Quake Watch 2016

a reply to: jadedANDcynical

That's crazy.

This guy's need's a check

haven't had a quake on the East Cape Ridge since
06/09/2016 21:48:32NZST
06/09/2016 09:48:32UTC
that was a M4.75
the series continues just Offshore and on East Cape itself though.

a reply to: muzzy

You have exceeded the maximum window of 4 hours allowed to edit your post.

Oh come on now, its less than 2 hours since I posted that, get real

anyway, ECR NI NZ just broke the 1000 aftershocks mark today
tapering off slowly now, a strong but short series, 711606.755TTNT over 8 days.

nzeq2016.blogspot.co.nz...

I'm just adding that I noticed South America get all busy at the same time. Yup, The far eastern tip of Alaska has been busy, and many other points. I agree with Muzzy and it appears pushing is all around the ring. If we think about the center of the ring, Hawaii has not exactly been quiet either. Slightly larger earthquakes at a good rate seem to been common these last couple weeks. Actually, I'm just blowing smoke out my... because I have no data to prove anything because I'm lazy. This is just my impression.

I really came out here to rant about Okie. I didn't want to . But, there's been a bunch today. And one that was 3.8M right under Oklahoma City. I was like what, do they inject right under the city. Yup. You could be living in a neighbourhood in east Okie and be sitting on a big pile of polluted water and earthquakes. Better get insurance...

I won't go on. Muzzy's right to be sick of it. I am too. That's why I try to resist to the minimum, my thoughts on this, slow motion disaster.

I want to swear and rant more. Why? Because realized something. I've gotten used to watching slow motion disasters. So disheartening.

Everything is predictable. If you're watching...

I'm not surprised by much anymore.

edit, yes I'd better hurry, out here 4 hours somehow becomes two hours...

I just checked South America over the last week. The thing to notice is that the earthquakes are not off shore. There is a pattern of inland earthquakes. So, what does this mean. oh my. It could be nothing but normal. But, if, like Muzzy's says, the plate is expanding and push out, if plate tectonics is to be believed, then maybe, parts of the plate that is subducting and falling down, are being push by that current expansion. Maybe chunks of that plate are melting, and like wax, dripping down in the hot earth. The reason it is hard to see the big picture, and see deep within the earth, is that is there is a misconception about time. Big sudden earthquakes seem to happen in matters of seconds and minutes. This is not true. The movements are spread out of millions of years. Some of this pops and jiggles we see, are micro stuff. Imagine if we could see the whole thing. The evolution of the earth, in way, that we could speed it up and slow it down like controlling a video.

Then, we could see how it all moved. I know there are animation of Pangaea and continents moving and such. No, I mean a 3d, completely immersive view. Like you a god, and could control everything and every view.

a reply to: ericblair4891

Yeah I'm with you Oklahoma is disturbing me and there was just one in Tiptonville Tennessee so the New Madrid is waking up

a reply to: MamaJ

Ah, yes. 3.5M on that crazy bend in the Mississippi River. That's I keep centered and on track with the trends. Lately, I mean over the last few months, there has been a stead drip, drip of quakes. This one is large by comparison. There have been many earthquakes under the airport. And a regular chiming. I have been trying not to over-hype the active since it is basically with historic averages. But, I've really quiet periods when compared to lately, when looking over the last few years. The activity comes in clusters. I was just hoping this was just a cluster and it would die away. However, an increasing magnitude in size, definately means, this is something to watch. I've made the link before, Okie could be jiggling NMSZ.

So, the NMSZ is spiking.

That is a fact. I won't predict, but I wouldn't be surprised by anything. Nothing. Whatever does happen, it won't exceed my worst fears. My imagination has a horrible range....


Info on the NMSZ earthquake.

earthquake.usgs.gov...

If you check shake map, they felt it.




I tried a good shot of the earthquake. This one shows it, but it shows, two earthquakes. Hmmmm. I'm not sure if the 3.5M is right for the bigger one.

I'm going to look for some others just to note.

Whatever the case, I'll be watching closer...



Here's another shot where it looks like one. I'm having a hard time, some of the graphs are a real mess.
So,I'm not going to say much and let the pictures speak for themselves.



Here's another one...

I think there's two. I have to check the lists...




They only list one earthquake. So, maybe we have to wait and it was an automatic generated listing. I may be revised.





Why does everything have to suck?

I thought, Robin, why are you being lazy? Do the math. It's easy to go to the NMSZ map from the University of Memphis. I did that.

Lot's of editing here before I continue. I tried to mess with map so I could get an average for this week and then compare to last 6 months on the map. I tried to reset so I could count in particular area and etc. The page froze and is messed up...


So, I'll just use my eye balls and say, the last week has been busier that the averages of the last 6 months.

It serves me right for actually trying to pull data to support my claims. I'll leave it to the thing I hate most, opinion. In my opinion, it's busier.

Oh, and hate opinion and myth. Someone just said they go bit by a brown recluse. Why do people hate spiders? Anyway, there's no data to prove that they are in Southern Ontario. Not one documented case. I checked. Even science papers. Even found a fact sheet that says it a myth and so does that snopes page. I think that's what it's called.

I like data.






Okay, in the last 7 days... about 11

What is it? I counted when on a list, 36 in the month. about that. so, about 1 a day.

So, slightly above one a day right now. So, there is a very small increase I suppose. Although, I did say the last weeks, were more so,
than previous months. I'd manually count for while...

Ah, crud. I think that 36 for the month was a bit high...

I 'm done

Tried to edit at 3hours 17 minutes. No go.

I figured out where the rest of the rift faultline runs. If you noticed on the maps with faults, there's often breaks in the trend, which are at perfect right angles. Cracks often look like stepping stones and stairs. Many are right angles, but, the faults still have a zig zag nature. Like windows, or ice cracking.

Unfortunately, I found myself looking at the Arkansas maps again. Somewhere near Jonesboro, the fault must take a sharp move back straight in southeasterly direction. Heading right at Memphis. I think the freaking fault has a right turn, right under Memphis.

I'm sure I'm wrong.





The map is from this paper...

file:///C:/Users/evanm/Downloads/PhD%20Dissertation%20-%20Y.%20Hao.html


On the map I add A and B, and added a yellow black dashed line to show where I think runs another fault...

I wanted to add this paper because there was a diagram that show lots of different forces acting on this area. There is are wrenching that seems to spin the pressure. Just look at the rivers in the area. All of the wind severely. Yes, I know that slow moving river do this. But, in this case, it's extreme. Yes, constant flooding and such means this flood region. But, since the earthquakes happen here, they twist everything up like pretzels. I tried looking at farms and I don't dizzy. This poor river has been broken and then reset so much, it twist and turns like a drunk bee doing a direction dance.






I like this map because it shows the zig zag nature of the big rift and or zone. Whatever you want to call it
The southern end takes are turn back toward Memphis. At least I think so....



And now for something complexly different. The mid-Atlantic rift, or ridge, there was a 5.5M. I thought to myself, hey , go look at the wind and storms.

My, am I stupid. Forget was season it is. There's nothing but storms right on top of this earthquake. There's lines of storm and depression and the wind is strong on the ridge. Water, again is causing this. Well, wind and water....
and air pressure...



earthquake.usgs.gov...

a reply to: muzzy

Accumoli, Lazio, Italy, 6.0ML (6.2Mw) 24th Aug - 9th Sep 2016
It took me two days to get the locations for the 6022 locations that I had downloaded up to 07.09.2016.
The Batch Reverse Geocoding web service works best in batches of 100, that number takes 3.5 minutes to find the addresses. Anything more than that and it stalls and even seizes up. I tried using two windows at the same time but it didn't make any difference.
So I had to input the 100 comma separated latitude-longitude coordinates 61 times.
Rather than sit and wait for 3.5 minutes for each one I did other stuff at the same time, like work stuff LOL.
So finally finished yesterday afternoon and ready to run the excel template I had made for L'Aquila and modified for this quake area, and thought Hmmm I better get the last 2 days worth.
Did that just now, 989 more! iye yie yie maledire

Hey did you see on TV news they found a cat still alive trapped in the rubble after 2 weeks?

Working on the Town Table, Numbers of aftershocks in relation to towns and villages in the area today
I will publish it later in the day when I'm done.

eqarchives.blogspot.co.nz...

initial editing shows there are 20 towns or villages affected by the aftershocks

a reply to: muzzy
What a mission that was! Ended up on review of 7009 lines of data, there were 93 places/comunes/municipalities in the data.
I think the size of the areas may skew the numbers, bigger the area = more aftershocks, but nevertheless
The results 10 ten;
Place - Aftershocks - area km2
Norcia - 3259 - 274 km2
Amatrice - 1277 - 174 km2
Arquata del Tronto - 523- 92.6 km2
Accumoli - 466- 87.2 km2
Castel Santangelo Sul Nera - 430 - 71.2 km2
Montemonaco - 318 - 67.52 km2
Forca di Presta - Monte Vettore - 92 - uknown
San Pellegrino - 44 - unknown
Montefortino - 43 - 78.5 km2
Montereale - 36 - 104.44 km2
*area sizes are from Wikipedia where available.
Town Table
Now I need to do the same for the TTNT energy released for each area



The order is changed a bit for TTNT
Accumoli jumps ahead of Norica because it had the M6.0 (15080.2425),
Norica had the biggest aftershock M5.3(1344.0280TTNT) and the largest number of 3's (see other table)

Arafranco-pinaco jumps ahead of Amatrice and Arquata del Tronto because one of it's M4's was a M4.8 worth 239.0057TTNT, and the other a M4.4 worth 60.0355TTNT
Amatrice's M4's were 4.4 (60.0355TTNT), 4.1 (21.3014TTNT) and 4.0 (15.0802TTNT)

Cornillo Nuovo makes it to the top 10 for TTNT energy released, but was only number 28 on the top 32 list for count of number of aftershocks (10), this is because of a M3.9 releasing 10.6760TTNT on the 25/8

There was a quake around Oliver, in the Okanagan, about 4.1.

5.1 yesterday in Cook Strait, 80km deep
close by (102.6 km), but I didn't feel it
3831 people did though
www.geonet.org.nz...

We often get the question here on Quake Watch about the grid like pattern that some of the Networks maps show when there is a big quake with aftershocks or there is a swarm.
EMSC is prone to this, and it's down to the Lat,Long only having 2 decimal points.
Maps that use Lat,Long with more decimal points tend to show quite random layouts of the earthquakes.
Really big series do eventually end up still showing a grid pattern too.eg Accumoli or L'Aquilla.
But Geonet uses 5 decimal points, you would think that the maps would not show a pattern.
However if you look at the East Cape Ridge NZ Topo map,
At 10km scale there are 3 distinct areas of activity on the East Cape (setting aside the Ridge itself for now)
The section between Matakoa Valley offshore and Hicks Bay-Te Araroa is now the main area showing activity after 216:50:55 (hh:mm:ss)
If you go in at 5km scale there is a distinct pattern that has evolved when you see the whole series

Kind of looks like they are just guessing at the locations, whats the odds the quakes are happening in such a tidy fashion?
or that could be the result of the automatic SeisComP3 earthquake analysis system, most of those are automatic locations.
I'm leaning towards the later explanation, because if you scroll up on the map to the Ridge area the quakes are laid down pretty randomly, most of these have been checked manually, especially over M3

a reply to: muzzy

Thanks for that post. I have a tendency to not pay attention because I feel it is nonsense info.

I jump around to different sites, and try to do my best to figure out what is real.

But yes, very confusing. Glad to know it's not only me,

a reply to: crappiekat
Its OK, your welcome.
I only noticed it the other day myself

6.1 ML Peru
10/09/2016 05:08:18 Local
2016-09-10 10:08:19.6 UTC
-5.55, -77.09
119 Km
Intensidad: IV-V Nueva Cajamarca, Rioja, Moyobamba; IV Chachapoyas, Sta Maria de Nieva, Yurimaguas, Tarapoto; III-IV Bagua; III Cajamarca, Juanjuí, Ayabaca; II-III Piura, Lambayeque, Chepen; II Talara, Cabana, La Unión, Pucallpa
www.igp.gob.pe...

big swarm at katla right now....
wonder how long it takes befour the glacier give's away...

en.vedur.is...

Very unusual
5.5 2016-09-12 11:32:55 35.79°N 129.12°E 13 South Korea
5.0 2016-09-12 10:44:32 35.78°N 129.23°E 10 South Korea
geofon.gfz-potsdam.de...

a reply to: muzzy


Glad to see that somebody else saw that.
I was on the road today & don't know how to link from my phone.
Could the blast in NK have shaken up a fault line?
When I saw it, it made me go hmmm...!
And then when I saw the the second, bigger one in less than an hour! 😲

WOQ

a reply to: wasobservingquietly

Yeah that's what I thought too.
There are records of South Korean earthquakes but they are mostly offshore.JMA pick them up.

originally posted by: muzzy
Very unusual
5.5 2016-09-12 11:32:55 35.79°N 129.12°E 13 South Korea
5.0 2016-09-12 10:44:32 35.78°N 129.23°E 10 South Korea
geofon.gfz-potsdam.de...

Yes, were all thinking the same thing. I was like, hey, South Korea doesn't get that many... so, did that nuke?

Yes, it had to have. come on. The timeframe is so tight, we can't just say coincidence. That explosion sent wave out and it loosened up some fault to the south. It kinda seems straight forward. This means earthquakes trigger other earthquakes. It means Oklahoma can set of the New Madrid Seismic Zone, and we need to realize that the patterns we see happening because there is some sort of weird sequential order to all of it. A chain reaction. You can see it if you speed up the clock.

In fact, ever since Banda Aceh, we've been in a energetic cycle. I'd say it's slower now than it has been. But as we've seen, it's been busy in lots of places.

Cycle. There is a big picture here and I'm going to even include the weather and say that earthquakes are part of all the rhythms of earth. Why can't the melting of an ice caps cause more earthquakes? It can and does. So, if this earth warms and becomes more dynamic. We must have more and more earthquakes, volcanoes and tsunamis. The energy has to go somewhere...


Yeah, Japan had a quake in the last hour. So, did Oklahoma, and so did Texas. Yeah, nothing bad will happen. Sarcasm...