a reply to:
AstroDog
I honestly have no idea where you came up with that stuff. I think you are way off base just like how you refer to me as Russian.
I don't follow MSM, and don't even own a TV. Maybe that is why I don't follow anything you are saying.
Perhaps you are unaware of the new bridge that just opened connecting Russia and China a few days ago. Both of them made a big deal over it. The whole
spiel of cooperation and working together building stronger. All of it.
China is getting cheap full from Russia, while Russia is getting cheap labor from China. While at the same time relations between China and the US are
becoming more strained over Taiwan. China flat out accused the US of trying to build an Asia version of NATO recently. Of course, our representatives
denied it. Which means it is probably happening.
Maybe what you are saying would make sense if you think Russia is trying to take all of Ukraine. I think that is an MSM thing. Not a real thing.
They are going to take Donbas that is certain. With the majority of ethnic Russians in those areas that want to be part of Russia, the Afgan scenario
doesn't fit at all.
Another thing you may not be aware of is that the majority of people in Kerson have taken Russian citizenship and celebrated it. In response, Ukrop
forces started shelling civilian districts.
You talked about hearts and minds before. You should know what that means.
After they take Donbas they will either focus on Kharkiv or Odessa and to completely take the coastline making a land bridge to Transnistria which is
already Russia friendly. I think they even have troops stationed in Transnistria already. The ASP there was under joint control ever since the breakup
of the USSR.
All those areas are historically Russia-friendly. There are even groups posting videos in the Odessa area from locals that are working to undermine
the military there.
If they manage to link up with Transnistria it is essentially game over for Ukraine.
The war may keep going but Russia will have access to Europe's largest ASP with enough ammo to wage a full-blown war for over a decade. It is
essentially still in their control now.
The war Russia is fighting now is nothing like the one they were fighting before which can be contributed to them seizing control of the ASP in
Balaklei which is Europe's 2nd largest ASP.
Their unrelenting artillery barrages are due to having access to enough ordinance right now to wage war for several years. Ukraine losing that ASP is
why they are running out of artillery ordnance.
Russia never needed all of Ukraine. They needed to control the routes into Russia, they needed to restore the flow of water to Crimea, and they need
to end the attacks on Donbas, but the prize is controlling the coast ensuring their warm-water port.
In the process, they are demilitarizing Ukraine. By that I mean they are destroying Ukraine's ability to build weapons. The denazify thing is like our
WMDs in Iraq. It rallies their populace. Capturing Azovstal and taking so many of the Azov prisoners is a huge win for them on that matter.