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Russia is bleeding cash at an alarming rate. After almost two years in recession, the country's rainy day fund has shrunk to just $32.2 billion this month, according to the Russian Finance Ministry.
It was $91.7 billion in September 2014, just before oil prices started to collapse. And it's getting worse. Analysts expect the fund will shrink to just $15 billion by the end of this year and dry up completely soon after that.
"At the current rate, the fund would be depleted in mid-2017, perhaps a few months later," Ondrej Schneider, chief economist at the Institute of International Finance, wrote in a note this week.
The government's reserve fund is designed to cover shortfalls in the national budget at times of low oil and gas revenues. Russia's 2016 budget is based on the assumption the country would be able to sell its oil for $50 per barrel.
But the average oil price in the first eight months of the year was less than $43 per barrel. Oil now makes up just 37% of all government revenues, compared to roughly 50% just two years ago. The government will reveal next year's budget after a parliamentary election this weekend.
This slump means the government is having to tap the rainy day fund again and again.
The government indicated that once the reserves are depleted, it may have to turn to its welfare fund. Kremlin says the welfare fund has over $70 billion in it. The fund is not intended to cover budget shortfalls, but rather to finance future pensions and large-scale investment projects.
Russians are waking up to the harsh reality that the economic crisis is nowhere near over, despite what President Vladimir Putin has been telling them.
There have even been several protests against the economic crisis -- a rare sight in a country where demonstrations don't happen very often.
Ordinary Russians are suffering because of the devastating impact of low oil prices and Western sanctions. Real wages fell 9.5% in 2015, with an average Russian earning just over 30,300 rubles ($385) a month last year, official data show.
At the same time, prices are rising fast. Inflation hit 12.5% in 2015 and could take longer to slow down if the ruble continues to fall. The currency has plunged since the start of the year, hitting an all-time low of 85 rubles per dollar on Thursday.
Official statistics show that over 20 million Russians, roughly 14% of the population, are now living in poverty. That compares with 16 million in 2014.
originally posted by: TheKnightofDoom
a reply to: reldra
He will need foreign labour to build that wall.
originally posted by: paraphi
Putin and his cliché will keep in power because they control the media. They can blame (and do) all their woes on the EU and the US. The recent elections which were won by Putin's party were the result of opposition parties being marginalised, ignored and dissuaded. They were certainly unable to have access media that pretended they were not there.
If the only thing the Russian people hear is how great Putin is, then that's what they will believe.
originally posted by: JanAmosComenius
originally posted by: paraphi
It will take at least another generation when ordinary Russian forget this foreign "help".
Posted by reldra:
I wish they would forget it now, but we still send food and money.edit on 22-9-2016 by reldra because: quting messing up
originally posted by: reldra
originally posted by: JanAmosComenius
originally posted by: paraphi
It will take at least another generation when ordinary Russian forget this foreign "help".
I wish they would forget it now, but we still send food and money.
Who is sending money and food to Russia? Is it something like "food for oil"
Why do you think it is good to forget that you were robed by some entity?
originally posted by: JanAmosComenius
originally posted by: reldra
originally posted by: JanAmosComenius
originally posted by: paraphi
It will take at least another generation when ordinary Russian forget this foreign "help".
I wish they would forget it now, but we still send food and money.
Who is sending money and food to Russia? Is it something like "food for oil"
Why do you think it is good to forget that you were robed by some entity?
Why are the quotes messing up? reldra said this:
I didnt say anything about food for oil. Russia is not a source of oil for the US.edit on 22-9-2016 by reldra because: (no reason given)
originally posted by: reldra
a reply to: JanAmosComenius
Lots of pl can get around firewalls. I can to watch BBC shows abd CBC shows. Chinese people can to watch 'shameless'. Not that difficult.
originally posted by: Whereismypassword
a reply to: reldra
What rock bands are you talking about?
originally posted by: JanAmosComenius
originally posted by: reldra
a reply to: JanAmosComenius
Lots of pl can get around firewalls. I can to watch BBC shows abd CBC shows. Chinese people can to watch 'shameless'. Not that difficult.
But there is no need in Russia unless you are interested in snuff porn or violent jihad.