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In our research we examined the election results of the 2016 presidential primaries, and found irregularities in the overwhelming majority of the twenty-one states that we analyzed. The data indicates, in particular, that the totals reported on the Democratic side in the race between Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders may not be correct.
In state after state, independent examination by two separate analysts found suspect statistical patterns giving Clinton inflated percentages, that in all likelihood, are not fully based on actual votes, and showing Sanders with what appear to be artificially depressed totals.
The difference between the reported totals, and our best estimate of the actual vote totals, varies considerably from state to state. However, these differences are significant—sometimes more than 10%—and could change the outcome of the 2016 Democratic presidential primary.
We found irregularities in the 2016 Republican presidential primary as well, and while concerning, we do not believe they are large enough to change the outcome of that race. It is important to note that the fact that a candidate benefits from irregularities does not imply that a candidate is responsible for them.
Fritz Scheuren, a member of the statistics faculty at George Washington University, and a former president of the American Statistical Association, has been a collaborator in this research. Examining the data from the study, Scheuren said, “As a statistician, I find the results of the 2016 primary voting unusual. In fact, I found the patterns unexpected [and possibly even] suspicious. There is a greater degree of smoothness in the outcomes than the roughness that is typical in raw/real data.”
In the New York 2016 primary, over 120,000 voters were purged from the rolls in Brooklyn alone, and a large number of voters also had their voter registration changed without their knowledge or intent. It is this subset that, when counted by hand, shows a consistently higher percentage for Sanders. There are two possible explanations for this. One is that the machines are counting the votes differently. The other is that the voters who were forced to use provisional ballots were targeted Sanders voters. Possibly, both of these factors are at work. Either way, the data indicates the footprint of manipulation in the election, and calls into question the validity of the reported results.
originally posted by: NthOther
I wonder if ElectionJusticeUSA will be focusing on all elections, or just the ones for which their (Democrat) candidate doesn't win.
originally posted by: NthOther
I wonder if ElectionJusticeUSA will be focusing on all elections, or just the ones for which their (Democrat) candidate doesn't win.
Election Justice USA (EJUSA) is a national coalition of seasoned election integrity experts, attorneys, statisticians, journalists and activists.
Non-Partisan - We are a non-partisan organization advocating for voters’ rights and election reform. We are a young, fresh organization that came together through our common understanding of the need to address the fraud and voter suppression that has been widespread in the 2016 presidential primaries. Witnessing state after state experience long lines, voters removed from the rolls, registration tampering, targeted closing of polls and large statistical irregularities in the results, we felt that action must be taken to restore the integrity of our democracy.
Mandating issue-based election coverage on the networks.
Election Justice USA
originally posted by: MrSpad
This "organization" seems to be two people that appeared overnight. And mostly used to hype one of the two's documentary. They are clearly agenda driven as they pretend the GOP primary did not exist so did not need to be monitored I guess.
You can find real non partisan voter fraud organizations that have been around for a long time and monitor all elections and then you have these kind that pop up for a single primary or single election with a very clear agenda that disappear right after. Remember the American Center for Voting Rights. Same sort of shady group.
originally posted by: NthOther
a reply to: SentientCentenarian
They also stated this on their homepage (among other damning things):
Mandating issue-based election coverage on the networks.
Election Justice USA
That's one of their "planks"--toss free speech out the window and force the media to show only what they want people to see.
Sounds like a die-hard, statist Sanders supporter to me.
originally posted by: diggindirt
What the heck is wrong with demanding that the candidates discuss the issues?
originally posted by: NthOther
a reply to: SentientCentenarian
So you think it's ok for the government to prescribe media content by law?
originally posted by: SentientCentenarian
originally posted by: MrSpad
This "organization" seems to be two people that appeared overnight. And mostly used to hype one of the two's documentary. They are clearly agenda driven as they pretend the GOP primary did not exist so did not need to be monitored I guess.
You can find real non partisan voter fraud organizations that have been around for a long time and monitor all elections and then you have these kind that pop up for a single primary or single election with a very clear agenda that disappear right after. Remember the American Center for Voting Rights. Same sort of shady group.
I don't have any way of knowing how many people are involved - perhaps only two wanted their names out there. They mention the GOP primary plenty in the report, and it's very detailed; they just didn't seem to find any anomalies in it, certainly not as widespread as the Dem primary, this time around. I highly doubt only two people wrote that report, and some statisticians and legal personnel were quite obviously involved. I consider myself highly educated, and I was challenged getting through it, this late at night.
If there are 'real' non partisan voter fraud organizations around for a long time, how come we still are seeing these problems, and all the old hackable voting machines everywhere? Their oversight results are obviously inadequate.