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originally posted by: Wardaddy454
Why isn't New Zealand as dry?
originally posted by: EvilAxis
originally posted by: Wardaddy454
Why isn't New Zealand as dry?
That question betrays an ignorance of climate science and ignorance of the freakish heatwaves and serious bushfires New Zealand suffered in 2017 and 2019.
originally posted by: Wardaddy454
originally posted by: FyreByrd
a reply to: shawmanfromny
The initial 'cause' of any given fire is not the issue.
It is the conditions on the ground that allow for easy combustion and difficulty in controlling and extinguishing the fire once begun.
This counter argument that X, Y or Z did not cause an incident (i.e. global warming is not caused by mankind) is overly simplistic and dangerous. It does not take into account all the factors involved nor the context which the initiating 'spark' so to speak was a single piece.
It's the same argument that tobacco company's used, "Cigarette smoking doesn't 'cause'" lung cancer." The 19th and 20th centuries deconstructive methods of the science and thinking are no longer valid for the complex problems we need to answer contemporary questions.
Why isn't New Zealand as dry?
originally posted by: Dr UAE
a reply to: weirdguy
Al Gore has nothing to do with what is happening now FFS
neither does climate has to do with what Australia is going through
originally posted by: IAMALLYETALLIAM
A majority of the current fires have been started by dry lightning as a result of the main fires. When bush fires here grow to a particular size and ferocity they begin to generate their own weather including thunder and electrical storms.
The effects of rising temperature on drying out the environment can be countered by rainfall or by the growth of vegetation that increases humidity locally. But in the southern half of Australia, where rain falls mostly in the winter, there has been a substantial decline in precipitation. In the southwest of the country, rainfall has declined by around 20 percent since the 1970s, and in the southeast, around 11 percent of rainfall has been lost since the 1990s.
One of the factors driving this long-term loss of winter rainfall is the positive trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM). This change is causing the westerly winds that circle the Southern Ocean to shift southward toward Antarctica, causing rain-bearing winter cold fronts to pass south of the Australian continent. The role of anthropogenic climate change in driving this trend in the SAM is also clear in the science.
Southeastern Australia has been in drought since 2017. Rainfall here is normally highly variable from year to year, but there have now been three winters in a row where the winter rains failed. This is a situation that has never been seen before in the historical record of Australia’s rainfall, even during infamous decade-long droughts such as the Millennium Drought. The severity of the current drought has caused large swathes of vegetation to die. It has even dried out wet rain forests, allowing fierce fires to take hold in places that would not normally burn.
The current summer has presented the perfect storm for wildfire. Long-term climate warming, combined with years of drought, colliding with a set of climate patterns that deliver severe fire weather.
In the tropical Indian Ocean, one of the most severe positive Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) events on record played out this year. The unusually cold sea-surface temperatures in the eastern Indian Ocean cut off one of Australia’s critical moisture sources, adding to the ongoing drought in southern parts of the country. Australia’s worst fire seasons typically follow positive IOD events, much more so than the influence of El Niño events in the Pacific. Again, climate change is part of the story, because anthropogenic warming is causing positive IOD events to become stronger and more frequent.
The angry summer playing out in Australia right now was predictable. The scientific evidence is well known for how anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions are causing long-term climate change and altering climate variability in ways that increase our fire risk. The role of climate change in the unprecedented fires gripping Australia is also well understood by our emergency services. Sadly, though, this summer has occurred against a backdrop in which the Australian government has argued, on the world stage, to scale back our greenhouse-gas-emissions-reduction targets. Our leaders are literally fiddling while the country burns.
originally posted by: weirdguy
Another thing that is profoundly stupid is the fact that grown men get triggered by an autistic young girl with something to say. Look out! That young girl has something to say again! pffft pathetic.....
All of the indications are that we are galloping into changing fire regimes. We can certainly see that with what’s occurred in the Australian alps (the snow country in southeastern Australia, near Mount Kosciuszko). There were incredibly intense fires there around the early 2000s and now those areas are re-burning.
To me, as a fire researcher, that’s an astonishing thought.
Yes, there have been very large fires in the past but they weren’t followed up with yet more very large fires a mere 15 years later. Normally, you’d be expecting a gap of 50 or 100 years. So the ecology is telling us that we are seeing the intervals between the fires shrinking. That is a really big warning sign.
And this increasingly frequent fire activity is completely consistent with what climate modelling was suggesting. The whole system is moving to a world that is hotter, drier, and with more frequent fire activity. It’s what was forecast and it’s what is now happening.
originally posted by: rickymouse
a reply to: harold223
He says it cycles, yet he says this cycle is climate change but the others weren't? That isn't even correlation.
Yes, we are poluting, but what the Paris Climate change BS is pushing is not going to fix the problem. We need to build things to last way longer, remaking all this death dated crap with short life has to stop. That is the best way to fix it. Also, we need to stop dumping all these chemicals onto our land, it is killing the organisms that actually tie up the carbon. Lots of microbes are beneficial to the environment.
The climate agenda scam is just a scam, the old environmentalists back in the seventies were trying to tell people to stop all of the destruction to the environment, heck, they would pile six to eight people into a VW van and travel hundreds of miles to go to demonstrations, they did not fly or travel individually, they actually carpooled. One person flying across the country equates to more fuel than three people driving across the country in a car. So, a couple flying across the country is way worse than them driving. On top of that, if you had to drive, you would probably not go because your vacation would be all traveling.
It is all screwed up now, Activists do not have to slam people, they need to educate them and get the people to demand products that last way longer. It would save money if everything lasted twice as long too, even if the cost was a third more. China can make products that last but the importers from America want them to fail so they can sell new ones again in a few years. Our economy is consumer based now mostly, so everyone has to buy more often so our people got jobs selling and transporting goods from china, we should make more here where environmental standards are higher.
originally posted by: Phage
a reply to: shawmanfromny
Does that mean climate change cannot exacerbate the problem?
originally posted by: TritonTaranis
originally posted by: Phage
a reply to: shawmanfromny
Does that mean climate change cannot exacerbate the problem?
Australia see temps just like this every summer
Just like California
Both were the climate is similar they have the same bushfire problems, we are seeing an increase due to far left climate alarmists exacerbating bushfires, not climate
When you see a bush fires on this scale in parts of the world it isn’t the norm, you might have a point but everything looks pretty normal