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originally posted by: anonentity
a reply to: Middleoftheroad
It would be nice to actually know what is actually going on. We can see the results and the probable long-term consequences, all caused by government decisions. It seems to fall on the side of a depopulation exercise by stealth from the top.
originally posted by: chr0naut
a reply to: Blue_Jay33
IFR is an estimate based upon assumptions about the prevalence of unreported infections.
We can see, from the more absolute numbers, like mortality attributed to COVID-19 that the IFR figures are quite dodgy.
While IFR is reasonable for trying to estimate how fast and far an infectious disease may spread, the CFR number, which compares known tested cases to case mortality, is probably a more reliable number for medical staff who must have good intelligence for dealing with any sort of epidemic or pandemic.
The distance between IFR and CFR numbers shows how 'trustable' the estimate is likely to be.
Because also of the wide variation of IFR estimates, where nearly every researcher has a different IFR (even when analyzing the same population), it is possible to cherry-pick IFR's in meta-analyses such as this, to represent an opinion rather than some sort of hard fact.
originally posted by: Blue_Jay33
The infection fatality rate (IFR) of COVID-19 among non-elderly people in the absence of vaccination or prior infection is important to estimate accurately, since 94% of the global population is younger than 70 years and 86% is younger than 60 years.
Fatality Rate of covid in non-elderly people PRE-VACCINATION was lower than previously suggested.
0.0003% - 0-19yrs
0.003% - 20-29yrs
0.011% - 30-39yrs
0.035% - 40-49yrs
0.129% - 50-59yrs
0.501% - 60-69yrs
And we shut down the world, fired people from jobs, forced people to get jabs, made little kids wear masks, shut schools down, when the true fatality rate was 1/2 percent for everybody under 69........how insane is that?
Everybody of school age .0003% IFR rate, why would we ever force them, of all people, the risks were way higher than the any possible rewards for them. What a bogus sham.
LINK
IFR ARTICLE
Statistically; is this the least lethal pandemic in the history of the world ?
originally posted by: anonentity
a reply to: Middleoftheroad
It would be nice to actually know what is actually going on. We can see the results and the probable long-term consequences, all caused by government decisions. It seems to fall on the side of a depopulation exercise by stealth from the top.
originally posted by: ScepticScot
a reply to: Asmodeus3
IFR much higher than .15 in the US and other high income nations.
www.thelancet.com...(21)02867-1/fulltext
originally posted by: Asmodeus3
originally posted by: ScepticScot
a reply to: Asmodeus3
IFR much higher than .15 in the US and other high income nations.
www.thelancet.com...(21)02867-1/fulltext
We have discussed many times before that IFR is measured at a global level regardless of the difference of local IFRs. So there isn't any point in your comment or your attempt to present this as something that is not.
Even correcting inappropriate exclusions/inclusion of studies, errors and seroreversion, IFR still varies substantially across continents and countries.
.
originally posted by: ScepticScot
originally posted by: Asmodeus3
originally posted by: ScepticScot
a reply to: Asmodeus3
IFR much higher than .15 in the US and other high income nations.
www.thelancet.com...(21)02867-1/fulltext
We have discussed many times before that IFR is measured at a global level regardless of the difference of local IFRs. So there isn't any point in your comment or your attempt to present this as something that is not.
The paper shows IFR being measured by age and by country. Your belief that it is only measured at global level is demonstrably wrong.
Why would the US (or any country) base its response based on a global rate that may be much higher or lower than among its own population?
originally posted by: Asmodeus3
.
originally posted by: ScepticScot
originally posted by: Asmodeus3
originally posted by: ScepticScot
a reply to: Asmodeus3
IFR much higher than .15 in the US and other high income nations.
www.thelancet.com...(21)02867-1/fulltext
We have discussed many times before that IFR is measured at a global level regardless of the difference of local IFRs. So there isn't any point in your comment or your attempt to present this as something that is not.
The paper shows IFR being measured by age and by country. Your belief that it is only measured at global level is demonstrably wrong.
Why would the US (or any country) base its response based on a global rate that may be much higher or lower than among its own population?
That's a strawman argument.
I don't have a belief that it is only measured at a global level. However the IFR is a number that shows virulent a disease is and all you have died from the disease and divided by the total number of infections to send how the disease performs.
When estimating the IFR of the Spanish Flu we didn't take local IFRs but the overall deaths divided by the overall infections.
It's very unlikely that IFR will be that much higher from one place to another. And your link doesn't seem to work.
originally posted by: ScepticScot
originally posted by: Asmodeus3
.
originally posted by: ScepticScot
originally posted by: Asmodeus3
originally posted by: ScepticScot
a reply to: Asmodeus3
IFR much higher than .15 in the US and other high income nations.
www.thelancet.com...(21)02867-1/fulltext
We have discussed many times before that IFR is measured at a global level regardless of the difference of local IFRs. So there isn't any point in your comment or your attempt to present this as something that is not.
The paper shows IFR being measured by age and by country. Your belief that it is only measured at global level is demonstrably wrong.
Why would the US (or any country) base its response based on a global rate that may be much higher or lower than among its own population?
That's a strawman argument.
I don't have a belief that it is only measured at a global level. However the IFR is a number that shows virulent a disease is and all you have died from the disease and divided by the total number of infections to send how the disease performs.
When estimating the IFR of the Spanish Flu we didn't take local IFRs but the overall deaths divided by the overall infections.
It's very unlikely that IFR will be that much higher from one place to another. And your link doesn't seem to work.
See my edit.
Your own link says there is substantial variance.
originally posted by: Asmodeus3
originally posted by: ScepticScot
originally posted by: Asmodeus3
.
originally posted by: ScepticScot
originally posted by: Asmodeus3
originally posted by: ScepticScot
a reply to: Asmodeus3
IFR much higher than .15 in the US and other high income nations.
www.thelancet.com...(21)02867-1/fulltext
We have discussed many times before that IFR is measured at a global level regardless of the difference of local IFRs. So there isn't any point in your comment or your attempt to present this as something that is not.
The paper shows IFR being measured by age and by country. Your belief that it is only measured at global level is demonstrably wrong.
Why would the US (or any country) base its response based on a global rate that may be much higher or lower than among its own population?
That's a strawman argument.
I don't have a belief that it is only measured at a global level. However the IFR is a number that shows virulent a disease is and all you have died from the disease and divided by the total number of infections to send how the disease performs.
When estimating the IFR of the Spanish Flu we didn't take local IFRs but the overall deaths divided by the overall infections.
It's very unlikely that IFR will be that much higher from one place to another. And your link doesn't seem to work.
See my edit.
Your own link says there is substantial variance.
The link still doesn't work but don't worry this is besides the point.
The global IFR for which the paper I have linked describes how the disease performs in terms of its fatality rate.
The IFR of any disease is given simply by the total amount of deaths over the total (estimated) number of infections.
originally posted by: ScepticScot
originally posted by: Asmodeus3
originally posted by: ScepticScot
originally posted by: Asmodeus3
.
originally posted by: ScepticScot
originally posted by: Asmodeus3
originally posted by: ScepticScot
a reply to: Asmodeus3
IFR much higher than .15 in the US and other high income nations.
www.thelancet.com...(21)02867-1/fulltext
We have discussed many times before that IFR is measured at a global level regardless of the difference of local IFRs. So there isn't any point in your comment or your attempt to present this as something that is not.
The paper shows IFR being measured by age and by country. Your belief that it is only measured at global level is demonstrably wrong.
Why would the US (or any country) base its response based on a global rate that may be much higher or lower than among its own population?
That's a strawman argument.
I don't have a belief that it is only measured at a global level. However the IFR is a number that shows virulent a disease is and all you have died from the disease and divided by the total number of infections to send how the disease performs.
When estimating the IFR of the Spanish Flu we didn't take local IFRs but the overall deaths divided by the overall infections.
It's very unlikely that IFR will be that much higher from one place to another. And your link doesn't seem to work.
See my edit.
Your own link says there is substantial variance.
The link still doesn't work but don't worry this is besides the point.
The global IFR for which the paper I have linked describes how the disease performs in terms of its fatality rate.
The IFR of any disease is given simply by the total amount of deaths over the total (estimated) number of infections.
Yes I know what IFR is
I also know it varies from country to country .
Your own link confirms this.
originally posted by: Asmodeus3
originally posted by: ScepticScot
originally posted by: Asmodeus3
originally posted by: ScepticScot
originally posted by: Asmodeus3
.
originally posted by: ScepticScot
originally posted by: Asmodeus3
originally posted by: ScepticScot
a reply to: Asmodeus3
IFR much higher than .15 in the US and other high income nations.
www.thelancet.com...(21)02867-1/fulltext
We have discussed many times before that IFR is measured at a global level regardless of the difference of local IFRs. So there isn't any point in your comment or your attempt to present this as something that is not.
The paper shows IFR being measured by age and by country. Your belief that it is only measured at global level is demonstrably wrong.
Why would the US (or any country) base its response based on a global rate that may be much higher or lower than among its own population?
That's a strawman argument.
I don't have a belief that it is only measured at a global level. However the IFR is a number that shows virulent a disease is and all you have died from the disease and divided by the total number of infections to send how the disease performs.
When estimating the IFR of the Spanish Flu we didn't take local IFRs but the overall deaths divided by the overall infections.
It's very unlikely that IFR will be that much higher from one place to another. And your link doesn't seem to work.
See my edit.
Your own link says there is substantial variance.
The link still doesn't work but don't worry this is besides the point.
The global IFR for which the paper I have linked describes how the disease performs in terms of its fatality rate.
The IFR of any disease is given simply by the total amount of deaths over the total (estimated) number of infections.
Yes I know what IFR is
I also know it varies from country to country .
Your own link confirms this.
Good that you know what the IFR is and you agree that it is 0.15%
But in case anyone is unsure about it
IFR = total number of deaths/total (estimated) number of infections
At a global level of course.
originally posted by: ScepticScot
originally posted by: Asmodeus3
originally posted by: ScepticScot
originally posted by: Asmodeus3
originally posted by: ScepticScot
originally posted by: Asmodeus3
.
originally posted by: ScepticScot
originally posted by: Asmodeus3
originally posted by: ScepticScot
a reply to: Asmodeus3
IFR much higher than .15 in the US and other high income nations.
www.thelancet.com...(21)02867-1/fulltext
We have discussed many times before that IFR is measured at a global level regardless of the difference of local IFRs. So there isn't any point in your comment or your attempt to present this as something that is not.
The paper shows IFR being measured by age and by country. Your belief that it is only measured at global level is demonstrably wrong.
Why would the US (or any country) base its response based on a global rate that may be much higher or lower than among its own population?
That's a strawman argument.
I don't have a belief that it is only measured at a global level. However the IFR is a number that shows virulent a disease is and all you have died from the disease and divided by the total number of infections to send how the disease performs.
When estimating the IFR of the Spanish Flu we didn't take local IFRs but the overall deaths divided by the overall infections.
It's very unlikely that IFR will be that much higher from one place to another. And your link doesn't seem to work.
See my edit.
Your own link says there is substantial variance.
The link still doesn't work but don't worry this is besides the point.
The global IFR for which the paper I have linked describes how the disease performs in terms of its fatality rate.
The IFR of any disease is given simply by the total amount of deaths over the total (estimated) number of infections.
Yes I know what IFR is
I also know it varies from country to country .
Your own link confirms this.
Good that you know what the IFR is and you agree that it is 0.15%
But in case anyone is unsure about it
IFR = total number of deaths/total (estimated) number of infections
At a global level of course.
And back to my original point not in the US isn't ( or other developed countries).
originally posted by: Asmodeus3
originally posted by: ScepticScot
originally posted by: Asmodeus3
originally posted by: ScepticScot
originally posted by: Asmodeus3
originally posted by: ScepticScot
originally posted by: Asmodeus3
.
originally posted by: ScepticScot
originally posted by: Asmodeus3
originally posted by: ScepticScot
a reply to: Asmodeus3
IFR much higher than .15 in the US and other high income nations.
www.thelancet.com...(21)02867-1/fulltext
We have discussed many times before that IFR is measured at a global level regardless of the difference of local IFRs. So there isn't any point in your comment or your attempt to present this as something that is not.
The paper shows IFR being measured by age and by country. Your belief that it is only measured at global level is demonstrably wrong.
Why would the US (or any country) base its response based on a global rate that may be much higher or lower than among its own population?
That's a strawman argument.
I don't have a belief that it is only measured at a global level. However the IFR is a number that shows virulent a disease is and all you have died from the disease and divided by the total number of infections to send how the disease performs.
When estimating the IFR of the Spanish Flu we didn't take local IFRs but the overall deaths divided by the overall infections.
It's very unlikely that IFR will be that much higher from one place to another. And your link doesn't seem to work.
See my edit.
Your own link says there is substantial variance.
The link still doesn't work but don't worry this is besides the point.
The global IFR for which the paper I have linked describes how the disease performs in terms of its fatality rate.
The IFR of any disease is given simply by the total amount of deaths over the total (estimated) number of infections.
Yes I know what IFR is
I also know it varies from country to country .
Your own link confirms this.
Good that you know what the IFR is and you agree that it is 0.15%
But in case anyone is unsure about it
IFR = total number of deaths/total (estimated) number of infections
At a global level of course.
And back to my original point not in the US isn't ( or other developed countries).
The IFR of a disease and how it performs is measured at a global level. Otherwise we would have had several numbers from all geographical areas and countries and not a clue of what is going on. So we take the average.
The Spanish Flu had an IFR of 10%. How do we know this? Total number of people died was around 50 million and total number infected was around 500 million. Hence the 10%
And that's how we are making comparisons without trying to politicalize the issue.
Covid-19 isn't the Spanish Flu and regardless of how it was presented originally in the media. COVID-19 is a mild disease for most of us and its infection fatality rate doesn't justify any of the measures taken given that the young and healthy had extremely small chance of getting sick and die from Covid.