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originally posted by: TritonTaranis
originally posted by: Phage
a reply to: shawmanfromny
Does that mean climate change cannot exacerbate the problem?
Australia see temps just like this every summer
Just like California
Both were the climate is similar they have the same bushfire problems, we are seeing an increase due to far left climate alarmists exacerbating bushfires, not climate
When you see a bush fires on this scale in parts of the world it isn’t the norm, you might have a point but everything looks pretty normal
originally posted by: Flatcoat
a reply to: weirdguy
I have to ask, what is that first map supposed to represent?
originally posted by: IAMALLYETALLIAM
My old man has been fighting fires in this area for 20+ years- in a fire storm situation they do not even need fuel to move from one location to another and can spread up 1km+ purely burning through the oxygen which is terrifying!!
originally posted by: Phage
a reply to: shawmanfromny
Does that mean climate change cannot exacerbate the problem?
These changes affect many Australians, particularly the changes associated with increases in the frequency or intensity of heat events, fire weather and drought. Australia will need to plan for and adapt to some level of climate change.
Australia's climate has warmed just over 1 °C since 1910 leading to an increase in the frequency of extreme heat events.
Oceans around Australia have warmed by around 1 °C since 1910, contributing to longer and more frequent marine heatwaves.
The oceans around Australia are acidifying (the pH is decreasing).
originally posted by: glend
originally posted by: Phage
a reply to: shawmanfromny
Does that mean climate change cannot exacerbate the problem?
Well it has but not in the way you think. Because green movement has been jumping up and down about climate change the authorities have made it increasingly difficult to do burn-offs so the fuel in national Forrest have been increasing to dangerous levels for a number of years.
This link from volunteerfirefighters.org.au explains the problem.
originally posted by: harold223
originally posted by: glend
originally posted by: Phage
a reply to: shawmanfromny
Does that mean climate change cannot exacerbate the problem?
Well it has but not in the way you think. Because green movement has been jumping up and down about climate change the authorities have made it increasingly difficult to do burn-offs so the fuel in national Forrest have been increasing to dangerous levels for a number of years.
This link from volunteerfirefighters.org.au explains the problem.
Bull... I have posted already in another thread a fact checking article from the Guardian Australia that cites officials including NSW Fire authorities thoroughly debunking this claim as "conspiratorial". It is Bull%^&* pure and simple. People need to stop spouting this bull%^&* so that we can actually have a serious and planned response that takes into account the reality of AGW in a disaster like this.
originally posted by: glend
a reply to: weirdguy
The only constant in climate is change so when you call people deniers it's actually the "global warmists" that deny climate change. But eh I understand why you don't want call yourself "global warmists" with the weather cooling and all.
The charts you show are tainted. When old F data was converted to Celcius they dropped the decimals.
originally posted by: weirdguy
originally posted by: glend
a reply to: weirdguy
The only constant in climate is change so when you call people deniers it's actually the "global warmists" that deny climate change. But eh I understand why you don't want call yourself "global warmists" with the weather cooling and all.
The charts you show are tainted. When old F data was converted to Celcius they dropped the decimals.
Read the report
originally posted by: IAMALLYETALLIAM
Ok, I live in one of the regions of Australia that is currently on fire. Thankfully my town has been spared so far.
I can tell you that as the fires have approached, there are two cases of arson/attempted arson I am aware of. One was in a small town roughly 25km's away- a person of no fixed address was arrested and charged with arson along with drug related crimes.
Whilst we were staying at friends place in the next town west when it was starting to build to extreme conditions again somebody allegedly tried starting a fire just a few blocks south of me.
A majority of the current fires have been started by dry lightning as a result of the main fires. When bush fires here grow to a particular size and ferocity they begin to generate their own weather including thunder and electrical storms.
For the past 10 years here the bush land has been drying out at a rate no local has seen before. Many farmers, people who work and live in the bush have been saying it is the driest they have ever seen it and many have been warning of this 'perfect storm' condition for quite some time.
The severity of what is happening here can not be understated. There will be nearly nothing left of my region which encompasses a large majority of the eastern part of the state of Victoria.
According to the NSW Department of Environment, hazard reduction efforts in NSW have increased under the Enhanced Bushfire Management Program (EBMP), which came into effect in 2011.
The statewide program began with a five-year commitment to treat 135,000 hectares of bushland (on average) each year. In 2017, the NSW Government extended the program to 2022.
The NSW National Parks and Wildlife Service operates under the Rural Fires Act 1997 and under the National Parks and Wildlife Act 1974.
Over the last eight years, according to its website, the NPWS carried out hazard reduction burns in NSW parks and reserves covering more than 680,000 hectares — more than double that of the previous five-year period.
"NPWS has undertaken 80 per cent of the total hazard reduction burning effort recorded in NSW, despite managing less than 9 per cent of the state," its website states.
Fire behaviour under extreme and catastrophic conditions
Experts emphasised that in extreme and catastrophic fire conditions, the surface fuel available for burning makes next to no difference to the level of a fire's intensity.
University of Melbourne associate professor Trent Penman, who studies bushfire behaviour,told Fact Check: "Prescribed burning effectiveness decreases with [increasing] FFDI; when you exceed an FFDI of about 50, you switch from fuel-dominated to a weather-dominated fire.
"At this point, while fuel has a small effect, it is overwhelmed by the weather."
Professor Bradstock agreed, pointing to the example of Victoria's Black Saturday bushfires in 2009 that claimed the lives of 173 people.
His team studied the aftermath of the fires which were associated with an FFDI of well above 100.
They found that even in the areas where fuel had been treated with planned burns less than five years prior, there was no measurable effect on the intensity of the fires.
originally posted by: glend
originally posted by: Phage
a reply to: shawmanfromny
Does that mean climate change cannot exacerbate the problem?
Well it has but not in the way you think. Because green movement has been jumping up and down about climate change the authorities have made it increasingly difficult to do burn-offs so the fuel in national Forrest have been increasing to dangerous levels for a number of years.
This link from volunteerfirefighters.org.au explains the problem.
Volunteer Fire Fighters Association is a 'politically charged' group with 'unclear motives': NSW RFS commissioner
Commissioner of the New South Wales Rural Fire Service Shane Fitzsimmons says he would put "very little store in anything the Volunteer Fire Fighters Association (VFFA) has to say," due to the lack of "access to information about who they claim to represent, how many they represent, and how they operate". Mr Fitzsimmons told Sky News the VFFA are "highly politically-charged, their leader is a failed political candidate" with unclear motivations.
This remodelling – known as homogenisation – involves the detection of discontinuities and then adjustments which generally result in past temperatures being cooled relative to the present. By cooling the past, present temperatures appear hotter. For example, considering maximum temperatures at Rutherglen, the largest single drop-down (adjustment) to daily temperatures occurs from 1 January 1938 back in time. The Bureau classifies the hot summer of 1938/1939 as a ‘discontinuity’ that is ‘statistical’ in ‘cause’ and then cools all the days before 31 December 1938 by 0.6 degrees Celsius back to 1912 – the beginning of the record.
link
BP, the largest oil company in the UK and one of the largest in the world, has this opinion:
There is an increasing consensus that climate change is linked to the consumption of carbon based fuels and that action is required now to avoid further increases in carbon emissions as the global demand for energy increases.
Shell Oil says:
Shell shares the widespread concern that the emission of greenhouse gases from human activities is leading to changes in the global climate.