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originally posted by: skyblueworld
I believe eyewitness testimonies over official bunk reports, any day of the year.
originally posted by: Iamnotadoctor
Phoenix lights was never properly explained/debunked.
originally posted by: Iamnotadoctor
Phoenix lights was never properly explained/debunked.
Actually, it has been. Just because some people choose to ignore the evidence doesn't make it still unexplained. Or you may have some issue(s) that causes it to be unexplained, to you, but that doesn't mean it's unexplained for the rest of us.
originally posted by: bud316
I seen this new movie. Since I have been a fan of ATS, i have read every thread about this incident. This movie goes into a different ...
My question is, and excuse me for pulling this like a solid tooth, but what is it, why is no one mentions the FIRST incident. This is the incident that was the craziest where i could have sworn i read that 100s of people had seen a ship a mile wide! People reported seeing the ship itself, not just the lights like in the 2nd incident. I remember people describing seeing windows and lights everywhere and some even said seeing outlines of beings in some of the windows. Why, after 18 years they will not talk about this first incident? Was it found that 100's of people where lying?....
originally posted by: piney...
It few right over the top of me
About 50m above my head
11 pm time
It traveled so slow that if it was an airplane it would have fallen from the sky
originally posted by: JimOberg
a reply to: joelr
Here's what one witness reported seeing when he was looking at a fireball swarm of space debris burning up:
originally posted by: joelr
originally posted by: JimOberg
a reply to: joelr
Here's what one witness reported seeing when he was looking at a fireball swarm of space debris burning up:
Well scientifically you are off to a bad start, or a bias start. I'm going to assume your agenda is to debunk rather than solve this case? If I'm wrong feel free to correct me.
Next is the obvious, the report on meteor mis-identifications states about 1/2 of sightings were accurate. The other half were reports of craft-like objects.
The phoenix case has over 99% reporting a large triangle craft OR large amber lights. So the stats from the meteor case suggest that the Phoenix case was likely something odd.
originally posted by: JimOberg
You're off to a bad start. How do you know the distribution of perceptions? All we know is the distribution of reports.
originally posted by: Iamnotadoctor
Phoenix lights was never properly explained/debunked.
Still many questions.
originally posted by: gortex
a reply to: bud316
In the movie they ADMIT it was flares, but it was for a diversion.
They're partly right , it was flares but not for diversion but training , the first incident were terrestrial planes.
originally posted by: joelr
originally posted by: JimOberg
You're off to a bad start. How do you know the distribution of perceptions? All we know is the distribution of reports.
I'm not sure what you mean by "distribution of perceptions"?
The Phoenix council woman stated that initially she had 700 calls and all except 1 said basically the same thing.
Eventually, during the following weeks it became a big story and the media announced they were looking for information and they ended up with way over 1000 calls.
Plus the reports on NUFORC anyone can read. The reports are the same with the one difference where some people could only see lights.
The video posted on the recent thread that shows lights in a V shape with one light clearly off of the "V" actually fits some of the descriptions. Some of the people who saw a triangle ship also saw a small white light tailing behind.
Again, that meteor case has HALF of the viewers seeing what was actually there. The remaining half saw rather varied things. The Phoenix case has 99.9% seeing something very similar.
So going by the reports statistical findings, the PH case would actually be proven to be some type of large yet-unknown aircraft/ship.
I don't see the case as solved however.
But some details are hard to account for with the airplane theory. Besides the obvious problem of no large lights on an A-10 underside, way too many people gave very long time-spans for this object to pass over. Almost everyone who wasn't hampered by driving an automobile during their sighting noticed it was moving very very slow. There is no 50% split like with the meteor. You could make an estimate with trigonometry but it seems like 40mph is pretty unanimous.
There is also a report from a military man who was on a nearby base who after seeing the flares dropped said he thought it was a strange place to drop flares because it was going to cause a lot of ufo reports, being so close to the city.
Also he expressed bafflement as to why they would drop flares so far away from the training grounds in the first place. He pointed out there are 1 or 2 mountain peaks between the flare drop and the area where soldiers train.
originally posted by: Poppcocked
a reply to: gortex
You believe everything you read and are told, I truly feel sorry for you.
Im not kidding
I really, really do
So you believe that fiction?
But supposedly, on this particular day, they fooled hundreds of witnesses
And on the same night, for the first and LAST time.. ever.. a "drill" was held in plain sight of Phoenix, where flares were dropped in a triangular pattern
Brilliant.. they certainly did their job well.
I'm not sure what you mean by "distribution of perceptions"?
The Phoenix council woman stated that initially she had 700 calls and all except 1 said basically the same thing.
Eventually, during the following weeks it became a big story and the media announced they were looking for information and they ended up with way over 1000 calls.
Plus the reports on NUFORC anyone can read. The reports are the same with the one difference where some people could only see lights.
originally posted by: ZetaRediculian
a reply to: joelr
If you go by reports of unidentified lights only, then THAT would be the biased sampling. Most likely if someone saw these lights and identified them as planes, that wouldn't get reported. The most unbiased sampling would have to be random interviews of the general population soon after the event.