40% of black voters and 45% of Hispanic voters support Donald Trump..historic GOP numbers!

a reply to: matafuchs

Why does anyone still believe "the people" have a choice in this country. It hasn't been that way for a LONG time. Good Grief!

This about sums it up...

a reply to: matafuchs

I think that Donald Trump is going to get the Republican nomination...I know many people want him to...and many people don't; I personally am undecided as yet.

I have heard several of my neighbors say that if Trump does get the nomination and become President...then the United States is doomed.

As of right now I am not too thrilled by anyone that is running...on either side.

Intuitively I feel that 2016 many turn out to be...in some ways...a harder year than 2015; it's like...be ready for anything!

a reply to: caladonea

What makes him think it would be any more doomed than the last 8 years?
The damage is already done. The foundation has already been breached.

a reply to: Blazemore2000

Awesome you get your political commentary from SNL. They sure did not mind those ratings when he hosted.

originally posted by: caladonea
a reply to: matafuchs

I think that Donald Trump is going to get the Republican nomination...I know many people want him to...and many people don't; I personally am undecided as yet.

I have heard several of my neighbors say that if Trump does get the nomination and become President...then the United States is doomed.

As of right now I am not too thrilled by anyone that is running...on either side.

Intuitively I feel that 2016 many turn out to be...in some ways...a harder year than 2015; it's like...be ready for anything!

In my opinion, Rubio is the current front runner. He's the only establishment candidate the Tea Party likes that's doing well and at the end of the day you need someone who is from the establishment because they're the only ones who know how to actually get anything done.

If I had to bet on a Republican nominee I would bet on him right now.

Is this not just a match up with Clinton - as opposed to those percentages supporting Trump overall?

How does Cruz do on the same comparison with Clinton? Or Rubio?

a reply to: matafuchs

It's a better political source than where you got your poll from. Infinitely better.

Trump olling numbers are just not as good among minorities as you say they are

Are there really only 10 black people who responded to this poll???!!!!!!

Yes, it's final. We are living on a shifted Back To The Future II type timeline.

originally posted by: UKTruth
Are there really only 10 black people who responded to this poll???!!!!!!

Correct. That is why many of us have been trying to point out the poll itself is garbage and the conclusions made from it are equally as horrible.

This entire thing is a joke.

originally posted by: introvert

originally posted by: UKTruth
Are there really only 10 black people who responded to this poll???!!!!!!

Correct. That is why many of us have been trying to point out the poll itself is garbage and the conclusions made from it are equally as horrible.

This entire thing is a joke.

Blimey, its crazy that anyone would use those numbers on this site, but even worse that a website would pick up the numbers and report this as interesting news on the election.

With a binary answer like vote Hillary or vote Trump to get an answer a sample size of 10 means a +/- result of 31%, so the survey tells us the result is between 9% and 71%. (with a confidence level of 95%)
NOTE: I updated these numbers after calculating them statistically.

a reply to: introvert

Opinions. More opinions.

originally posted by: blargo

originally posted by: LSU0408

originally posted by: blargo

originally posted by: matafuchs
a reply to: RomeByFire

400 people were polled. Is it the fault of those polling that only 10 were black?

Yes exactly it is. They did not get a good sample of people. Normal surveys would not even poll that group, they would get another sample that represents the data set they are trying to poll.

I hope everybody remembers the comments like this next time a poll comes out in their favor. I just think it's ironic that if this was a poll for Clinton and 4 out of 6 polled blacks said they'd vote for her, this poll would be legit to the same ones downing it.

Instead, people have searched deep and wide to find a way to basically say "No way, democrats always get the vote of minorities." I know it sucks for y'all that a GOP candidate is pulling in more minority support than normal, but you can blame the current president for this Trump popularity. And and Republicans that hate Trump can blame the useless Congress for Trumps popularity. And supporting him doesn't make you a racist.

Look this is just a bad poll regarding blacks and Hispanics. It has nothing to do with a GOP candidate doing well with a specific demographic, it just is not statistical significant. Not too mention that it is a HUGE outlier compared to all the other polls. Lumping all the polls together tends to give you a good sample.

Here us a poll that shows only 11% of Hispanics like Trump. Only 11% of Hispanics like Trump That and many others show about the same level of support. Now the poll in the OP, which was done in Sept, is a HUGE outlier. If the poll was true other polls would start to show this support and so far none other have. Go ahead and keep with your wishful thinking, you are going to be surprised when this does not occur.

Nah man, after the last election, nothing would surprise me.

originally posted by: matafuchs
a reply to: introvert

Opinions. More opinions.

No, math, not opinion.

Your survey, statistically says that between 9% and 71% of black voters would choose Trump over Clinton (at a 95% confidence level), and that is assuming no bias in the sample selection.

In other words, the survey is useless.

a reply to: UKTruth

Follow the Op's links and look at the questions asked. It gets even crazier from there. This poll and website linked in the OP depends on the reader being uninformed and unintelligent.

originally posted by: matafuchs
a reply to: introvert

Opinions. More opinions.

Not opinion. Statistically-speaking, it's garbage.

originally posted by: Aazadan

originally posted by: caladonea
a reply to: matafuchs

I think that Donald Trump is going to get the Republican nomination...I know many people want him to...and many people don't; I personally am undecided as yet.

I have heard several of my neighbors say that if Trump does get the nomination and become President...then the United States is doomed.

As of right now I am not too thrilled by anyone that is running...on either side.

Intuitively I feel that 2016 many turn out to be...in some ways...a harder year than 2015; it's like...be ready for anything!

In my opinion, Rubio is the current front runner. He's the only establishment candidate the Tea Party likes that's doing well and at the end of the day you need someone who is from the establishment because they're the only ones who know how to actually get anything done.

If I had to bet on a Republican nominee I would bet on him right now.

I agree with your conclusion but not your logic.

I would say that establishment candidates are lousy at getting anything useful done, and they are more likely to cause a mess and corrupt the system. My logic for that is what has actually happened over the last couple of decades.

The reason i agree with your conclusion is that the caucus and primary process is heavily geared towards either Rubio or Bush. It looks like the schedule and delegate rules were specifically set up for Bush, but if he fails then his votes will swing to Rubio.

Ultimately I think the GOP candidate will be either Bush or Rubio. I suspect Rubio will win it over Bush, but only just.

Trump and Cruz are more or less out of it.

a reply to: UKTruth

Correct. The GOP is preparing to force a brokered convention if need be to bypass Trump alltogether.