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The research he's referring to, conducted by political scientist Larry Bartels (now at Vanderbilt University) and published in 1985, found that in close, ambiguous political contests, preferences and expectations are tightly related and mutually reinforcing. There's a "bandwagon effect" that sees voters, especially low-information voters, flock to the candidate most expected to win.
originally posted by: RomeByFire
If God were real, he'd show up about now and say something like, "This woman is a criminal!"
I cannot believe she is "leading," yet I can believe it. What a sad day.