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originally posted by: jrod
a reply to: SonOfTheLawOfOne
Trying to break down my character is not science and is certainly not contributing to this thread.
The 40%+ and counting increase of CO2 is real. This species is causing harm to this planet.
I'm done here. Game Over!
originally posted by: Greven
If you will recall, your post was in response to defcon5, whose post was a rebuttal of FarleyWayne's claim that other planets in the Solar System were warming along with the Earth.
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originally posted by: Greven
Which you followed with a bunch of graphs over a brief time period seemingly showing an increase in Total Solar Irradiance. What you were mostly writing was about the small trending increase in TSI during lower periods of solar activity.
That's misleading in a few ways:
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Major Magentic Storms 1868-2007
According to the AA* criteria
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Because of the difference in units of presentation, the values of AA* and Ap* are not the same so that different major magnetic storm onset and end threshold values are used for the two series. However their comparison for the years of overlapping coverage show that relative frequency of occurrence of major storms per year are similar. Another reason for differences is that an index derived from magnetic perturbation values at only two observatories easily experiences larger extreme values if either input site is well situated to the overhead ionospheric and.or field aligned current systems producing the magnetic storm effects. Although not documented here, it is interesting to note that the overall level of magnetic disturbance from year to year has increased substantially from a low around 1900 Also, the level of mean yearly aa is now much higher so that a year of minimum magnetic disturbances now is typically more disturbed than years at maximum disturbance levels before 1900.
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www.ngdc.noaa.gov...
originally posted by: Outland
The image below illustrates to scale all of the GHGs in the atmosphere rounded up to 400PPM (0.04%) -not including water vapor- as indicated by the red area.
Compare that with atmospheric oxygen for perspective...
Compare that to nitrogen for perspective...
Of that 0.04% of GHGs, the gray part of the magnified red area is human based...
I hope you're all feeling really guilty now.
originally posted by: SonOfTheLawOfOne
I did read your reply and noticed that you corrected the data in your graph, so while I appreciate that, I didn't see anything else acknowledging that temperature rises before CO2, which nullifies most of the discussion. It is irrelevant to argue over something as a cause when evidence supports it being an effect.
The discussion should shift to the cause.
If CO2 rising is an effect of temperature increasing, there is nothing we can do to change the temperature since that would infer that we can control the sun. Trying to say that it's because of CO2 would also infer that CO2 has an impact on the sun, and there is no disputing the fact that the sun is the single largest contributor to temperature on the planet.
AGW is on its death bed as a valid theory. There is WAY too much evidence in contradiction. There isn't a dispute over how CO2 acts as a warming mechanism, but there is vehement disagreement and evidence against it being a cause of climate change. Even the models are diverging and disagreeing because of the latest evidence being added to the data set.
David Evans has released a new model which agrees with Leif Svalgaard's (keep in mind, this man has a solar theory named after him) TSI data and predictions, as well as is aligned with several other cycles such as the Bond Cycle and the barycentric cycle of the sun.
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Common sense would tell us that we should fear a global cool-down more than warming, so maybe the discussion should stop around who is right or wrong and face the fact that either way, regardless of hotter or colder, we all would need to prepare to adapt to those changes, which we are not doing.
As far as I am concerned, the model is already falsified. Not by the observations but by the [almost fraudulent - as there clearly is an agenda here] use of invalid input to begin with. This concludes my comments as the prediction is worthless on its face.
originally posted by: ElectricUniverse
a reply to: Greven
Yet you are unable to show where I wrote that the TSI graph I gave was the most recent one. Who was talking about trying to get off the tangent?...
originally posted by: ElectricUniverse
Some years back ATS member Outland posted in graphics how tiny is the amount of CO2 that exists on Earth's atmosphere which amounts to 0.04% of Earth's atmosphere.
originally posted by: Outland
The image below illustrates to scale all of the GHGs in the atmosphere rounded up to 400PPM (0.04%) -not including water vapor- as indicated by the red area.
Compare that with atmospheric oxygen for perspective...
Compare that to nitrogen for perspective...
Of that 0.04% of GHGs, the gray part of the magnified red area is human based...
I hope you're all feeling really guilty now.
originally posted by: mbkennel
Making pictures of 400 parts per million and saying "SEE!!!" is idiot pseudoscience, when actual science has worked on the problem for many decades quantitatively using real laws of physics & chemistry and observations.
Would anybody argue in some chemical engineering problem that 400 ppm can't possibly do anything because, uh, because, uh, it's only 0.04%? Completely contrary to decades of work on that very problem? Obviously not, this is intended as self-satifactory truthiness for people to be comfortable with their prejudices motivated by a distaste for the economic & political consequences of the actual science and moral responsibility.
It takes an injection of just 2 billionths of a gram or inhaling 13 billionths of a gram to kill an adult.
originally posted by: raymundoko
Your argument is hugely flawed. One is a deadly toxin, the other is not.
Do me a favor, how much temp increase would 10,000 PPM of co2 cause and what effect would it have on the planet and humans?
originally posted by: Greven
Is there still human-emitted CO2 in the atmosphere? If yes, then we are clearly causing some impact. I believe raymunduko answered that one earlier.
originally posted by: Greven
And solar irradiance was different in the past, the Sun's output was different, etc. There are many, many factors - not just CO2.
originally posted by: Greven
You deny that CO2 can cause warming?
originally posted by: Greven
You ignore science dating back into the late 1800s. More CO2 in an atmosphere will cause warming, ceteris paribus. This is beyond question. I fail to see a reason to keep responding to posts if you believe this.
originally posted by: Greven
originally posted by: mbkennel
Making pictures of 400 parts per million and saying "SEE!!!" is idiot pseudoscience, when actual science has worked on the problem for many decades quantitatively using real laws of physics & chemistry and observations.
Would anybody argue in some chemical engineering problem that 400 ppm can't possibly do anything because, uh, because, uh, it's only 0.04%? Completely contrary to decades of work on that very problem? Obviously not, this is intended as self-satifactory truthiness for people to be comfortable with their prejudices motivated by a distaste for the economic & political consequences of the actual science and moral responsibility.
To reinforce this point, consider that scientists discovered a new, even deadlier form of botox late last year.
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While I'm not arguing that more CO2 will literally kill the Earth, I am arguing that more CO2 has an effect on the Earth.
originally posted by: jrod
Ever had a saltwater aquarium?
Trying to maintain a habitat in one of those will show how much a small change in a vital, but trace amount, of a chemical can destroy the ecosystem.
There are a lot of other ways we are causing harm to this planet, no doubt about it.
While I think it is foolish to minimize the spike in CO2 we have caused, luck and space weather do have an enormous impact on our climate. This I have never doubted.
Underwater volcanoes heating Antarctic waters
Newly discovered volcanoes almost two miles tall
11 Jul 2011 - Scientists from the British Antarctic Survey (BAS) have discovered previously unknown volcanoes in the ocean waters around the remote South Sandwich Islands.
Sea-floor mapping technology reveals volcanoes beneath the sea surface
Using ship-borne sea-floor mapping technology during research cruises onboard the RRS James Clark Ross, the scientists found 12 volcanoes beneath the sea surface — some up to 3km (1.86 miles) high. They found 5km (3 mile) diameter craters left by collapsing volcanoes and 7 active volcanoes visible above the sea as a chain of islands.
According to a press release from the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States (PNAS), "this sub-sea landscape, with its waters warmed by volcanic activity creates a rich habitat for many species of wildlife and adds valuable new insight about life on earth." (Italics added)
The research is also important for understanding what happens when volcanoes erupt or collapse underwater and their potential for creating serious hazards such as tsunamis
Speaking at the International Symposium on Antarctic Earth Sciences in Edinburgh Dr Phil Leat from British Antarctic Survey said,
“There is so much that we don’t understand about volcanic activity beneath the sea — it’s likely that volcanoes are erupting or collapsing all the time. The technologies that scientists can now use from ships not only give us an opportunity to piece together the story of the evolution of our earth, but they also help shed new light on the development of natural events that pose hazards for people living in more populated regions on the planet.”
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originally posted by: Greven
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I fail to see how the salinity of the ocean decreased during a time when ocean levels should have been on the decline. Perhaps you can link a source to this, as well?
originally posted by: jrod
a reply to: ElectricUniverse
Why must you live with your head in a dark place, while making wild accusations and asking impossible questions.
Runaway effect do happen in nature, and happen quickly.
Try to maintain a saltwater aquarium with that logic.....
Nothing that you just posted has anything to do with the man made CO2 problem.
40% and rising.
originally posted by: Greven
You misunderstand the point. I clearly pointed out that they are not the same in my post. ElectricUniverse attempted to downplay any effect from an increasing CO2 concentration in the atmosphere by pointing out how small of a percentage of the atmosphere is composed of CO2. The obvious counterargument is to demonstrate how minute quantities of other substances can produce profound effects in other environments.
Quite frankly, I don't know how much temperature increase such a vast change in the CO2 concentration of the atmosphere would cause. You claim it would cause a 5-7 degree Celsius temperature increase in your last post. That is immense, on a global scale; roughly the difference between our last major ice age and the modern era.