Major severe weather outbreak in the southern plains - 04/26/2016 - 04/29/2016

Tornado Warning
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1005 PM CDT TUE APR 26 2016

TXC181-270330-
/O.CON.KFWD.TO.W.0020.000000T0000Z-160427T0330Z/
GRAYSON TX-
1005 PM CDT TUE APR 26 2016

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1030 PM CDT FOR EASTERN
GRAYSON COUNTY...

AT 1004 PM CDT...A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED
BETWEEN SHERMAN AND HOWE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...WEATHER SPOTTERS CONFIRMED TORNADO.

IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT
SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE
TO ROOFS...WINDOWS...AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS
LIKELY.

THIS TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
SOUTHEAST SHERMAN AND LUELLA AT 1010 PM CDT.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPEAT...A TORNADO IS ON THE GROUND. TAKE COVER NOW! IF YOU ARE
OUTDOORS...IN A MOBILE HOME...OR IN A VEHICLE...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER NOW! GET TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR
OF A STURDY BUILDING AND AVOID WINDOWS.

&&

LAT...LON 3384 9662 3382 9658 3382 9652 3378 9651
3377 9650 3378 9645 3378 9643 3374 9639
3365 9638 3347 9656 3360 9673
TIME...MOT...LOC 0304Z 231DEG 46KT 3358 9657

TORNADO...OBSERVED
HAIL...1.00IN

$$

92

The lightning is intense! And, yes, we are getting wind now...

This is a very noisy storm!

a reply to: texasgirl

Yes, it's coming my way soon.. Glad to hear you are alright

a reply to: TechniXcality

Hi Tech:

Missie in Addison here right off of Beltline & Tollway -here it comes...Wail Doggies it is about to get real! Thanks so much for the wonderful work you have done.

Feels like the storm we had in 2007 - blew our roof off that time.

I have had a headache all day - sure sign that it is coming.

Be safe!

originally posted by: TechniXcality
a reply to: texasgirl

Yes, it's coming my way soon.. Glad to hear you are alright

Yes, all good here.

Smooches to you for your concern!

a reply to: texasgirl

I'll take some smooches, whenever I can get them. cheers sweetheart...

DFW radar 22:46



You folks are getting rocked.

a reply to: texasgirl

Diverting a bit- but, this song sounds beautiful inside with the outside thunder back drop..

originally posted by: TechniXcality
a reply to: texasgirl

Diverting a bit- but, this song sounds beautiful inside with the outside thunder back drop..

Beautiful! Thank you.

a reply to: texasgirl

Grayson county tornado from last night...



And a graphic regarding our next severe potential

originally posted by: TechniXcality
a reply to: texasgirl

Grayson county tornado from last night...

And a graphic regarding our next severe potential

I didn't realize the tornado was that big and only 20 minutes north of me. Cool photo, though!

My friend's dog (Tank) gets scared during storms so she asked me to spend the night while she goes out of town this weekend. Only bad part is that she just moved to a new house and it doesn't have any furniture yet! (She does have a bed and tv, however) She has Verizon cable and I don't know how to use it, LOL.

You'll have to keep me updated this weekend! (And, again, thank you for keeping us informed!)

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
402 AM CDT THU APR 28 2016

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW THAT WAS CENTERED OVER NORTHWESTERN ARIZONA AT
08Z WILL MOVE EAST AND NORTHEAST INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS BY
SATURDAY NIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE EAST INTO THE OHIO
VALLEY BY SUNDAY MORNING. A SURFACE TROUGH WILL DEVELOP OVER
EASTERN NEW MEXICO IN RESPONSE TO THE APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL
SYSTEM. A WARM FRONT IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS
TODAY AND LIFT NORTHWARD INTO CENTRAL TEXAS THIS EVENING. EXPECT
SCATTERED WARM ADVECTION SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP
ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON AND MOVE INTO CENTRAL AND NORTH
TEXAS THIS EVENING. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD
LATE THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS A LOW LEVEL JET
DEVELOPS. THESE STORMS WILL BE ELEVATED BUT WITH INCREASING
INSTABILITIES...SOME OF THESE STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE POTENTIALLY
PRODUCING SOME 1 TO 1 1/2 INCH HAIL.

THE WARM FRONT SHOULD MOVE TO NEAR THE RED RIVER FRIDAY MORNING.
A DRYLINE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS WEST TEXAS FRIDAY AND MAY
MOVE INTO THE FAR WESTERN PART OF THE FORECAST AREA LATE
AFTERNOON. THE DRYLINE IS EXPECTED TO BE OVERTAKEN BY A COLD FRONT
FRIDAY NIGHT AND THIS FRONT WILL MOVE EAST TO NEAR THE I-35
CORRIDOR BY DAYBREAK SATURDAY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP
ALONG THE DRYLINE DURING THE AFTERNOON. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP NEAR THE I-35 CORRIDOR BY
MIDDAY FRIDAY AND THIS ACTIVITY WILL MOVE NORTHEAST AND EAST
ACROSS THE REST OF NORTH TEXAS THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. GIVEN THE
STRONG SHEAR...SUPERCELL STORMS ARE EXPECTED WHICH WILL BE CAPABLE
OF ALL SEVERE WEATHER MODES...INCLUDING TORNADOES.

Today is the 5-year anniversary of the Tornado Super Outbreak that spawned an incredible 350 tornadoes in 21 states and killed over 320 people.

Let's hope this weekend is nothing like that outbreak!

Sadly, the TVN Stormchasers service is no longer functioning.

tvnweather.com...

This is really sad.

a reply to: masqua

Yes unfortunately many chasers have moved to other platforms like Facebook live and skype.. This really sucks and came completely unexpected for many...

originally posted by: masqua
Sadly, the TVN Stormchasers service is no longer functioning.

tvnweather.com...

This is really sad.

Really really sucks I was watching Charles Peek and Kelley Williamson live when it happened now everyone has splintered off to various places

Brandon Sullivan live feed

StormScape

Kelley

Charles

Severe Studios

Are what I know of thus far to get chasing fix

Looking like we will have severe weather for the eastern half of DFW area starting tomorrow afternoon and quickly moving east..

a reply to: TechniXcality

SPC

...SOUTHERN PLAINS TO ARKLATEX/LOWER MS RIVER VALLEY... A HIGHLY COMPLEX FORECAST SCENARIO IS EXPECTED PARTICULARLY ACROSS OK/NORTH TX THROUGH THE AFTERNOON/EVENING...WITH ADMITTEDLY BELOW-AVERAGE CONFIDENCE IN FORECAST/SPATIAL DETAILS. THIS IS LARGELY ATTRIBUTABLE TO UNCERTAINTIES REGARDING THE EXTENSIVENESS/PERSISTENCE OF EARLY-DAY CONVECTION AND APPRECIABLE SHORTER-TERM /24-36 HOUR/ DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE VARIABILITY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS...SOME POTENTIALLY STRONG/SEVERE AND CAPABLE OF HAIL...ARE EXPECTED TO BE ONGOING THIS MORNING FROM THE TX/OK PANHANDLES INTO PARTS OF THE BODY OF OK AND THE ARKLATEX REGION. THESE STORMS WILL GENERALLY BE FOCUSED ALONG A NORTHWARD-SHIFTING WARM FRONT...WHICH SHOULD ROUGHLY BE SITUATED ACROSS WEST-CENTRAL/SOUTH-CENTRAL OK AND THE OK/TX RED RIVER VICINITY AND ARKLATEX THIS AFTERNOON...ALTHOUGH PERSISTENT EARLY-DAY CONVECTION/CLOUD COVER AND RELATED DIURNAL DIFFERENTIAL HEATING WILL BE FACTORS IN EXACTLY WHERE THE WARM FRONT IS EFFECTIVELY LOCATED LATER TODAY. MIDDLE 60S TO NEAR 70F SURFACE DEWPOINTS WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY ESTABLISHED THIS AFTERNOON NEAR/SOUTH OF THIS WARM FRONT...EAST OF AN EASTWARD-MOVING TX/SOUTHERN OK DRYLINE...AND EAST OF A PACIFIC COLD FRONT WHICH WILL ACCELERATE EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD TONIGHT ACROSS KS/OK AND WESTERN NORTH TX. DEVELOPMENT/INTENSIFICATION OF SURFACE-BASED STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING AS FAR WEST AS WEST/SOUTHWEST OK IN VICINITY OF A SURFACE TRIPLE POINT...AND AS FAR EAST AS AR/LOWER MS RIVER VALLEY WHERE MORNING STORMS COULD PERSIST/POSSIBLY GROW UPSCALE DURING THE DAY. CURRENT THINKING IS THAT SEVERE HAIL WILL BE THE MOST COMMON SEVERE THREAT OVERALL...POTENTIALLY FROM A MULTIPLE ROUND OF STORMS IN SOME SUB-REGIONAL AREAS INCLUDING PARTS OF OK AND THE ARKLATEX. TORNADO POTENTIAL...AT LEAST IN A CONDITIONAL SENSE...SHOULD BE MAXIMIZED IN A ROUGHLY WSW/ESE-ORIENTED NEAR-WARM-FRONT CORRIDOR ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF OK/FAR NORTH TX AND PARTS OF THE ARKLATEX. ALTHOUGH LOW-LEVEL SHEAR FORECASTS VARY CONSIDERABLY AMONG AVAILABLE RAP/GFS AND MORE-AGGRESSIVE NAM GUIDANCE...SOMEWHAT HIGHER TORNADO PROBABILITIES /10 PERCENT/ APPEAR WARRANTED NEAR THE WARM FRONT...BUT SUBSEQUENT SPATIAL ADJUSTMENTS CAN BE EXPECTED PENDING MESOSCALE DETAILS AND A RESOLUTION TO CURRENT FORECAST UNCERTAINTIES. FARTHER SOUTH...OF SOMEWHAT GREATER SPATIAL/TIMING FORECAST CERTAINTY WILL BE FOR STORMS TO DEVELOP/INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS MUCH OF NORTH/CENTRAL TX IN VICINITY OF THE NNE/SSW-ORIENTED DRYLINE. STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR /40+ KT/ AND MODERATE INSTABILITY WILL SUPPORT SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL AND POSSIBLY A COUPLE OF TORNADOES THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

a reply to: TechniXcality

Oh, no...The severe weather risk has changed from 'enhanced' to 'moderate' for this evening.

Golf ball or bigger hail is main threat with tornadoes more likely than what we had Tuesday. The worst part is that it's going to hit when everyone gets off work and will be on the road!

a reply to: texasgirl

Do you have a link to a time line or who has upgraded to moderate? SPC still showing enhanced...

I am just curious because I left the dogs inside rather than in the dog run and I am trying to time when to head home from work as well.