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originally posted by: carewemust
a reply to: odd1out
I hear in California there could be some major shakeups in local races, with more Republicans ousting Democrats.
Still, while national polls have generated a portrait of Biden holding a commanding lead, it’s something of a mirage. In the swing states that matter, it is trench warfare: Biden’s advantage, according to the RealClearPolitics polling average, is within the margin of error in half of the eight states. And Trump is a president whose support has been notoriously difficult for pollsters to survey. Consider this fact: From July 2016 until Election Day in the three Rust Belt states that Trump unexpectedly picked off — Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin — 94 public polls were released. Trump led in just three of them.
originally posted by: odd1out
In a local poll conducted in my living room, one lifelong Democrat is NOT voting for any Democrats this election. She is my much younger wife that actually hosted a Trump bashing pinata party in 2016. Her sister, same thing... lifelong democrat flipped after all the BS with Gavin Newsom, Nancy Pelosi and the extreme rhetoric of the left. Many of their friends are in the same category.
This may seem anecdotal but I think it's an important indicator; when I say lifelong lefties that's what they "were" but thanks to the absolute insanity of 2020, they ain't drinking the kool aid anymore. And what's more, they don't really go around talking much about their change of heart. If they were to be polled or asked, they'd likely lie about it and I don't fault them for that. These days your political beliefs can get you killed...
The truth of the matter is, the National Polls are misleading and are something of a mirage, while they show Biden having a large lead, it is literally NOTHING, just feed for media, particularly liberal media.
originally posted by: incoserv
Honestly, I have a hard time taking polls - any polls - seriously. It's become clear that polls done by the major propaganda outlets are no longer meant to gauge public sentiment, but to manipulate and control it.
However, if they are starting to admit that the President had a tiny lead, I suspect that to mean that he had an enormous lead and they just can't stuff the whole story under the rug so they're letting a little of it out. As long as they can claim that he had a small lead, the contesting of the election based on fraudulent mail in ballots will be a little easier to pull off. If they admit the fact that he has a massive lead, it would make the contestation more difficult.
originally posted by: tamusan
a reply to: carewemust
Nearly everyone I know gets triggered just by the mere thought of Trump. This is the only place I'll freely admit my plans to vote for him. I Imagine there are many like me. I won't participate in polls either.
My wife would vote for him, too, but she just has a green card and can't vote in the U.S.
I don’t disagree at all with your assertion, in fact, I would say a good silent group would be those business owners who lost there businesses, by extension, their social network for friend and families who’ll equally sympathize.
originally posted by: Daughter2
a reply to: Arnie123
This is going to sound strange but these riots were done to create minority enthusiasm for Biden.
But it probably backfired and created more enthusiasm (though silent enthusiasm) for Trump.
originally posted by: Daughter2
a reply to: Arnie123
This is going to sound strange but these riots were done to create minority enthusiasm for Biden.
But it probably backfired and created more enthusiasm (though silent enthusiasm) for Trump.
originally posted by: carewemust
Since most of the big National polls are (for some reason) weighted with more Democrat than Republican responders, there probably needs to be 2 or 3 extra points added to President Trump's percentages.