North Atlantic Hurricane Watch 2017

originally posted by: Sillyolme
a reply to: crappiekat

NOAA gives those lows a less than 40% chance for development.

No words of promises broken from the models..

a reply to: Cauliflower

Thanks Cauliflower.

I'm on vacation and haven't been able to follow

It sounds like storm surge is a concern.
weather.com...

a reply to: crappiekat

We don't know what is wrong with those pumps, Trump didn't inspect them so it didn't make the news.
Might only take 24 hours of wrench spinning on the gear boxes of those New Orleans pumps to get them operational.
Current thinking is that there might be a trough in play that brings some heavy rain and surge east.

Here's the latest.

www.goes.noaa.gov...

Make sure you "refresh"

a reply to: crappiekat

I forgot to express my expression.

Hahahahaha....

As of 11:47CST

www.nhc.noaa.gov...

www.nola.com...

a reply to: crappiekat

Just wondering if you happened upon that thread from awhile back (6 months?), wherein an ATS member shared their dream, which they thought to be prophetic? They spoke of floods and a wall of water, and general mayhem; this was around the time our Oroville Dam starting getting attention. Some people brought up Oroville at that time, in the thread.

Here's why I ask: as I sit here and "envision" the descriptions of ATS Poster's dream from months ago, something struck me funny, and I wondered if there was a link instead to THIS water beast, Harvey, as opposed to being about Oroville?

Thoughts?

Could be wrong. Did not have my second cup of coffee today.

a reply to: HollywoodFarmGirl

Hi HFG.

No, I don't remember that.

If you have a link, I would take a look.

Well now we have TS "Irma"

Doesn't look like she's going to head into the Gulf.

Slow moving 13mph
Max sustained winds 50mph.

Heading toward the Leeward Islands

www.nhc.noaa.gov...



And I don't want to forget "Franklin"
Franklin which is strengthening in the Western Carribean.

weather.com...

a reply to: crappiekat

Sorry I was reading so many reports I posted the wrong information.

It is Cyclone 14 (NOT FRANKLIN)

SSE of the Southern tip of Baja, Cali.
www.nhc.noaa.gov...

a reply to: crappiekat

The long range forecasts show a possible tropical storm(NOT Irma) near Texas/Louisiana in about a week. Obviously any more rain will be devasting.

Irma could be a threat to the east coast, but way too soon to make a reasonable prediction.

a reply to: crappiekat


After the "ratings bump" from Harvey, the media is now keying in on Tropical Storms that would normally not receive any notice by the MSM.

IRMA: www.foxnews.com...

a reply to: crappiekat

The Euro model which did so well with Harvey a week in advance develops Irma into a strong hurricane.
At 168 hours it has a dangerous Irma very near or over Puerto Rico.
Not much accuracy in any model after that so I'm ignoring for now.
Beyond 168 hours there is a model split, but the Euro still does bring Irma into the gulf.

Irma is now a Cat 2 Hurricane.
www.nhc.noaa.gov...



Where she will end up? The Euro models are pointing a Florida. But as others have said it is too early to tell for sure.

a reply to: crappiekat

Latest Euro run now puts Major hurricane Irma through the Florida straits after dropping the central pressures down into the 920's north of Cuba.

You can't evacuate people effectively 10 days ahead of time.

a reply to: Cauliflower

Well, this is what's going on with her now.

Irma is back down to a Cat 2
Winds 110mph
Pressure 972mb
movement WNW at 13mph
1580 mi E of Leeward Islands

www.nhc.noaa.gov...


I have seen the spaghetti models taking her into the the Florida straits, and I have seen some taking her up the US east coast.

I don't want to try and predict what she will do.

I hope to heck she takes a quick turn North and heads off into the Atlantic.

Hurricane Irma is a major Hurricane again. 115 mph

U.S. Impact still unknown.

weather.com...

This is going to be a long annoying wait.

a reply to: crappiekat

There will be a strong cold front crossing NW to SE across the USA next week. Hopefully, it will nudge Irma north and eventually northeast...away from the United States.

From your fingers to Gods ears.

weather.com... Forcast Challenges

:up

I just wanna say to anyone in Florida and the East Coast.

It might not even come near the U.S. like carewemust said.

Please use this time to prepare. Find out where your evacuation routes are and etc....

Consider yourself doing a live drill. If nothing happens, you will have learned a few things. Learning is good.

Because the next time, it might be real. And you will know exactly what to do. It may save your life.

Peace to all