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originally posted by: ElectricUniverse
a reply to: Greven
Because first of all the natural sources of CO2 emissions are not constant from year to year, and any given year the difference in natural CO2 emissions can be higher than the total amount of anthropogenic CO2 emissions.
Second of all, CO2 levels have been higher in the past than now and instead of warming there was a cooling period. Likewise, there have been times during the geological record of Earth's history when CO2 levels were lower than now and temperatures were much higher than now. Such as the Medieval Warming Period, the Roman Warming Period, and the Minoan Warming Period.
The claim that CO2 causes massive warming is false. Like I showed, higher levels of atmospheric CO2 is in fact BENEFITIAL to the Earth. The claim that there is an "imbalance" due to anthropogenic CO2 is nothing more than a romanticized lie.
originally posted by: SonOfTheLawOfOne
I in no way was mocking or demeaning you. I was pointing out the irony in your comments about Beck's work being put in a crappy journal, and yet the journal your tried to publish your work in has had "some issues with the journal" as though your excuse is supposed to be any different than the one you applied to the journal that published Beck's work.
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Your argument here is nothing more than trying to obfuscate things. I only gave my criticism of things that you said which are not supported by empirical evidence, or papers based purely on models and not empirical data or observation.
...
Ask yourself, why does your graph look so different from mine if you are using the same GISS as the data source? Did you bother to look at it?
Because your source is (emphasis mine):
GLOBAL Temperature Anomalies in 0.01 degrees Celsius base period: 1951-1980
sources: GHCN-v3 1880-05/2014 (meteorological stations only)
using elimination of outliers and homogeneity adjustment
data.giss.nasa.gov...
(see graph above)
My source:
GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius base period: 1951-1980
sources: GHCN-v3 1880-05/2014 + SST: ERSST 1880-05/2014
using elimination of outliers and homogeneity adjustment
data.giss.nasa.gov...
And this is EXACTLY what us "deniers" get pissed about is when data is incorrectly represented.
You are now guilty of it too, regardless if your graph is wrong or your source reference is, it's a reflection of this entire post and everything I've been saying.
Now, maybe you should go model some climate from that graph and tell everyone that the rise in temperature is going to kill everyone if we don't do something to stop it.
originally posted by: ElectricUniverse
... O2 is not going down, and if it is it will be due to deforestation, not to an increase in CO2... The higher the levels of CO2, the more that plants and trees have for food. Not to mention that higher levels of atmospheric CO2 makes all the green biomass to use water more efficiently, which means they use less water leaving more for humans and animals...
originally posted by: Greven
You ignore science dating back into the late 1800s. More CO2 in an atmosphere will cause warming, ceteris paribus. This is beyond question. I fail to see a reason to keep responding to posts if you believe this.
originally posted by: SonOfTheLawOfOne
That does not mean that we are the cause of temperature rising, especially in light of temperature rising before CO2. So are we the cause of the temperature rising? Because CO2 rising is not what is responsible for the temperature, it is the other way around and has an enormity of support with hard data.
So what is the cause of the increase in temperature? What does temperature do to the release of CO2 from various sinks?
I would think it's more important to understand why temperature is increasing (NOT CO2) if we have more evidence that supports CO2 increases lag temperature increases, both recently and historically.
originally posted by: ElectricUniverse
a reply to: Greven
Yes I did, and this fact does not refute the evidence. Not to mention that people such as yourself often times just post your own opinions without referring to any research or facts. I will prove my point in other responses to you below.
That research extends to the year 2010, or 4 years ago.
www.co2science.org...
Yes the Sargasso Sea temperature graph was researched on that particular paper until 1999...
It is a "suggestion" because rice farming releases methane...
Now you are taking the research completely out of context and making your own conclusions which are wrong...
...the Medieval Warming Period, and the Roman Warming Period were "global occurrences", and they were not local, as even you have tried to imply.
Err, first of all the temperatures during the CURRENT Warming Period were not taken from reconstructions of oxygen content in the ocean... Temperatures for the Current Warming Period have been taken directly from the atmosphere... So when you are implying that the present acidification of the oceans now should make this research invalid is either dishonest on your part, if you knew what you were talking about, or it once again shows you just don't know what you are talking about at all.
originally posted by: mbkennel
Except for basic facts of physics.
So what is the cause of the increase in temperature? What does temperature do to the release of CO2 from various sinks?
Why then did the CO2 suddently get released from those sinks so so so so much faster after 1750, and especially accelerating in the 20th and 21st century? Show the physical mechanism, backed up by experimental data which confirms this hypothesis, and how the combustion of fossil fuels was actually magically sequestered.
You know, there can be feedback and interactions in both directions. Temperature increases can change geological & biological processes which cause more CO2 which causes more rapid temperature increase which cause more emissions. This doesn't negate the physics of CO2 in the atmosphere which is a confirmed scientific fact and not a myth.
Now, with humans that historical natural cycle is broken because obviously there's a totally new source of carbon which is NOT the result of whatever was happening in prehistoric eras.
It's based on physics, not mechanism-free statistical correlations based on an inappropriate measurement period.
Sillly person, the fact that CO2 increases temperature does not rely on any paleoclimate sources---it comes from electromagnetism and chemistry. CO2 emitted at time T causes temperature increases throughout [T,T+1000] or so.
originally posted by: Greven
Is there still human-emitted CO2 in the atmosphere? If yes, then we are clearly causing some impact. I believe raymunduko answered that one earlier.
And solar irradiance was different in the past, the Sun's output was different, etc. There are many, many factors - not just CO2.
You deny that CO2 can cause warming?
You ignore science dating back into the late 1800s. More CO2 in an atmosphere will cause warming, ceteris paribus. This is beyond question. I fail to see a reason to keep responding to posts if you believe this.
originally posted by: ElectricUniverse
originally posted by: charlyv
These are real numbers. Within the last few hundred years, the very rightmost x value on this timescale , CO2 increase in the atmosphere has gone asymptotic. Can anyone really believe that there will be no ramifications to our climate from what you see here? If not, please explain why it is not important.
The Earth started to warm at the beginning of the 1600s, over 200 years before the advent of the industrial revolution.
Global borehole temperature data has shown this.
The map above shows the location of borehole sites in the database that we have analyzed to date. The diagram below is a global perspective of surface temperature change over the last five centuries, averaged from 837 individual reconstructions. The thick red line represents the mean surface temperature since 1500 relative to the present-day. The shading represents ± one standard error of the mean. Shown in blue for comparision is the global mean surface air temperature (five year running average) derived from instrumental records by P.D. Jones and colleagues at the University of East Anglia .
www.ncdc.noaa.gov...
Throughout the history of Earth's geology the data shows that temperatures increases lead before CO2 levels increase by an average 800 years. While mankind has released anthropogenic CO2, hence it's term as anthropogenic. There is no real evidence that shows this increased level of CO2 will cause the dramatic warming claimed by the AGW camp. in fact most of the warming attributed to CO2 is caused by water vapor, and not CO2. But since water vapor is 99.999% natural, world leaders can't use the increase in water vapor to control people.
Let's see the surface temperature from borehole stations side by side to the increase in CO2 levels.
originally posted by: Greven
If there are so many papers floating around, you wouldn't mind linking a few, would you? Otherwise, I'm skeptical of your claims.
I fail to see how the salinity of the ocean decreased during a time when ocean levels should have been on the decline. Perhaps you can link a source to this, as well?
originally posted by: jrod
a reply to: ElectricUniverse
Doom doom doom, and you accuse me of being an AGW activist who believes anything AGW article I read. I do appreciate the irony.
Why do so many not want to take care of this planet?
As I person who grew up on the beaches and ocean in a tourist destination, I have observed all kinds of people and all kinds of behaviors. Most have no problem picking up their trash when they leave the beach, yet there is always some who think it is okay to leave all their garbage including their baby's diapers when the leave.
Most of us want to clean up this planet. We have allowed those who think there is nothing wrong with leaving their trash behind to gain power. Now those type of people are trying to convince others it is okay to leave there trash behind because 'the tide will wash it way' or it is too timely and expensive to clean-up their mess.....
CO2 is vital to life on this planet. The spike in concentrations that we are experiencing needs to culled. We are causing the spike.
originally posted by: charlyv
That is a very nice and thorough analysis.
My point in the ice cores data is that this spike in Co2 is asymptotic. It would seem that whatever breaks such a cycle has to be a (hopefully temporary) traumatic change in the climate, lest it go out of control completely and then one only has to look at Venus to see evidence of the worst scenario.
originally posted by: jrod
...
For the record: never have I claimed to have a PHD, I cited Dr. Windsor a PHD who taught an atmospheric chemistry class at Florida Institute of Technology in 2003
Please kindly do not misrepresent what I write, it takes away from your credibility.
originally posted by: jrod
a reply to: ElectricUniverse
Dr Lazarus is still at FIT. He can verify that Dr. Windsor was indeed there in 2003, and I indeed was enrolled there. Ask Sallie Mae.
my.fit.edu...
There is an email address somewhere on that site or one of the sub-pages to Dr. Lazarus. Proof that I have a genuine PHD to back my claims up.
originally posted by: jrod
a reply to: ElectricUniverse
Are you trying to tell the good people who read ATS that there is no correlation between CO2 and temperature?
Specifically the radiative forcing aspect of CO2? Is that just a myth too?
originally posted by: SonOfTheLawOfOne
originally posted by: mbkennel
Except for basic facts of physics.
That made absolutely no sense in reference to what you quoted.
What basic facts of physics are you referring to?
...
~Namaste
originally posted by: mbkennel
Except for basic facts of physics.
...
It's based on physics, not mechanism-free statistical correlations based on an inappropriate measurement period.
...
originally posted by: mbkennel
...
Sillly person, the fact that CO2 increases temperature does not rely on any paleoclimate sources---it comes from electromagnetism and chemistry. CO2 emitted at time T causes temperature increases throughout [T,T+1000] or so.
originally posted by: jrod
a reply to: ElectricUniverse
Sorry. Your posts can be confusing. I must have mis-read what you wrote.
With science, the best answer is a simple one. A lot can be lost in those overly wordy postings.
BTW, there is something we as a species can do to cull the CO2 that is accumulating in our atmosphere.