Harvard Epidemiologist calling the Wu-Flu -“thermonuclear pandemic level bad"

Dr. Eric Feigl-Ding Went on a 8 tweet spree on Saturday releasing info on the RO numbers.

disrn.com...

“ We are now faced with the most virulent virus 🦠 epidemic the world has ever seen. An R0=3.8 means that it exceeds SARS's modest 0.49 viral attack rate by 7.75x — almost 8 fold! A virus that spreads 8 faster than SARS cannot be stopped by containment alone. A 99% quarantine lockdown containment of Wuhan will not even reduce the epidemic's spread by even 1/3rd in the next 2 weeks.”


The scary part? We know that China has lowballed the data.

I’ve been following this daily since December. Just a heads up... I think by then end of this week it’s going to get very real for everyone.

a reply to: BillyJoeeOzark

Maybe it's just me but I don't feel in the slightest bit alarmed. It's sad that people have died and may die but that's about it for me. I'm now expecting a big vaccine push from somewhere.

originally posted by: BillyJoeeOzark
Dr. Eric Feigl-Ding Went on a 8 tweet spree on Saturday releasing info on the RO numbers.

disrn.com...

“ We are now faced with the most virulent virus 🦠 epidemic the world has ever seen. An R0=3.8 means that it exceeds SARS's modest 0.49 viral attack rate by 7.75x — almost 8 fold! A virus that spreads 8 faster than SARS cannot be stopped by containment alone. A 99% quarantine lockdown containment of Wuhan will not even reduce the epidemic's spread by even 1/3rd in the next 2 weeks.”


The scary part? We know that China has lowballed the data.

I’ve been following this daily since December. Just a heads up... I think by then end of this week it’s going to get very real for everyone.

Doom porn. The virus is less lethal than Sars, seems to be less transmissible than Sars and there is no evidence to suggest that it persists in the environment more than Sars. The only problem is that it started in a metropolitan area rather than a rural one.

The crackdown on travel should confine it and make it easier to mitigate.

originally posted by: AaarghZombies

originally posted by: BillyJoeeOzark
Dr. Eric Feigl-Ding Went on a 8 tweet spree on Saturday releasing info on the RO numbers.

disrn.com...

“ We are now faced with the most virulent virus 🦠 epidemic the world has ever seen. An R0=3.8 means that it exceeds SARS's modest 0.49 viral attack rate by 7.75x — almost 8 fold! A virus that spreads 8 faster than SARS cannot be stopped by containment alone. A 99% quarantine lockdown containment of Wuhan will not even reduce the epidemic's spread by even 1/3rd in the next 2 weeks.”


The scary part? We know that China has lowballed the data.

I’ve been following this daily since December. Just a heads up... I think by then end of this week it’s going to get very real for everyone.

Doom porn. The virus is less lethal than Sars, seems to be less transmissible than Sars and there is no evidence to suggest that it persists in the environment more than Sars. The only problem is that it started in a metropolitan area rather than a rural one.

The crackdown on travel should confine it and make it easier to mitigate.

Good post to revisit in a couple of weeks.

Fear isn’t gonna monger itself.
I’ve survived worse, probably only the young and elderly with immune deficiencies that are at risk?

Or am I mistaken? This is flu right? Influenza virus?

People don’t contract it and start vomiting blood hours into the sickness?

From webmd:

Often a coronavirus causes upper respiratory infection symptoms like a stuffy nose, cough, and sore throat. You can treat them with rest and over-the-counter medication. The coronavirus can also cause middle ear infections in children.

It’s a cold...
I live in Africa, try again.

a reply to: ARM1968

Lol yep. Some of these people’s posts are definitely not going to age well.

What might complicate the analyzing this mess, is that from the different sources i been hearing the local hygiene culture in China is terrible! Some have sayed they dont wash their hands, they spit everywhere, they are not hygiene with food....

So if they dont even know how viruses get sprayed....they make the issue worse by not washing hands etc..


And combine that with the high population density . So we will see soon how this spread in Western countrys with basic hygiene knowledge..it might be slower acting in places where people at least try to wash hands etc..but i really dont know, i just hope it`will not be spreading with same speed as in China.

originally posted by: AaarghZombies

originally posted by: BillyJoeeOzark
Dr. Eric Feigl-Ding Went on a 8 tweet spree on Saturday releasing info on the RO numbers.

disrn.com...

“ We are now faced with the most virulent virus 🦠 epidemic the world has ever seen. An R0=3.8 means that it exceeds SARS's modest 0.49 viral attack rate by 7.75x — almost 8 fold! A virus that spreads 8 faster than SARS cannot be stopped by containment alone. A 99% quarantine lockdown containment of Wuhan will not even reduce the epidemic's spread by even 1/3rd in the next 2 weeks.”


The scary part? We know that China has lowballed the data.

I’ve been following this daily since December. Just a heads up... I think by then end of this week it’s going to get very real for everyone.

Doom porn. The virus is less lethal than Sars, seems to be less transmissible than Sars and there is no evidence to suggest that it persists in the environment more than Sars. The only problem is that it started in a metropolitan area rather than a rural one.

The crackdown on travel should confine it and make it easier to mitigate.

When you stop relying so heavily on sponsored media downplaying and start looking at the ground level actions you may be able to start taking those blinkers off. All ground level action is greatly contradictory to whats being reported.

Travel crackdowns won't confine it, its to late obviously, its already crossed oceans and infected many who are unawares so far who have in turn infected many others.

Infact the only thing the OP was of on was that it will be another two weeks not one before this gets very real, then its anyones guess the mortality rate.

a reply to: CthruU

I’m counting on Australia, Thailand, and Taiwan to be our gauge. They have had the numbers long enough that by the end of this week we should be able to tell how contagious it is from the data.

originally posted by: AaarghZombies

originally posted by: BillyJoeeOzark
Dr. Eric Feigl-Ding Went on a 8 tweet spree on Saturday releasing info on the RO numbers.

disrn.com...

“ We are now faced with the most virulent virus 🦠 epidemic the world has ever seen. An R0=3.8 means that it exceeds SARS's modest 0.49 viral attack rate by 7.75x — almost 8 fold! A virus that spreads 8 faster than SARS cannot be stopped by containment alone. A 99% quarantine lockdown containment of Wuhan will not even reduce the epidemic's spread by even 1/3rd in the next 2 weeks.”


The scary part? We know that China has lowballed the data.

I’ve been following this daily since December. Just a heads up... I think by then end of this week it’s going to get very real for everyone.

Doom porn. The virus is less lethal than Sars, seems to be less transmissible than Sars and there is no evidence to suggest that it persists in the environment more than Sars. The only problem is that it started in a metropolitan area rather than a rural one.

The crackdown on travel should confine it and make it easier to mitigate.

Based on China’s lying statistics that the msm repeats without a shred of collaborating.

Reports from the actual medical workers at the epicentre are that the infection rate is much worse and death toll significantly higher.

originally posted by: BillyJoeeOzark
a reply to: CthruU

I’m counting on Australia, Thailand, and Taiwan to be our gauge. They have had the numbers long enough that by the end of this week we should be able to tell how contagious it is from the data.

Exactly, that and their next move in relation to lockdowns but especially Australia. But first confirmed case in Australia was only a couple days ago in Melbourne i think so i still say TWO weeks, the gauge microscope for the truth seekers should be Australia - but Australia is very china friendly so they will try to tow the lowball line as far as they can. Australian social media i.e facebook will ablaze with chatter if the count starts rising.

At that point - i reckon internet shutdowns may just be the final nail in the spread of the truth coffin.

Which then for me anyway that picture will tell more than a thousand words.

Australia has at least a lot less people than China


World population density


Wuhan is really bad place to start this as it has so high density.

a reply to: GreenGunther

Are your rains blessed?

a reply to: BillyJoeeOzark

Well, hey, I guess everybody better get VACCINATED!

And all you maniacs opposed to government mandates, you shut up!

next.... the virus mutates in airborn ?

originally posted by: Archivalist
a reply to: GreenGunther

Are your rains blessed?

Blessed enough to make the grass grow



That’s all we need really.

It will be an interesting case study, if I'm not mistaken this might be the largest medical quarantine ever. The real question is what is the gestation time of the virus and when was patient 0 first infected? I imagine it is days to weeks in gestation so I'm not exactly optimistic about containing the virus.

As an aside what are the probabilities this is a man made virus? Despite being banned by the Geneva convention many countries still work on turning viruses into weapons of mass destruction.

a reply to: BillyJoeeOzark

8:45 am Jan 26 Wuhan Coronavirus update as of 24:00 Jan 25:

Real-time update on coronavirus outbreak

New cases: 688
New deaths: 15 (13 from Hubei, 1 from Shanghai, 1 from Henan)
Total cases: 1975
Total deaths: 56
Coronavirus cases outside of China: Thailand: 4 Japan: 2 South Korea: 2 US: 2 Vietnam: 2 Singapore:3 Malaysia:3 Nepal:1 France: 3 Australia: 1

a reply to: AaarghZombies

Hey Buddy. You need to take a read on the story again. Unless you failed in Math but then the story does have a tease headline to point you in the right direction.

Doom porn. The virus is less lethal than Sars, seems to be less transmissible than Sars and there is no evidence to suggest that it persists in the environment more than Sars. The only problem is that it started in a metropolitan area rather than a rural one.

a reply to: Waterglass

If you google each country separately you will get the real totals. Germany has one. Australia 4 . Taiwan 4 . Thailand I think the last was 6. It’s changing rapidly.