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originally posted by: AgarthaSeed
a reply to: FlyersFan
Abraham Wyner, a professor of Statistics and Data Science at the Wharton School, has done an analysis on the claims by Hamas about the death totals.
Mmmmm, I'm gonna say there's a conflict of interest with the professor here...
He "may" have a dog in this fight.
originally posted by: network dude
It's very telling that the Joo haters won't say a thing about how if HAMAS surrendered today, the war would end today. All we hear is how Israel should stop fighting the war HAMAS started.
Saying that civilians are dying in Gaza is truthful.
Claiming that 30,000 civilians are known to be dead by the IDF is just wrong.
originally posted by: AgarthaSeed
a reply to: arcticshuffle
The man is Jewish. This is an objective fact.
If a Muslim professor of statistics was saying the Palestinian death toll was actually higher than 30k, would you believe him?
originally posted by: AgarthaSeed
If a Muslim professor of statistics was saying the Palestinian death toll was actually higher than 30k, would you believe him?
originally posted by: Maybenexttime
originally posted by: network dude
It's very telling that the Joo haters won't say a thing about how if HAMAS surrendered today, the war would end today. All we hear is how Israel should stop fighting the war HAMAS started.
50000 soldiers saying hey Israel we surrender so you can put us in prison for the rest of our lives.
You honestly think there's a chance of that?
This is where adulting comes in.
I know the difference, because my mother and her parents and sister were deported from Holland and imprisoned in the Nazi concentration camp Bergen-Belsen for nearly 16 months.
originally posted by: Threadbarer
What makes his analysis more accurate than that done by a group like Doctors Without Borders?
originally posted by: Threadbarer
What makes his analysis more accurate than that done by a group like Doctors Without Borders?
In December, the medical journal The Lancet, published two critiques of the death surveillance process done by extremely experienced scholars at Johns Hopkins and The London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine. Both concluded that the Gazan numbers were plausible and credible, albeit by somewhat different techniques and logic.
The science is clear. Over 30.000 people have been dead in Palestine.
We analysed an individual list of 7028 decedents released by the Palestinian MoH2 covering the period from Oct 7 to 1500 h on Oct 26, 2023, and which, according to the source, only featured individuals brought to health facilities and morgues. This list included national identification numbers, names, and ages, but no cause, date, or location of death.
Our initial examination suggested reasonable data quality.
These comparisons further corroborate the validity of the Palestinian MoH dataset. Similarly, satellite imagery-based estimates conducted by Sky News analysis of NASA Open Street Maps of the percentage of buildings damaged in Gaza mirror those issued by the Gaza Ministry of Public Works (7% according to both sources).
Our simple analysis indicates high excess mortality among Gazan population groups that are likely to be largely civilian, including humanitarian and health-care workers, indicating a substantial number of Palestinians killed during this period. Assessments of Palestinian MoH data validity in the 2014 conflict had shown them to be accurate, and we saw no obvious reason to doubt the validity of the data between Oct 7 and Oct 26, 2023.
Excess mortality in Gaza: Oct 7–26, 2023
"We think they're very high, frankly," Barbara Leaf, assistant Secretary of State for Near Eastern Affairs, told a House Foreign Affairs Committee, "and it could be that they're even higher than are being cited."
It stands in stark contrast to the view of Mr Biden himself, who, on 25 October, said he had "no notion that the Palestinians are telling the truth about how many people are killed."
However, he did not provide any evidence for his scepticism.
How the dead are counted in Gaza?
The ministry is the only official source for Gaza casualties. Israel has sealed Gaza’s borders, barring foreign journalists and humanitarian workers. The AP is among a small number of international news organizations with teams in Gaza. While those journalists cannot do a comprehensive count, they’ve viewed large numbers of bodies at the sites of airstrikes, morgues and funerals.
“The numbers may not be perfectly accurate on a minute-to-minute basis,” said Michael Ryan, of the World Health Organization’s Health Emergencies Program. “But they largely reflect the level of death and injury.”
In previous wars, the ministry’s counts have held up to U.N. scrutiny, independent investigations and even Israel’s tallies.
on Oct. 27, in response to U.S. doubts over its figures, the ministry released a 212-page report listing every Palestinian killed in the war so far, including their names, ID numbers, ages and gender. A copy of the report shared with the AP named 6,747 Palestinians and said an additional 281 bodies have not yet been identified.
Throughout four wars and numerous bloody skirmishes between Israel and Hamas, U.N. agencies have cited the Health Ministry’s death tolls in regular reports. The International Committee of the Red Cross and Palestinian Red Crescent also use the numbers.
In the aftermath of war, the U.N. humanitarian office has published final death tolls based on its own research into medical records.
In all cases the U.N.'s counts have largely been consistent with the Gaza Health Ministry’s, with small discrepancies.
WHAT IS THE TRACK RECORD FROM PAST WARS?
The former head of the Operations Division harshly criticized the management of the campaign in Gaza • "What is the IDF supposed to do in the absence of a policy?" We are over five months into this war without any predictable political goal," he said in an interview with 103FM
Israel Ziv: "The war has ceased to be managed - a loss of direction"
The annual V-dem index report, which examines the democratic nature of regimes in the world, noted that Israel has deteriorated into the category of electoral democracy, due, among other things, to "government attacks on the judicial system". Along with Israel, this category also includes Poland and Brazil
Israel has lost its ranking as a liberal democracy in a leading index for evaluating democracies
Israel's foreign minister says, 'History will judge Canada's current action harshly.' Canada's statement underscores the growing criticism of Israel's actions in Gaza, as Western countries find themselves in hot water for arms sales to Israel.
Israeli FM Slams Canadian Counterpart's Decision to Stop Sending Arms to Israel