of feasible.
Likely a good thing I don't ascede to the existence of such a concept.
Contrived they are, in the sense that it is contrived to think that all such small numbers align together at the same point in time to occur in one unified event. The probability of any two such events occuring making the number smaller, and every additional unlikely event making the number smaller still.
Anyone who claims to know something is silly, and has a statistically high probability of being wrong somewhere along the line. It's also a high probability that they'll never notice because they feel as if they know something.
Originally posted by BlackGuardXIII
The odds of the ones I posted would be nice to know. I did study prob. and stat. and these seem like they'd have very low probability.
Originally posted by spamandham
Indeed they do. How many other possible low probability events did not happen, that had they happened, you would have been just as impressed by? I would think that set is enormous.
Originally posted by BlackGuardXIII
The usefulness and objectivity of calculating probabilities is limited. There is always the possibility of an unexpected variable skewing the final results.
Originally posted by I_s_i_s
Originally posted by TheCrystalSword
I am having doubts as to your educational level
You don't know very much, do you?
I again must feel you've never taken a statistics course in anything
Is it really worth it to stoop down to personal attacks? Come now, I expected better.:shk:
And knowing some people with Math degrees, there is such a term as "Statistical Impossibility". It's when a number is so ludicrously small that it may as well be indistinguishable from zero.
Agreed. So why the diatribe?
Thank you, ludicrous indeed.
The 'so called' white holes? Yea...when Chtulu comes out we'll get to whatever it is that you were getting at.
Um...I was talking about a regular die, with no zeros on it.
Sure there's a small probability that a coin or a die will land on an edge. I beleive there's some study being done about three sided coins( a thicker cylinder)...weird I know...but anyways.
Does that mean I can finally acheive my dream of being a teletubby? Yey!
Likely a good thing I don't ascede to the existence of such a concept.
Whatever makes you happy!
Ok ponder this example. I have a well-shuffled deck of cards. I deal and note down one card at a time. The probability of a specific 52-place-sequence appearing is (52!)-1, a very very very tiny number. This will almost certainly never happen again. For someone to go backwards and say "what are the odds for that to happen?. Jee wiz it must not be chance!" is not being logical. You cant make that assumption in hindsight. Seemingly "statistically impossible" things happen all the time if you don't demand to know what they will be beforehand.
Yea scientists dont make outrageous claims based on shoddy evidence claiming to know everything. Guess that makes them silly ha! And ofcourse scientists have a high probability of being wrong somwhere along the line cuz they possibly cant be 100% right all the time right? That would be preposterous!
Originally posted by TheCrystalSword
Statistically impossible things happen every day.
Originally posted by TheCrystalSword
Have you ever read "The Universe in a Nutshell"?...HAVE you taken a base level course in statistics?
Originally posted by spamandham
Originally posted by BlackGuardXIII
The odds of the ones I posted would be nice to know. I did study prob. and stat. and these seem like they'd have very low probability.
Indeed they do. How many other possible low probability events did not happen, that had they happened, you would have been just as impressed by? I would think that set is enormous.
Originally posted by TheCrystalSword
My commentary is based off of what I am familiar with versus what you are asserting. Have you ever read "The Universe in a Nutshell"? "A Step Further Out"? HAVE you taken a base level course in statistics?
...termed Statistically Impossible due to the number being so small as to be indistinguishable from zero.
As for your question, it could certainly be taken as an insult to my intelligence.
If there was no God, it would be imperative to invent one somewhere along the line.
And I was being an ass about the zero side.
The small probability of landing on a corner is the thing I was serious about. I don't see how a study on three sided coins applies, however.
A deck of cards is significantly different than what I am talking about. A guy is struck nine times by lightning in his life... does this mean he is just impossibly in the wrong place at the wrong time or that he is a lightning magnet somehow? If the latter, why him?
Or, for example, my aunt who had her liver removed several years ago, she grew a new one.
There's many odd things that happen. Either there isn't a god and our universe is just silly and strange...
Are we still discussing?
Originally posted by BlackGuardXIII
Enormous, yes, infinite even. But totally irrelevent and unrelated to my experiences.
Originally posted by BlackGuardXIII
If Socrates was a man, and Socrates was gay, then does that mean all men are gay?
Why? Cuz it makes the most sense from my point of view, considering my life experiences, studies, and my speculations as to what those things mean? Above are some of the specific reasons. My other personal spiritual experiences are a major part of it.
Originally posted by daedalas
I have looked through the forums in faith, spirituality & Theology and mostly what I have seen is christians posting and getting attacked by atheist and atheist posting being lecured by christians.
So, I decided to make a thread purely for the arguement of christianity vs. Atheism. This is what most of the threads are turned into anyway.
Originally posted by TheCrystalSword
If we calculate the chances of you being struck by lighting... let's say one in 100,000. That would be .00001 or some such, I'm tired so my math is likely off. In any case, what is the likelihood of you taking an overpass on the way home that will go over where your wife is driving on HER way home (But having to stop for groceries), and having the lightning strike the car, knock out a key electrical component, and at the same time a car cut you off in such a way that you careen over the edge of the overpass, through the cement barrier, and land on your wife's car as she's passing under you, killing her instantly?
Originally posted by TheCrystalSword
If you have a string of these, and it doesn't have to be many elements, the likelihood of all coinciding results in a ludicrously small number.
Originally posted by TheCrystalSword
SpamandHam: You have said numerous times that such and such does not mean that a magical/deific instance need be considered... I would argue there is absolutely no reason not to consider it.
Originally posted by spamandham
I think we can agree that "unlikely" is a very broad term encompassing events on the range of 1 in a 1000 and up. Some of the possible events (or combinations of events) are wildly less likely than others. However, the more contrived the scenario, the more the number of possible similarly fantastic contrived scenarios.
The longer the string you allow for, the greater the number of possible bizzare events. If we knew the odds of all these things, we could actually calculate how often lidicrously unlikely events should happen.
Originally posted by TheCrystalSword
Gods and magic are not testable notions. The lack of testability means there was no valid basis from which to draw the conclusion to begin with. It is nothing more than a mental trick to satisfy our desire not to have unanswered questions by filling in the unknown with easy answers based on loose correlations.
Once you start going down the road of providing baseless answers, you end up believing whatever your imagination presents. Saying "god did it" just sets you up for the need to answer "why did god do it", and this all distracts you from seeking an answer that is testable.
Gods and magic are not testable notions. The lack of testability means there was no valid basis from which to draw the conclusion to begin with. It is nothing more than a mental trick to satisfy our desire not to have unanswered questions by filling in the unknown with easy answers based on loose correlations.