Here are a couple of things on which UFO sceptics and believers can probably both agree:
- If more than one alien race is visiting this planet, then — given the vastness of our Galaxy and the number of stars and planets it must
contain — there has to be something unusually interesting about Earth.
- Whether we are being visited by one race or many, our visitors take a good deal of care to keep out of our sight — not always, to be sure, but
most of the time. UFO encounters are rare, and tend to occur in out-of-the way places.
Aliens, it seems, treasure their privacy. We have no idea what they are doing here, on what we like to think of as ‘our' planet. Their intentions
are as mysterious to us as they are themselves.
To me, this suggests that whatever it is they have found on Earth that is of such consuming interest to them, it isn’t us.
What might it be, then? An interesting question, but not one I propose to try to answer. The corpus of science fiction provides any number of
possibilities already, but none that can be verified.
Let’s leave the question of what it is aside for the moment and ponder an equally interesting problem: if the aliens are interested in Earth, the
presence of an intelligent and aggressive race in vast numbers, occupying the locus of their interest, can hardly be insignificant. They'd have to
take us into account in their plans and schemes.
*
Since we see and hear so little of them, and what we do see and hear is so mysterious, it’s clear that the various alien species visiting us
have taken humanity into account. They have agreed among themselves to keep us in the dark, and at a distance, while they go about their
business.
If these various visiting aliens are from different parts of the galaxy, all drawn to this spot by our planet’s mysterious attraction for them, then
they must have some means of communicating with one another, for how else could they come to any agreement concerning us?
The provisions of this agreement must be interesting. It must contain clauses concerning how we are to be treated during the course of accidental or
unavoidable encounters. It must contain clauses prohibiting direct communication, not to mention technology transfer.
One thinks of the agreements between foreign opium-traders in Guangzhou, or Canton as it used to be called, during the last century. Agreements on
what to reveal about themselves to the Chinese, and what to conceal. Consensual fabrications to be used in case of emergency. And so on.
Maybe one day we'll get our hands on a copy of it.
*
Agreement or no agreement, there may be times when one or another of our groups of alien visitors (or some faction among them) feels impelled to break
cover, if only to a select audience of humans. The temptation would be much greater should the resource that draws them to our planet be finite, or
very rare. The different alien groups will then be in competition with one another to exploit it. Perhaps one group hits on a way to use humans as
agents or catspaws. Then they’ll enter into a secret agreement with a powerful human state, or even with individuals or groups (drug cartels?
multinational corporations? Islamic State?) who are in a position to help them get what they want.
There’ll be secret technology transfer. Maybe a few on-planet 'advisors'. Whereupon another Earth state or group, hostile to the first, is sure to
find out about it. To protect itself, it will come to its own arrangement with a different, competing group of aliens.
Would the final result be proxy wars fought by the armies of humanity on behalf of competing alien interests?
*
No doubt the protocol I spoke of earlier would contain provisions intended to prevent such things from happening. Previous experience with primitive
races on other worlds will have taught our alien visitors what problems may arise, and what to do to avert or mitigate them.
Still, there is always the danger that one bunch of space cowboys might try to break the agreement to gain an advantage over the others. However,
there would also be a lot of pressure, especially from the older, more civilized (and more powerful) alien groups, to enforce the agreement to the
letter. Perhaps some of the UFO phenomena glimpsed by humans are the result of police activity — encounters between alien blockade-runners and the
law, involving extreme manoeuvres during which pursuers and pursued can no longer keep themselves 'stealthed' and invisible to human eyes and
instruments.
That leaves only the question of how — them having been here since at least the 1950s, according to reports, which is nearly three generations —
they’ve never, ever given themselves away by dropping the alien equivalent of a nut or a bolt or a bubblegum wrapper. But maybe that’s part of the
protocol too, like the rule the revellers at the Burning Man festival impose upon themselves: leave no trace of your presence behind.
But dammit, do you mean there isn’t
one careless klutz like me out there among the stars? No trainees, no interns, no doddering incompetents,
no buck privates? Doesn't Murphy's Law apply to aliens?
No. It isn’t possible. I don't believe you. They may have brains as big as planets and godlike powers over time and space, but if they’re
intelligent beings they’ll have interests, motives, desires and fallibilities just like us, and they're bound to cock up just like us from time to
time. Aliens are people too.
We'll get the varmints some day.
edit on 16/5/15 by Astyanax because: of alien varmints.