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I keep repeating the 40% rise in CO2 levels since the industrial revolution
The latest analysis of observations from the WMO Global Atmosphere Watch Programme shows that the globally averaged mole fractions of CO2, CH4 and N2O reached new highs in 2013, with CO2 at 396.0±0.1 ppm[2], CH4 at 1824±2 ppb[3] and N2O at 325.9±0.1 ppb. These values constitute, respectively, 142%, 253% and 121% of pre-industrial (before 1750) levels.
originally posted by: ElectricUniverse
BTW, just a question to all those members who keep trying to back the AGW claim. Was the raw data deleted or wasn't it?...
Weren't the most prominent AGW scientist proponents caught time and again lying, and fabricating data, and even pushing FALSE information to put political pressure or not?...
BTW, if you are going to claim they didn't lie, you need to post evidence. Actual facts, and not "opinion and rumors".
Environmental Media Services
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Environmental Media Services (EMS) is a Washington, D.C. based nonprofit organization that is "dedicated to expanding media coverage of critical environmental and public health issues".[1] EMS was founded in 1994 by Arlie Schardt, a former journalist, former communications director for Al Gore's 2000 Presidential campaign, and former head of the Environmental Defense Fund during the 1970s.
Their primary activities include holding forums that bring scientists knowledgeable in current environmental issues together with journalists, providing web hosting and support for environmental issues sites like RealClimate,[2] and providing recommendations to journalists trying to locate experts knowledgeable on environmental topics. They also issue press releases related to environmental issues and provide an aggregation service that disseminates recent news on environmental topics.
EMS is closely allied with Fenton Communications (where they shared the same office space and personnel),[3][4] "the largest public interest communications firm in the [United States]"[5] which specializes in providing public relations for nonprofit organizations dealing with public policy issues.
As of December 31, 2005, Environmental Media Services ceased to function as an independent organization and merged with Science Communication Network.
...
As Patrick Michaels points out, the investigations were not exactly as “independent” as they have been labeled:
Last week “The Independent Climate Change E-mails Review,” commissioned and paid for by the University of East Anglia, exonerated the University of East Anglia.
Further:
One of the [investigative] panel’s four members, Prof. Geoffrey Boulton, was on the faculty of East Anglia’s School of Environmental Sciences for 18 years. At the beginning of his tenure, the Climatic Research Unit (CRU)—the source of the Climategate emails—was established in Mr. Boulton’s school at East Anglia. Last December, Mr. Boulton signed a petition declaring that the scientists who established the global climate records at East Anglia “adhere to the highest levels of professional integrity.”
Michaels also points out that the institutions performing two earlier investigations—the University of East Anglia itself, and Penn State University into its employee Michael Mann—stood to lose millions of dollars in federal funding for global warming research had any wrong-doing been found.
The BBC’s Environment Analyst Roger Harrabin also reports questions about the independence of the investigations, which you can hear here.
But, motivations aside, just how rigorous was this “independent” investigation that has now “vindicated” the scientists involved?
As background for those who might have forgotten who the players are, last November, an unknown party known only as “FOI” (Freedom of Information) posted to a website thousands of emails and other documents among key scientists, all champions of anthropogenic global warming and involved in the UN panel creating its Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Report. The key players involved were Phil Jones, director of the University of East Anglia’s Climate Research Unit (CRU), Keith Briffa, a climatologist at CRU and IPCC author, and Michael Mann (of “Hockey Stick” infamy) at Penn State University. Phil Jones stepped aside as director at CRU pending the investigation’s findings, and is now set to return, though with a slightly different title.
The most serious evidence the hacked emails had revealed was of Keith Briffa colluding with a colleague of Mann’s to change the published IPCC assessment of the Hockey Stick dispute from that which had been sent to external reviewers to one that favored Mann and his colleagues, creators of the Hockey Stick—rather a direct contradiction of the fabled “peer review” process. These were the email exchanges about the IPCC report (AR4) that Phil Jones exhorted all to delete (see #2, below).
Other of the more damning emails involved are also outlined below.
As extremely well documented in Steve McIntyre’s Climate Audit blog, the investigation, headed up by Sir Muir Russell, only interviewed representatives of the CRU itself—hardly a balanced investigation—and Russell himself did not even attend the interviews of Jones, Briffa and other key players (“Muir Russell Skipped Jones Interviews“).
...
HIDE• THE• DECLINE“I’ve just completed Mike’s Nature trick of adding in the real temps to each series for the last 20 years (ie from 1981 onwards) amd from 1961 for Keith’s to hide the decline.” Phil Jones
...
...
1) Hide data requested by outsiders.
Phil Jones to Mike Mann:
The two MMs [probably Ross McKitrick and Steve McIntyre] have been after the CRU station data for years. If they ever hear there is a Freedom of Information Act now in the UK, I think I’ll delete the file rather than send to anyone.
Phil Jones to Gavin Schmidt (Climatologist at the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies):
All our FOI [Freedom of Information] officers have been in discussions and are now using the same exceptions not to respond—advice they got from the Information Commissioner. ...
The FOI line we’re all using is this. IPCC is exempt from any countries FOI—the skeptics have been told this.
2) Delete emails and lie about their back conversations on rewriting the IPCC report.
]Phil Jones to Mike Mann:
Can you delete any emails you may have had with Keith [Briffa] re AR4 [the IPCC report]? Keith will do likewise. He’s not in at the moment—minor family crisis. Can you also email Gene [Wahl, an employee of the U.S. Department of Commerce] and get him to do the same? I don’t have his new email address. We will be getting Caspar [Amman, of the U.S. National Center for Atmospheric Research] to do likewise Cheers, Phil.
...
originally posted by: ElectricUniverse
a reply to: jrod
You keep making these claims... Like a similar claim in another thread in which first you claim to have a PHd, and then on the next page you say "I never wrote that"... Or the fact that in that same thread you first claim not to believe the AGW claim, and then you change your mind and back the AGW claims...
originally posted by: jrod
I never once posted on ATS that I have a PHD, I cited several PHDs at FIT who could back up these crazy science claims I keep posting. Misquoting is a tactic straight from the book of deception.
Keep it up Mr. Strawman!edit on 11-9-2014 by jrod because: it never ends with ElectricUniverse
originally posted by: jrod
...
For the record: never have I claimed to have a PHD, I cited Dr. Windsor a PHD who taught an atmospheric chemistry class at Florida Institute of Technology in 2003
Please kindly do not misrepresent what I write, it takes away from your credibility.
originally posted by: jrod
a reply to: ElectricUniverse
Dr Lazarus is still at FIT. He can verify that Dr. Windsor was indeed there in 2003, and I indeed was enrolled there. Ask Sallie Mae.
my.fit.edu...
There is an email address somewhere on that site or one of the sub-pages to Dr. Lazarus. Proof that I have a genuine PHD to back my claims up.
originally posted by: jrod
I do believe global warming is a hoax too, It is a propaganda campaign. It can not be either proved or disproved in our short life times. While there does appear to be a correlation between temperature rise and CO2, this is by no means proves global warming.
...
private message
I AM a scientist!
from: jrod
You are a phoney!!
Get over it, ATS is full of intelligent people that will not be fooled by your attempt at deception.
If I wasn't right, then you would not have the NEED for the personal attacks against me in your posts.
That is poor etiquette and only makes you look foolish.
originally posted by: Semicollegiate
originally posted by: jrod
a reply to: ElectricUniverse
CO2 is less than .1% of the atmosphere, and only a fraction of the radiation reemitted by CO2 would come back to the Earth. Radiative forcing with a fraction of less than 1/4th of less than .1% of ambient temperature is like trying to heat a swimming pool or a house with safety matches.
You’re not understanding the physics correctly, that’s why you’re coming up with the wrong conclusion.
I have no idea what your educational level is, so please forgive me if I cover material you already know. First, all the monoatomic gases of the atmosphere (Neon, Helium, Argon, Krypton) and all the diatomic gases (Oxygen, Nitrogen, Hydrogen) of the atmosphere are not electrically polar, to any appreciable degree. Therefore they can’t readily absorb thermal IR. That’s why—even though they make up more than 99% of the molecules of the Earth’s atmosphere—they absorb a negligible amount of the thermal IR emitted back from the Earth’s surface. A gas molecule has to be triatomic or greater (CO2, H2O, CH4) in order to be an effective thermal IR absorber. That’s why the greenhouse effect is so sensitive to those trace gases—they are the only ones that count.
So what happens AFTER a CO2 molecule (or H2O, or CH4, etc.) has absorbed a thermal IR photon traveling upward from the Earth’s surface? You seem to be assuming that it then immediately re-emits the radiation, and for that reason you can’t understand how this could possibly contribute to atmospheric warming.
If that’s what happened, you would be right—but that’s not what happens. The energy absorbed into a polyatomic gas molecule from thermal IR photons goes into vibrational kinetic energy of the molecule (but does not directly change its translational velocity). Such a molecule is in an excited state, which is not energetically stable for an indefinite period of time. If such a molecule were isolated in free space, it would spontaneously transition back to the ground state by re-emitting the photon. The time constant for decay back down to the original energy state is about 1 nanosecond.
However, in a body of gas, the molecules are moving around with a substantial translational velocity and bumping into each other all the time. In the atmosphere near the Earth’s surface, the mean time interval for collisions between gas molecules is around 1/5 of a nanosecond, so you can see that after 1 nanosecond, the originally excited molecule would have undergone multiple collisions. Every time a collision occurs, the total kinetic energy of the two molecules is reapportioned between the two and the kinetic energy can show up in either vibrational, rotational, or translational modes. In stochastic physics this process is called equipartition of energy. Most of those collisions would be with Nitrogen and Oxygen molecules which would go on to collide with their neighbors which collide with their neighbors, and so on. Within a fraction of a second, the vibrational energy of the CO2 molecule-- which came from the thermal IR photon--has been distributed evenly into the surrounding air molecules by simple thermodynamics.
The net result is that all the gas molecules that participate in collisions have their mean velocity speeded up a little bit. Increasing the mean speed of molecules in a gas is the same as increasing the temperature of the gas. Of course, molecules colliding at thermal speeds become activated by the collision and can then emit electromagnetic radiation themselves as a result. The process of emission does not depend on the molecules being polar, so N2 and O2 can participate in this process quite readily. The faster the speed of collisions, the more energy is emitted by the activated molecules. So, as the mean speed of gas molecules goes up and the gas temperature goes up, more energy is emitted by collisions per unit time. When the amount of power emitted by collisions between all the molecules in the gas equals the amount of power absorbed by the polyatomic molecules, the system is in equilibrium and it does not get any hotter.
In summary, only the polar, polyatomic molecular species participate in the direct absorption of thermal IR, but ALL the molecular species participate in re-emission of the energy that arrived from that source, after it has been redistributed through collisions.
originally posted by: ElectricUniverse
originally posted by: jrod
I never once posted on ATS that I have a PHD, I cited several PHDs at FIT who could back up these crazy science claims I keep posting. Misquoting is a tactic straight from the book of deception.
Keep it up Mr. Strawman!edit on 11-9-2014 by jrod because: it never ends with ElectricUniverse
hum...
originally posted by: jrod
...
For the record: never have I claimed to have a PHD, I cited Dr. Windsor a PHD who taught an atmospheric chemistry class at Florida Institute of Technology in 2003
Please kindly do not misrepresent what I write, it takes away from your credibility.
Really?... When in the page before you posted, and I quote...
originally posted by: jrod
a reply to: ElectricUniverse
Dr Lazarus is still at FIT. He can verify that Dr. Windsor was indeed there in 2003, and I indeed was enrolled there. Ask Sallie Mae.
my.fit.edu...
There is an email address somewhere on that site or one of the sub-pages to Dr. Lazarus. Proof that I have a genuine PHD to back my claims up.
Wow...just wow...
What about claiming first that you don't believe in AGW, and then actually backing the AGW claims, are you also going to deny that?...
originally posted by: jrod
I do believe global warming is a hoax too, It is a propaganda campaign. It can not be either proved or disproved in our short life times. While there does appear to be a correlation between temperature rise and CO2, this is by no means proves global warming.
...
The above can be found at the top of page 24 in the following link
But we all know your continuous attempts at claiming "CO2 must be culled' do not agree with the AGW claims right?...
Sometimes I think that you Jrod have arguments with yourself every day of the week for 24 hours a day because you keep contradicting yourself and keep repeating the same lies day in and day out.
You can never provide any proof in specific to ANY of the claims you make. You claim other members "use pseudo-science" when it is you who keeps doing what you proclaim other members do...
Oh and btw, stop sending me whispers claiming that you are a scientist. We all can see you are nothing even close to being a scientist, or making other wild claims such as...
private message
I AM a scientist!
from: jrod
You are a phoney!!
Get over it, ATS is full of intelligent people that will not be fooled by your attempt at deception.
If I wasn't right, then you would not have the NEED for the personal attacks against me in your posts.
That is poor etiquette and only makes you look foolish.
It's getting tiresome. Next whisper I get from you and I will send all the whispers you have been sending me to the staff.
originally posted by: jrod
a reply to: ElectricUniverse
That is a misquote there buddy!
originally posted by: jrod
I was referring to PHDs that I was a student of during my time at FIT.
originally posted by: jrod
Keep trying to tear me down.
Don't like message, shoot down the messenger!
originally posted by: jrod
I do believe global warming is a hoax too, It is a propaganda campaign. It can not be either proved or disproved in our short life times. While there does appear to be a correlation between temperature rise and CO2, this is by no means proves global warming.
Yes. This true. However it appears there may be a warming trend at a result of anthropological activity, more specifically the industrial age. Both CO2 and CH4 cause radiative forcing.
Keep up with your strawman attacks!