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Everyone has seen the chart of "Total Credit Market Instruments", which as of its most recent update on March 31, 2015, was just over $59 trillion, or 330% of US GDP.
For those who have not seen it, as well as for those who are familiar with this chart, take a long look, because this is the last update of this particular data series, pulled straight from the Fed's Z.1 Flow of Funds (section L.1), you will ever see.
So did the Fed spontaneously terminate the reporting of what until the second quarter's update of the Flow of Funds, was the most comprehensive official summary of Household, Financial, Corporate and Government debt in existence? And if so why?
Many Fed watchers assumed that this is precisely what happened, and indeed, searching high and low for the infamous L.1 Section revealed nothing.
We can only assume that the vocal outcry that emerged in the aftermath of the Fed's release of its Q2 Flow of Funds statement missing this most critical of data sets on September 18, was so loud that three weeks later, this past Friday on October 9, the Fed released an official follow up explanation what exactly happened.
Here is what happened to the missing so very critical data series, straight from the horse's mouth:
The bottom line:
The total revision to the level of debt outstanding (debt securities plus loans) due to these methodology changes is approximately $2.74 trillion 2014:Q4.
And so the Fed has managed to kill two birds with one stone: it no longer provides a simple, one-stop-shop way to reconcile the total US credit stock, and it quietly boosted total US consolidated credit by $2.7 trillion to $62.1 trillion as of June 30, 2015.
Luckily, for those who still care about such trivial memorandum items as "data" - made up as it may be - and would like to keep track of total US credit exposure, now better known as total debt and total loans, they can simply add up the two line items, with debt (found here) and loans (found here).
This is how the old and new data look like: as noted, the consolidated total has risen by $2.7 trillion as of March 31, the last time the Fed reported the "old" series, and is currently a total of $62.1 trillion.
The end result is that the ratio of Consolidated Credit to GDP, has quietly risen from 330% to 350%, without anyone in the broader public saying a word and without any of the official institutions, so seemingly concerned about the total stock of global debt, even noticing. And why should they: the S&P500 is back over 2000 so all is well.
originally posted by: soulpowertothendegree
a reply to: infolurker
I could end this all in 1 step. Take all the fake money on the planet and shove it where the Sun never shines, the ocean.
The Treasury Department has used emergency measures to avoid breaching the debt ceiling, at $18.1 trillion, since mid-March. In August, the Congressional Budget Office estimated the U.S. would be unable to pay its bills without an increase in the borrowing limit by late November or early December.
originally posted by: liteonit6969
a reply to: DrumStickNinja
Did you gorge how expensive golf clubs were? Barry must be going through a set a week.
Also don't forget Michelle Obama sex change op is pretty expensive. As we can see she is only half way there so expect the rest to be found in a couple of years.
fuggedaboutit at this point there is no coming back my friend let's just say toilet paper will have less value than money!!!
originally posted by: AugustusMasonicus
No worries. We can just print more Treasury Bills, sell them to ourselves and pay them off at some future date.
Problem solved!!!
originally posted by: dogstar23
originally posted by: liteonit6969
a reply to: DrumStickNinja
Did you gorge how expensive golf clubs were? Barry must be going through a set a week.
Also don't forget Michelle Obama sex change op is pretty expensive. As we can see she is only half way there so expect the rest to be found in a couple of years.
That explains it all. Thank you for your valuable insight. I'm glad you were able to share it, rather than spend the time to put this into the perspective it so desparately needs.