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originally posted by: jonnywhite
a reply to: ForteanOrg
In your dream worldit does, but not in the real one.
In the real one we
increase our expectations of what a good life is.
Soon people will want much more out of life. They will want to travel to other planets even.
This means our society will have to produce ever greater amounts of energy and science. Unless you think free energy is real, we will always struggle to produce it and distribute it and use it for various means.
Humans will go all out.
They will combine with the machines and the AI. The best of the best will go to the stars or other dimensions or wherever only the best go. Again, unless you believe free energy exists (or perpetual motion), society will STILL have to balance its budget and give unto others what they're accounted for.
This means nothing will ever be free, even a basic "free" income.
Even homeless people today get limited "free" food/clothes/shelter/etc. But would any sane person consider that an ideal circumstance, even if a homeless person has a living standard of a 17th century king? Not people who've changed their expectations! People don't normally hold old living standards in high regard.
Expectations increase. And nothing is truly free.
Conservation of energy doesn't permit that. That's the reason utopia is unlikely. I won't say it's impossible. I won't say it's impossible for us to separate desire from the material. I can't preclude the possibility humans can be satisfied or cooperative no matter their lot in life; great or small.
EDIT: That's where all those productivity improvements went: to higher expectations. We invested the extra production.
And our expectations are tied to progress. We EXPECT greater energy production and finer technologies. That encourages it to keep on. If everybody's expectations were stuck in the 17th century, it would grind to a stop. Research would shrivel. And hence the danger presented by disasters would increase. We may not survive because we didn't research.
originally posted by: Realtruth
Sure would be nice to just enjoy the day without having to worry about working 40 to 60 hours a week, then we could just enjoy family and friends.
originally posted by: onequestion
I recommend we start by eliminating homeless and mentally ill people first. Then anyone on welfare and food stamps after that. Next we can eliminate anyone making under 250k a year.
originally posted by: Blue Shift
originally posted by: onequestion
I recommend we start by eliminating homeless and mentally ill people first. Then anyone on welfare and food stamps after that. Next we can eliminate anyone making under 250k a year.
In the future, if you can't repair a robot, you're not going to be needed. And after the robots design better robot repair robots, those people will be out of a job.
And then we can just lounge around all day and eat bon bons!
Until the robots decide to just reduce us to gray goo and incorporate us into themselves.
One of many reasons Capitalism is failing is because we can produce everything we need with very few of us. We don't need us all to work. We just don't seem to want to admit that as we progress technologically, that most of us will be jobless.
originally posted by: bulrush
Computers can't even reliably convert a PDF (via OCR) to an EPUB book with flowing text. (That happens to be my hobby.) Even with 99% accuracy at the word level, there is 1% inaccruacy. Now if you have 1 million words total in a text, you have 10,000 words that are wrong, but you don't know which ones are wrong, so you have to check all 1 million. Or at least get a spell checker involved. Which still won't find all the errors.
But the shift in jobs is towards low skills jobs with even lower pay where people can't pay their bills. They bought their expensive house when wages were high, now the economy doesn't support $60,000 a year for janitors. That's one change we're looking at.