Is a Senate Red Wave Coming in 2024 - 10 seats that could flip

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Red ripples the last few elections but no big wave. It seems that may change with 9 of 10 seats coming open leaning Republican.

West Virginia- (D) Trump won by 40 points in 2020 (OPEN)
Montana - (D) This again is Trump country
Ohio - (D) Brown is in trouble
Michigan - (D) Gaza will decide this (OPEN)
Texas - (R) Mr Cruz is not safe. Unliked and Texas could flip Blue
Arizona - (D) A toss up with Kari Lake involved (OPEN)
Nevada - (D) No one is safe here
Wisconsin - (D) a long shot but another swing state
Pennsylvania - (D) another toss up
Maryland - (D) the one most unlikely to flip (OPEN)

So, what do you say ATS regarding these races? There are a lot of upset people out there ready to vote and I am thinking the GOP will have the majority in 2024.

a reply to: matafuchs

The GOP will win up until a water main pipe brakes and a late night recount at 0300, in all contests.

a reply to: matafuchs

I do not know about the Senate , but the House could see Big Gains by the Reps in 2024 .






.....................................= +

Looking at the Presidential Election in 2024 the Electoral Collage could look like this.....






..............................

I see a possible flip in the Senate. If so the GOP will only have a one or two seat majority.

The Dems are taking the House. I don't see any scenario where that doesn't happen.

I think it all depends on how many ilegals and dead people vote in the blue states that expanded their mail-in voting.

West Virginia

Democrats:
Don Blankenship
Zach Shrewsbury

Republicans:
Jim Justice
Alex Mooney


Prediction:
Zach Shrewsbury for the Democrats but he will lose to the Republican candidate which could go either way to Justice or Mooney.

Montana

Democrats:
John Tester (incumbent)

Republicans:
Tim Sheehy

Prediction:
Tester wins because he's an incumbent and his campaign has more in fundraising.

Ohio

Democrats:
Sharrod Brown (incumbent)

Republicans:
Matt Dolan
Frank LaRose

Prediction: Dolan beats LaRose as the Republican candidate. General Election too close to call but slight edge for the incumbent due to fundraising numbers.

Michigan

Democrats:
Nasser Baydoun
Hill Harper
Elissa Slotkin

Republicans:
Sandy Penssler
Mike Rogers

Prediction:
Slotkin vs. Rogers. I agree that Gaza will decide this and give it to the Democrats.

Texas

Democrats:
Colin Allred

Republicans:
Ted Cruz

Prediction: Cruz.

Arizona

Democrats:
Ruben Gallego

Republicans:
Kari Lake

Prediction:
Too close to call.

Nevada

Democrats:
Jackie Rosen (incumbent)

Republicans:
Sam Brown

Prediction: Rosen is the incumbent with more money. Democrats take it.

Pennsylvania

Democrats:
Bob Casey Jr (incumbent)

Republicans:
David McCormick

Prediction: Another case of the incumbent with the most fundraising.

Maryland

Democrats:
Angela Alsobrooks
David Trone

Republicans:
Larry Hogan
Robin Ficker

Prediction:
Trone vs. Hogan in the General Election. Too close to call.

Interesting:

The GA Primary Elections have Trump getting around 500,000 (R) votes, and Biden getting maybe 300,000 (D) votes.

a reply to: DBCowboy

We all know that....

It’s Crazy that the Wild West states (NM, AZ, NV, CO), are all Democratic.

a reply to: DBCowboy

The GOP will win up until a water main pipe brakes and a late night recount at 0300, in all contests.

and the storage containers get pulled out from under the tables.

a reply to: matafuchs

Always favor incumbent in non-open seats, that said here is a prediction using witchcraft. Except West Virginia, because, come on..

West Virginia- (D) (OPEN) - 🟥🐘
Montana - (D) - 🟦🫏
Ohio - (D) - 🟥🐘
Michigan - (D) (OPEN) - 🟥🐘
Texas - (R) - 🟥🐘
Arizona - (D) (OPEN) - 🟦🫏 (most brutal one)
Nevada - (D) 🟦🫏
Wisconsin - (D) 🟦🫏
Pennsylvania - (D) 🟦🫏
Maryland - (D) (OPEN) 🟦🫏

Net result according to divination prediction methods = 🟥🐘 +3

ETA:

If the senate races under these picks are reflected in the presidential outcome in the swing states, the map looks like this, The Biden best-case scenario. Squeak by in AZ, WI, and PA while losing the house and senate. With those 3 states dominating the court cards and signifying themselves as the 3 most critical states to the outcome.

Michigan was funniest. Democrat gets slaughtered by swords.

a reply to: Degradation33

We used to burn witches, , , , , , just sayin'

With rhona romney gone, odds should go up in favor of the gop.

I dont know anyone other than bots online that think this economy is good, or sending billions to protect other countries is good, or that spending 7.3 trillion is a good idea versus 4.7 trillion in revenue in 2023.

or the US nearly doubling our national debt in 3 years.

a reply to: DBCowboy



"They took Christmas away... Came downstairs for the shiny presents. They took the tree and the stockings. Nothing left but coal... Don't look in the closet, either. It's greedy. It's not in the spirit of the holiday."

a reply to: Irishhaf

The GOP is already light on funds and Laura has made it clear that their only focus is to get Trump elected.

If you're a down ballot candidate you're getting nothing from the party.

..........

originally posted by: Threadbarer
a reply to: Irishhaf

The GOP is already light on funds and Laura has made it clear that their only focus is to get Trump elected.

If you're a down ballot candidate you're getting nothing from the party.

It's a true show of unity for you to care so much about the Republican side of the isle, you are a wonderful person.

a reply to: Threadbarer

Horse#.

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The Democratic National Committee (DNC), Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee (DSCC), and Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) have raised a cumulative $352 million and spent $305 million so far in the 2024 election cycle.

The Republican National Committee (RNC), National Republican Senatorial Committee (NRSC), and National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC) have raised a cumulative $288 million and spent $257 million so far in the 2024 election cycle.

The DNC is in debt about a million dollars. You will see an influx of cash now for the RNC because they will start to align behind Trump now. They got rid of unneeded jobs and will save more money. running it like a business and not a PAC pissing away monies.

Their focus should be getting Trump elected. Why would that not be the mission?

The ones complaining are the ones that have been outed for not voting on the party line. As far as down ballot candidates they are fine also according to people I know running locally, state and national in FL.

The red wave has been predicted many times.
In recent years it only really happened in 2016.

a reply to: matafuchs

As of the last FEC filings from January, the DNC had about $25 million cash on hand while the RNC only had about $8 million. The DNC had also outraised the RNC in January by almost 2 to 1.

The DNC entered this year with the largest warchest they've ever had going into an election year. Meanwhile, the RNC's funds are the lowest they've been in at least a decade.