Corona Virus Updates

a reply to: EndtheMadnessNow


Hopefully, considering that those 5 people had been living together and only ONE turned out positive, it is not as infectious as we thought.

Otherwise my archipelago is in danger... Thanks, Germany. #.

a reply to: Necrose

*If* you trust the official numbers.

originally posted by: Necrose
Given the official numbers, it's safe to assume the exponential growth has been stopped, it's just a linear growth - slowing down.
Hubei today = 1347 new cases
Hubei yesterday = 1220 new cases

10% increase

It's looking good.

Maybe the quarantine is working? Then again, are these actual numbers, or fudged?

originally posted by: Dolby_X
a reply to: MetalThunder

They are Guarding Quarantine zone i imagine

Chinese "escapees" claimed people trying to flee the quarantine zone were being shot, but that doesn't mean a massive military presence is guarding it... just that POSSIBLY there are armed guards watching the perimeter (military or police.. not sure how that works in China)

a reply to: DAZ21

Just because it may have some genetic structures that resemble structures common to HIV doesn't mean it acts at all like HIV.

It's still more corona virus, but even then, it interacts with our immune system nothing at all like the corona viruses that commonly circulate in the human population.

a reply to: MrRCflying

Those are the numbers tested.

How many have not been tested?

a reply to: MetalThunder

Because they wouldn't know how. There was two live streams yesterday showing the construction of both hospitals.

a reply to: Necrose

Anyone who believes China is issuing anything close to official numbers needs to seriously consider the regime behind the numbers. The numbers are nowhere near correct.

a reply to: Necrose

The scary thing is it might still have exponential growth, but because we have reached and tapped out our testing capacities the numbers have leveled off at what they are officially reported as.

If I only have a 1000 test kits and the man power to test only 1000 people per day, then my growth rate will reflect that and can only be 1000 per day, regardless of the real number of infected and the spread of infection.

That's the problem here, and because we don't have transparency, we can only use these numbers as a sample representation of the whole population to infer the spread of disease with a very wide margin of error.

That's why the Hong Kong specialists inferred that the numbers of infected were much larger than those being reported.

If you can't test it, it cant be reported.

a reply to: Necrose

It's looking good.

LoL by what metric?

Youre also forgetting they dont have enough testing kits to test everyone, and there are 10s of millions confined to their houses, so theres no way to get the numbers accurately for growth OR deaths

a reply to: ketsuko

So we can definitely say those who have become infected and survived won't have secondary complications in several months to a few years time? I guess it depends on whether this is a simple Corona virus or a man made biological weapon.

Guess we'll have to wait and see to find out.

originally posted by: Bicent
a reply to: Trillium

Until you get a gusty windy day.

😝

With 50 + family incoming we can hold on for awhile

originally posted by: Mateo96
a reply to: EndtheMadnessNow


Hopefully, considering that those 5 people had been living together and only ONE turned out positive, it is not as infectious as we thought.

Otherwise my archipelago is in danger... Thanks, Germany. #.

I wouldn't assume the other 3 are in the clear... we heard of multiple cases where "suspected cases" had tests come back negative one or two times, and then positive as the infection progressed upon a 3rd test. And MOST countries infected are probably not testing suspected cases 3 times... (or don't have the resources to do so)

a reply to: Mateo96

According to this paper the virus may have an R0 = 4.08 coupled with potential “super-spreaders” I would think spells big trouble.

originally posted by: Nothin

originally posted by: Trillium
BREAKING

The United States declares a national public health emergency over coronavirus

twitter.com...

It's been posted a couple of times, but thanks anyways.

The good news is that it's gonna stop at the Canada-US border.
National public health emergency in the US, and
Risk to the public is 'zero,' doctor says, for us lucky Canucks !

Completely opposite reactions...

Yah and I have a couple of bridges for sale cheap..that new case in London is just north of me and she went to Western University..one of the biggest universities in SW Ontario..they say she isolated herself but at what point and when did she land. She had zero symptoms at that time. I have lots of family in that city.

The paper about so called HIV inserts will be torn to shreads by the scientific community in the coming days,

However, a simple BLAST of such short sequences shows match to a huge variety of organisms. No reason to conclude HIV.

twitter.com...

originally posted by: weirdguy
The paper about so called HIV inserts will be torn to shreads by the scientific community in the coming days,

However, a simple BLAST of such short sequences shows match to a huge variety of organisms. No reason to conclude HIV.

twitter.com...

"Torn to shreds" via science, or via obfuscation & muddying waters? Time will tell (if true ever comes out)

a reply to: FamCore

Police in China were issued guns in 2016.

I remember vividly because within 2 weeks there were 2 case of police officers shooting each other in anger.

An article from Daily mail with one the the American Evacuees

One of the rules we weren't to share on social media. I heard and saw a couple people weren't allowed into the airport - you're not on the list, you gotta go. 

'As a US citizen, seeing other US citizens not able to go home to their families... if I was in that situation, I wouldn't know what to do.

'I would have been hurt. My heart and my prayers not only the US citizens there but the Chinese friends I have because this is scary,' he said

originally posted by: EndtheMadnessNow
a reply to: Mateo96

According to this paper the virus may have an R0 = 4.08 coupled with potential “super-spreaders” I would think spells big trouble.

From your article..

We estimate the effective reproduction number for 2019-nCoV based on the daily reported cases from China CDC. The results indicate that 2019-nCoV has a higher effective reproduction number than SARS with a comparable fatality rate.