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originally posted by: Gazrok
Polls really aren't reliable in THIS election.
For starters, many folks are embarrassed to admit who they'll vote for (whether Hillary or Trump), so likely to lie to pollsters (especially if not alone and with others with different views). Or simply not answer them at all.
Many Trump voters may not admit it to pollsters, but vote for him once the curtain is drawn.
Most sources are especially biased one way or the other this election...even ones generally thought to be impartial. You can see it in their sample data, how it skews the results.
Many former Bernie supporters will stay home, but may still give an answer to pollsters, skewing it that way.
SO much can change in this, like more Wikileaks for Clinton, Trump saying more dumb things, etc.
So, so many factors, that polls are basically worthless for it.
originally posted by: MrSpad
originally posted by: Gazrok
Polls really aren't reliable in THIS election.
For starters, many folks are embarrassed to admit who they'll vote for (whether Hillary or Trump), so likely to lie to pollsters (especially if not alone and with others with different views). Or simply not answer them at all.
Many Trump voters may not admit it to pollsters, but vote for him once the curtain is drawn.
Most sources are especially biased one way or the other this election...even ones generally thought to be impartial. You can see it in their sample data, how it skews the results.
Many former Bernie supporters will stay home, but may still give an answer to pollsters, skewing it that way.
SO much can change in this, like more Wikileaks for Clinton, Trump saying more dumb things, etc.
So, so many factors, that polls are basically worthless for it.
Nobody knows who you are when you take a poll and they proved accurate all through primaries. And again, if the public poll numbers were all being faked then both the GOPs pollsters and the Trump campaign pollsters would be releasing the real results with stats to back them up.
If Trump had good numbers the GOP would stay beside him, instead we have another GOP member of Congress abandoning him to join the other side. That tells you the internal numbers are just as bad or worse then the public.
Also the fact that the DNC sees the key battleground states as secure they are moving money and resources to grab some traditional red states to make this thing a crushing defeat.
None of that happens of the internal polling is not showing the same thing as the public polls. Every election people bash the polls when they do not agree with the results yet the polls have always proven to be very accurate.
originally posted by: MyHappyDogShiner
Y'all do know these polls don't really mean anything, right?.
.
originally posted by: UKTruth
originally posted by: MrSpad
originally posted by: Gazrok
Polls really aren't reliable in THIS election.
For starters, many folks are embarrassed to admit who they'll vote for (whether Hillary or Trump), so likely to lie to pollsters (especially if not alone and with others with different views). Or simply not answer them at all.
Many Trump voters may not admit it to pollsters, but vote for him once the curtain is drawn.
Most sources are especially biased one way or the other this election...even ones generally thought to be impartial. You can see it in their sample data, how it skews the results.
Many former Bernie supporters will stay home, but may still give an answer to pollsters, skewing it that way.
SO much can change in this, like more Wikileaks for Clinton, Trump saying more dumb things, etc.
So, so many factors, that polls are basically worthless for it.
Nobody knows who you are when you take a poll and they proved accurate all through primaries. And again, if the public poll numbers were all being faked then both the GOPs pollsters and the Trump campaign pollsters would be releasing the real results with stats to back them up.
If Trump had good numbers the GOP would stay beside him, instead we have another GOP member of Congress abandoning him to join the other side. That tells you the internal numbers are just as bad or worse then the public.
Also the fact that the DNC sees the key battleground states as secure they are moving money and resources to grab some traditional red states to make this thing a crushing defeat.
None of that happens of the internal polling is not showing the same thing as the public polls. Every election people bash the polls when they do not agree with the results yet the polls have always proven to be very accurate.
In which case they were accurate a week or so ago when Trump had a lead. A week is a long time in politics.
Clinton's lead is already narrowing - Reuters has her up by 4, YouGov by 3. Reuters is the latest poll.
I hope Hillary is switching to red states and thinks the battleground states are won - that would be a mistake.
originally posted by: MrSpad
originally posted by: UKTruth
originally posted by: MrSpad
originally posted by: Gazrok
Polls really aren't reliable in THIS election.
For starters, many folks are embarrassed to admit who they'll vote for (whether Hillary or Trump), so likely to lie to pollsters (especially if not alone and with others with different views). Or simply not answer them at all.
Many Trump voters may not admit it to pollsters, but vote for him once the curtain is drawn.
Most sources are especially biased one way or the other this election...even ones generally thought to be impartial. You can see it in their sample data, how it skews the results.
Many former Bernie supporters will stay home, but may still give an answer to pollsters, skewing it that way.
SO much can change in this, like more Wikileaks for Clinton, Trump saying more dumb things, etc.
So, so many factors, that polls are basically worthless for it.
Nobody knows who you are when you take a poll and they proved accurate all through primaries. And again, if the public poll numbers were all being faked then both the GOPs pollsters and the Trump campaign pollsters would be releasing the real results with stats to back them up.
If Trump had good numbers the GOP would stay beside him, instead we have another GOP member of Congress abandoning him to join the other side. That tells you the internal numbers are just as bad or worse then the public.
Also the fact that the DNC sees the key battleground states as secure they are moving money and resources to grab some traditional red states to make this thing a crushing defeat.
None of that happens of the internal polling is not showing the same thing as the public polls. Every election people bash the polls when they do not agree with the results yet the polls have always proven to be very accurate.
In which case they were accurate a week or so ago when Trump had a lead. A week is a long time in politics.
Clinton's lead is already narrowing - Reuters has her up by 4, YouGov by 3. Reuters is the latest poll.
I hope Hillary is switching to red states and thinks the battleground states are won - that would be a mistake.
Polls week to week can skew, the Conventions gave Trump his bump and the closest he has been in since the start of the primary's but, then Clinton got her convention bounce and shot back past Trump again. Now that polls the include Trumps disaster with the Gold Star families Clinton's lead has grown again. In the three battle ground states Trump's campaign says he needs to win, Clinton has a 15 point lead in New Hampshire, 9 point lead in Michigan, and a 13 point lead in Pennsylvania, a 6 point lead in FL. These are states she had lead Trump almost exclusively since the start of the primaries. Trump is polling weak in several red states so the DNC is going to hit him there. Even if they do not take them, Trump has to use money and resources, something he has less of, to secure them. And he desperately needs focus on the battle ground states to at least become competitive.
Right now the only thing that could save Trump is some incredible debate performances where he does not act crazy and come across as sane, leader who can argue issues. of course his advisers have been trying to make him act like that for months and failed and Trump seems a bit afraid of the debates so who knows if they will even happen. Or if he will even be in the race by then. What he is in now is a spiral, as his numbers drop so his GOP allies and voters. As those allies and voters leave his numbers go down more.
The convention and the weeks after it are when most Americans get into the campaign and chose sides. That is why polling numbers shoot up. The problem for Trump is he took the most important weeks of his campaign a chose to fight with Veterans, Fire Marshall's and other Republicans. Why? Maybe he is stupid, maybe he a plant. maybe he is losing his mind, maybe he throwing the race. Whatever the reason, he handed the Clinton a massive advantage and made winning nearly impossible.
originally posted by: khnum
a reply to: UKTruth
It was over before it ever began if you know who Hillary is in Prophecy you know she will be President and what happens after that.Futures so bright Americans will need welding goggles.She is an instrument of Gods judgement.
originally posted by: damwel
Of course Hillary being ahead is because it's rigged. Wouldn't happen to have anything to do with the fact that Donald Trump insults veterans, women, disabled people and in general acts like he's trying to appeal to the lowest intellectual group in the country. You people just slay me. Lol. It must be the "Liberal Media", which of course is owned by rich conservatives.
originally posted by: MrSpad
originally posted by: Gazrok
Polls really aren't reliable in THIS election.
For starters, many folks are embarrassed to admit who they'll vote for (whether Hillary or Trump), so likely to lie to pollsters (especially if not alone and with others with different views). Or simply not answer them at all.
Many Trump voters may not admit it to pollsters, but vote for him once the curtain is drawn.
Most sources are especially biased one way or the other this election...even ones generally thought to be impartial. You can see it in their sample data, how it skews the results.
Many former Bernie supporters will stay home, but may still give an answer to pollsters, skewing it that way.
SO much can change in this, like more Wikileaks for Clinton, Trump saying more dumb things, etc.
So, so many factors, that polls are basically worthless for it.
Nobody knows who you are when you take a poll and they proved accurate all through primaries. And again, if the public poll numbers were all being faked then both the GOPs pollsters and the Trump campaign pollsters would be releasing the real results with stats to back them up.
If Trump had good numbers the GOP would stay beside him, instead we have another GOP member of Congress abandoning him to join the other side. That tells you the internal numbers are just as bad or worse then the public.
Also the fact that the DNC sees the key battleground states as secure they are moving money and resources to grab some traditional red states to make this thing a crushing defeat.
None of that happens of the internal polling is not showing the same thing as the public polls. Every election people bash the polls when they do not agree with the results yet the polls have always proven to be very accurate.