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538 model has Republicans winning the House 3 to 1 this is driving the rhetoric

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posted on Sep, 2 2022 @ 05:50 PM
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This as much as anything is why we are seeing the current political rhetoric. The left is addicted to polling and models, they took their best shots to turn the numbers around and it barely moved the needle. Being bombastic, loud, and angry is all they have "left", remember when everybody said they were tired of an angry bombastic President?

am I wrong?

projects.fivethirtyeight.com...


edit on 2-9-2022 by putnam6 because: additions


+5 more 
posted on Sep, 2 2022 @ 05:57 PM
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Deep state politicians and accomplices will do anything to avoid investigations by a conservative run congress.

So I'm guessing they have more tricks up their sleeves?
edit on 2-9-2022 by v1rtu0s0 because: (no reason given)



posted on Sep, 2 2022 @ 05:57 PM
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a reply to: putnam6

Don't count on it.


If they can hook or crook mail in voting for "any" reason, they will have both the house and the senate.

Once they have that, they will pass their "Voter Fraud" bill to make mail in voting permanent. This is their most important issue.
edit on 2-9-2022 by infolurker because: (no reason given)



posted on Sep, 2 2022 @ 05:58 PM
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originally posted by: infolurker
a reply to: putnam6

Don't count on it.


If they can hook or crook mail in voting for "any" reason, they will have both the house and the senate.



I'd like to see this happen and then see everyone ask how the models could be so wrong when never in history have they been so wrong.



posted on Sep, 2 2022 @ 06:00 PM
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originally posted by: v1rtu0s0

originally posted by: infolurker
a reply to: putnam6

Don't count on it.


If they can hook or crook mail in voting for "any" reason, they will have both the house and the senate.



I'd like to see this happen and then see everyone ask how the models could be so wrong when never in history have they been so wrong.


I mentioned this back in June. As we get into October, the MSM / Social Media will put out a bunch of fake polling data stating it is close to 50/50 so that they can play off the fraud as within the margin of error.



posted on Sep, 2 2022 @ 06:30 PM
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off-topic post removed to prevent thread-drift


 



posted on Sep, 2 2022 @ 06:31 PM
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originally posted by: infolurker
a reply to: putnam6

Don't count on it.


If they can hook or crook mail in voting for "any" reason, they will have both the house and the senate.

Once they have that, they will pass their "Voter Fraud" bill to make mail in voting permanent. This is their most important issue.


Not counting on anything, but seriously is it possible to have a thread where it doesn't turn into such speculative BS all the time?

The point remains all we are hearing is because of the elections and their numbers are seriously behind. There is no damn way they can influence, change or cheat on every congressional seat available. PERIOD



posted on Sep, 2 2022 @ 06:33 PM
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originally posted by: underpass61
POST REMOVED BY STAFF


LOL that's the other 538 is backed by ABC TV about the only thing positive about posting these totals is it might motivate more voters, but it's doubtful.
edit on Fri Sep 2 2022 by DontTreadOnMe because: (no reason given)



posted on Sep, 2 2022 @ 06:47 PM
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It’s Nearly 90 days til November.

So many sealed warrants for trump

So little time



posted on Sep, 2 2022 @ 06:49 PM
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off-topic post removed to prevent thread-drift


 



posted on Sep, 2 2022 @ 06:54 PM
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If they lose and real conservatives get power and turn the progressive tactics back on them, they will go down in flames. If that looks to be the case, they will happily prefer to take us all down with them. They will burn the country to the ground before they would let their crimes be exposed.

I expect a scorched earth strategy. Last night's Hitler/Mussolini channeling was the pre-game show.
edit on 2022 9 02 by incoserv because: (no reason given)



posted on Sep, 2 2022 @ 06:57 PM
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a reply to: putnam6


Bingo.

Last night's hitler wannabe show was hastily scheduled due to panic about the red wave in progress.

Along with horrendous presidential approval ratings.

Methinks it backfired bigly.





posted on Sep, 2 2022 @ 07:05 PM
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originally posted by: v1rtu0s0
Deep state politicians and accomplices will do anything to avoid investigations by a conservative run congress.

So I'm guessing they have more tricks up their sleeves?



Last time they organized nationwide violent riots based on absurd propaganda lies and various election cheating scams based on covid.

This time the biden idiot is repeatedly threatening to F15 any American who disagrees with his political opinions and actions.

Does he even know that we have more capable fighters now, or that our professional military (regardless of political affiliation) would NEVER follow such an illegal order?

They aren't allowed to, and would be personally prosecuted for doing so.




posted on Sep, 2 2022 @ 07:13 PM
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a reply to: tovenar

70 days…

And unless a super secret write-in campaign has Trump, he isn’t running for anything.



posted on Sep, 2 2022 @ 07:14 PM
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originally posted by: MidnightWatcher
a reply to: putnam6


Bingo.

Last night's hitler wannabe show was hastily scheduled due to panic about the red wave in progress.

Along with horrendous presidential approval ratings.

Methinks it backfired bigly.





Of course, I don't know but at least this theory has some circumstantial evidence. There was no reason for his speech to be so inflammatory and divisive unless it was to rally thier fading base and to stop losing the moderate middle.

FWIW I'm not too concerned either way, but my default mode has always been if one party has the Presidency the other party needs to control the House, it just works better and limits how much they can actually pass. It's not the best system but history has shown we rarely enjoy giving one side too much control and legislative influence.



posted on Sep, 2 2022 @ 07:22 PM
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a reply to: putnam6

Another “scary” strain of the Covid will mysteriously pop up and the Dems will order more lockdowns and more massive fraud mail-in ballots.



posted on Sep, 2 2022 @ 07:22 PM
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originally posted by: MidnightWatcher

originally posted by: v1rtu0s0
Deep state politicians and accomplices will do anything to avoid investigations by a conservative run congress.

So I'm guessing they have more tricks up their sleeves?



Last time they organized nationwide violent riots based on absurd propaganda lies and various election cheating scams based on covid.

This time the biden idiot is repeatedly threatening to F15 any American who disagrees with his political opinions and actions.

Does he even know that we have more capable fighters now, or that our professional military (regardless of political affiliation) would NEVER follow such an illegal order?

They aren't allowed to, and would be personally prosecuted for doing so.





and that's where you completely lose me, the last thing an administration in power wants is demonstration protests, and strife. PERIOD.

Quit making it complicated politicians number one job is to always get re-elected. That's all this is.

FWIW use our search feature here and use the term "President martial law" Ive been hearing that crap with every President since Clinton, on both sides and it never happens, ever.


edit on 2-9-2022 by putnam6 because: (no reason given)



posted on Sep, 2 2022 @ 08:15 PM
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originally posted by: incoserv
If they lose and real conservatives get power and turn the progressive tactics back on them, they will go down in flames. If that looks to be the case, they will happily prefer to take us all down with them. They will burn the country to the ground before they would let their crimes be exposed.

I expect a scorched earth strategy. Last night's Hitler/Mussolini channeling was the pre-game show.



OK, I'll bite how exactly would that all go down in 70 days? again once we have established that all politicians' job one is to get re-elected.

Nobody on either side is gonna back to extreme measures, you know from the fringes on both sides. The middle the moderates on both sides are the ones the politicians have to influence.

Scorched earth, riots, or violence will have the opposite effect on the silent majority no matter who starts it. Whichever side resorts to that will lose. Period

I just checked since Eisenhower was President the executive and legislative have been unified 13 times it's been divided 21 times. This is how America operates this swaying back and forth its always been this way but the public didn't have immediate access to every comment or stitch of information immediately, thus now the only way to influence voters is to rile them up. It is all misdirection and theater. Biden is yelling at the sky and is trying to connect to the progressive wing that he has already lost, thus the fire and brimstone.

I would imagine unless last night pops his poll numbers we won't see that kind of stuff again
edit on 2-9-2022 by putnam6 because: (no reason given)



posted on Sep, 2 2022 @ 08:39 PM
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a reply to: putnam6

The two months between the election and January when the new Congress is seated.

Assume you only had 10% of the US military under your control…what level of hell could you unleash? Keep in mind a single missile cruiser in Norfolk, VA could just about erase DC.



posted on Sep, 2 2022 @ 09:10 PM
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originally posted by: Ahabstar
a reply to: putnam6

The two months between the election and January when the new Congress is seated.

Assume you only had 10% of the US military under your control…what level of hell could you unleash? Keep in mind a single missile cruiser in Norfolk, VA could just about erase DC.


Seriously what's the chance of anything remotely like that happening, it's very Tom Clancyesque but I'd put its chances of less than 1% of it even being discussed as an option, much less happening.

A smoldering Norfolk naval base isn't going to win anything for the party in power, it's so far from the realm of possibility, there are hundreds of more mundane and normal scenarios likely don't you think?

Not to mention Id like to think somebody would question why that is even an option. I mean Joe can't just say do this I'm the President



edit on 2-9-2022 by putnam6 because: (no reason given)




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