Powerful X1.6-class Solar Flare

A G 2 storm is moderate
Power systems: high-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms, long-duration storms may cause transformer damage.

Spacecraft operations: corrective actions to orientation may be required by ground control; possible changes in drag affect orbit predictions.

Other systems: HF radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes, and aurora has been seen as low as New York and Idaho (typically 55° geomagnetic lat.)**.

originally posted by: nanbei
The Spaceweather site is down.

It's working for me but I left it open to make some food.

Sorry I'm not educated to understand this

originally posted by: violet
Sorry I'm not educated to understand this

Click on the warning and a window will open:


Space Weather Message Code: ALTXMF
Serial Number: 226
Issue Time: 2014 Sep 10 1737 UTC

ALERT: X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Threshold Reached: 2014 Sep 10 1731 UTC
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate
Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity. For real-time information on affected area and expected duration please see www.swpc.noaa.gov...

a reply to: FlyersFan

I would say you have a very good chance to see them this time.




When you do, listen for the crackle.
When I was a kid in Alaska I would watch them and sometimes they would make noise.
People don't believe me, but my mom also heard them.

Is this our Carrinton event?

Is this the kill shot often spoke about?

Spaceweather.com must be over loaded because its running really slow

here are video's of the X flare event. Just in case anyone is interested?

a reply to: LDragonFire

I am just waiting myself to see if there is a CME headed this way or not.
It could very well go that direction.
(Carrington Event)

What else I find interesting is that event took place in the first week of September.

a reply to: FlyersFan

Certainly worth the ride!

If you have never seen them, the first time blows your mind!
Even after seeing them many times over the years, I still get awe struck.

We actually see them fairly frequently in Minnesota in the winter.
But then you don't want to be standing out in -20's to watch them...lol

And you just vindicated me!!
yep, you can hear them sometimes!

a reply to: Darkblade71

They already had a geomagnetic storm warning for the 12th because of a prolonged M class flare and now this to add to the other warning.

As far as I have read its is directed at us

So if I'm camping in the foothills of Mt. Rainier (Washington state) this weekend (Thursday through Sunday) where there is very little light pollution - are my chances pretty good? I've lived here all but 3 years of my life and I've only seen an aurora once - and it wasn't one of those spectacular ones either, just some faint green waves in the sky.

Here's to hoping. Can't think of a better place to be if they are visible in my area!

a reply to: LDragonFire
We have to wait and see if a CME was fired yet. Should be updates in a few hours or less.

I guess there were two or three other flares this week, one fired a CME

a reply to: LDragonFire

Yeah, the x class is a direct hit flare, which is why they are waiting/watching to see if a CME follows it.
if it does, then we might have an interesting time.

I also might add that Earthquakes (it has been suggested) sometimes follow solar flares and CME's, though no proof....and I got bad vibe about the pacific Northwest. I just sent my brother a message warning him to be aware as they live up in Southeast Alaska, and the last time I felt this, SE AK had a 7.5 within two months...
I hope I am wrong with that, but there was just a 4.4 in BC...which also was the pattern to the last large EQ there and north of there in southeast Alaska.

Worries me that it could trigger something big.

I wonder if it'll surprise the aurora predictors just how far south
I think the aurora may be seen, given Earth's weakening magnetosphere ?

Earths' magnetosphere went through another quickening decline of
power a month or so ago.
No doom just purty lights down to Kansas perhaps ?
They say Maine..we'll see...


However I wanted agree with DarkBlade and say I too
believe the Sun can play a role in Quakes. As well as Sprites
Thunder Storm formations and the coming Ice Age...

originally posted by: Darkblade71
a reply to: LDragonFire

Yeah, the x class is a direct hit flare, which is why they are waiting/watching to see if a CME follows it.
if it does, then we might have an interesting time.

I also might add that Earthquakes (it has been suggested) sometimes follow solar flares and CME's, though no proof....and I got bad vibe about the pacific Northwest. I just sent my brother a message warning him to be aware as they live up in Southeast Alaska, and the last time I felt this, SE AK had a 7.5 within two months...
I hope I am wrong with that, but there was just a 4.4 in BC...which also was the pattern to the last large EQ there and north of there in southeast Alaska.

Worries me that it could trigger something big.

Although they say there's no correlation between solar flares and earthquakes, I tend to think there is. We should be vigilant. I'm on the south west coast of BC.

a reply to: tallcool1
I'm sure you might have a good chance. Is Rainer a volcano though? I would stay clear if it is. It's in the cascade range and one never knows if there's a correlation between these and quakes or volcanoes. I think it lost it's dome years ago. I shouldn't alarm you but it's best to be safe or aware,

originally posted by: violet
a reply to: tallcool1
I'm sure you might have a good chance. Is Rainer a volcano though? I would stay clear if it is. It's in the cascade range and one never knows if there's a correlation between these and quakes or volcanoes. I think it lost it's dome years ago. I shouldn't alarm you but it's best to be safe or aware,

Rainier is a "dormant" volcano. I was a teenager back when St. Helens went off and we had several weeks of warning back then. IIRC Rainier is the most monitored mountain/volcano in the US, so I'm fairly certain that we would have at the very least several weeks of warning.

That being said - if Rainier went off suddenly without warning this weekend, I would probably be dead before I had a chance to say "what was that?" - but I'm really not at all worried.

a reply to: tallcool1

What blows is if this turns out to be bad your camping trip might be called living soon.