posted on Nov, 7 2007 @ 04:30 PM
My forecast is coming true. This coup-in-the-making has an obvious driving force, and Russia has every interest to be involved in it. Although I
doubt that this involvement is direct, because there is sizeable opposition in Georgia that will make it happen one way or another. The overturning
of power is inevitable now.
If Saakashvilli had the army to back him up, he might have had the chance to hold out for years, like Musharaf. But I do not think the generals have
any incentives to back Saakashvili. So if the military/police turns on him now this could all end tomorrow, as I honestly hope it does - because the
alternative is frightning.
If Saaka chooses to fight and has the forces to back him, I am sure the opposition will not back off. This will escalate untill he is out or untill
there is a Civil War. This is the difference between Saakashvilli and Shevarnadze. Shevarnadze could have fought, and had the means to and the
backing of Russia, but he decided to step down to avoid Civil War and countless casualties. Saakashvili is a coward, and he is quickly building up
his police force in hopes that it will insure his stay in power.
And isn't it ironic that the Georgian turbulance is occurying at the same time as one in Pakistan right now? The two have many parallels, and this
is not going to be a good month for the US. In Ukraine Yuschenko has caved in as well, without any revolt - just loads and loads of lies and
corruption. And all Russia had to do was sit back and watch.
What shall this revolution be called? I propose the "Green Revolution" since green is on the opposite side of rose on the color wheel. Or maybe
be a little more creative and call it the "Viridian Revolution"? Ooooooh! gotta think of a name for Pakistani revolution too. Where is the U.S.
creative spirit now - I thought they were masters at this?
[edit on 7-11-2007 by maloy]