Russia Ukraine Update Thread - part 3

a reply to: onestonemonkey

Nobody will be safe if that happens.

Never heard of M.A.D?

Apparently, not.

a reply to: onestonemonkey

Well, would it not make much more sense to Nuke Brazil?

a reply to: Oldcarpy2
Not sure if MAD applies to a dictator who may also be a psychopath who may wish to see everything destroyed if he does not get his way or looks as though his own generals are turning against him...
But i guess its better to hope he still retains some rationality for everyones sake.

a reply to: onestonemonkey

What?

If he nukes Europe what do you think will happen?

a reply to: Oldcarpy2

Best case scenario.

Putin will command what's left of Russia from a hole in the ground and never see a real ray of sunshine ever again.

Good luck with that sort of life.

Playing Fallout for real is most likely quite the female dog.

originally posted by: Oldcarpy2
a reply to: onestonemonkey

What?

If he nukes Europe what do you think will happen?

Yes I know he will get Moscow turned into glass.
But MAD only works when you are dealing with rational actors.

I am not sure Putin is such a man,and if he percieves he is about to lose his precious legacy or be strung up by his own-can anyone really say he won't just say "Fck it" and press the button?.

I hope I am wrong of course.

a reply to: onestonemonkey

M.A.D works regardless of Putin's state of mind.

It is was it is.

a reply to: onestonemonkey

It's probably not just as easy as Putin pressing a button onestonemonkey.

Short of a first-strike scenario.

Their chain of command would need to follow suit.

And if there is not a kink in there where rational minds prevail.

The system is keyed towards the will of just one madman.

I have to believe the Russians are not quite that stupid.

There has to be failsafe in there somewhere to stop the likes of that from happening.