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So while not endorsing this attempt at undermining our basis for current exceptional global warming, I must say I find myself in sympathy with much of what Will Hutton writes. In particular his conclusion that the debate around climate change is fundamentally about power and politics rather than the environment seems undeniable. There are not that many "facts" about (the meaning of) climate change which science can unequivocally reveal. I am copying this to Asher Minns, since Asher has been giving the issue of "sound science" and Tyndall's reaction to it some thought recently. Mike [Hulme]
Ultimately the data was released
The earth has undergone several warm up periods over the millennia, long before industrialized man was to blame
Following years of bitter dispute with climate change sceptics, the Climate Research Unit(CRU) at the University of East Anglia (UEA) in Norwich yesterday released most of the meteorological raw data it had used to put together a contested global land temperature dataset, CRUTEM. The release had been ordered last month by the UK Information Commissioner.
The CRU had previously rejected several freedom-of-information-act requests to make available raw data, which had been obtained from national meteorological services worldwide, to amateur researchers and climate sceptics, arguing that it had no permission to release the commercial datasets. ‘Gridded’ data derived from daily meteorological station data have been publicly available for many years, but sceptics, including Canadian statistician Steve McIntyre, said they needed the raw data so that they could do their own re-analysis of global temperature trends.
In autumn 2009, unknown offenders hacked CRU computer servers and released more than a thousand emails – some containing aggressive language and alleged hints of data manipulation – exchanged over ten year or so between CRU director Phil Jones and a group of leading climate scientists. Jones and his co-workers were later cleared of all allegations of misconduct. Even so, ‘Climategate’, as critics were quick to dub the affair, prompted a severe confidence crisis from which the climate sciences have not yet fully recovered.
With yesterday’s release, raw data from 5,113 weather stations around the globe are now in the public domain. The only data missing are those from 10 stations in Poland. The Polish meteorological service, say CRU officials, refused permittence to have their data publicly released. But CRU reluctantly opted to release station data from Trinidad and Tobago against the Caribbean state’s express wish.
“We want to place beyond all doubt our determination to be open with our data and to comply with the ICO’s instruction,” Trevor Davies, UEA’s Pro-Vice-Chancellor for Research, said in a statement. “We remain concerned, however, that the forced release of material from a source which has explicitly refused to give permission for release could have some damaging consequences for the UK in international research collaborations.”
released most of the meteorological raw data
According to Schurer et al, “We find variations in solar output and explosive volcanism to be the main drivers of climate change from 1400-1900.” They also claim, “but for the first time we are also able to detect a significant contribution from greenhouse gas variations to the cold conditions during 1600-1800.” This claim is highly unlikely given that ice cores show CO2 levels only changed by less than 10 ppm from 1600-1800, and the effect of 10 ppm CO2 on the climate today remains undetectable even with modern instrumentation.
climate science campaigns which, according to a Congressional Research Service report, have secured $68.4 billion in federal money between 2008 and 2012 to address man-induced climate change.
But there were some problems with that graph and the research behind it. Some very big problems. One was that the Medieval Warm Period which occurred between about AD 800 and 1100 along with the Little Ice Age (not a true Ice Age) which occurred between about AD 1350-1850 somehow turned up missing. And as for those Yamal tree samples, they came from only 12 specimens of 252 in the data set… while a larger data set of 34 trees from the same vicinity that weren’t used showed no dramatic recent warming, and warmer temperatures in the Middle Ages.
Jones now admits that he “merged the data we have received into existing series or begun new ones. . . . Data storage availability in the 1980s meant that we were not able to keep the multiple sources for some sites, only the station series after adjustment for homogeneity issues. We, therefore, do not hold the original raw data but only the value-added (i.e., quality controlled and homogenized) data.”
they released most of the raw data, but not the MODEL, which is what i said.
From 1978 onwards, the Climatic Research Unit developed its gridded CRUTEM data set of land air temperature anomalies based on instrumental temperature records held by National Meteorological Organisations around the world, often under formal or informal confidentiality agreements that restricted use of this raw data to academic purposes. Beginning in 1991, Phil Jones of CRU discussed data with Warwick Hughes (later of the New Zealand Climate Science Coalition), and from 2002 onwards had requests for raw data from Stephen McIntyre for raw data relating to the hockey stick graph as shown in the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report (AR4) of 2001. At first Jones met their requests, but increasingly felt that he was inundated with requests that he could not meet due to time or confidentiality constraints, and in 2005 began refusing requests. In that year the new UK Freedom of Information Act came into effect, and climate researchers discussed the scope and implications of FOIA requests which they saw as disrupting the time available for their work, and inappropriate for private emails.
i see you blow off all the emails talking about manipulating data, "truncating" results, and that they themselves know it is more a political issue.
According to Schurer et al, “We find variations in solar output and explosive volcanism to be the main drivers of climate change from 1400-1900.” They also claim, “but for the first time we are also able to detect a significant contribution from greenhouse gas variations to the cold conditions during 1600-1800.” This claim is highly unlikely given that ice cores show CO2 levels only changed by less than 10 ppm from 1600-1800, and the effect of 10 ppm CO2 on the climate today remains undetectable even with modern instrumentation.
“We find variations in solar output and explosive volcanism to be the main drivers of climate change from 1400-1900.”
They also claim, “but for the first time we are also able to detect a significant contribution from greenhouse gas variations to the cold conditions during 1600-1800.” This claim is highly unlikely given that ice cores show CO2 levels only changed by less than 10 ppm from 1600-1800, and the effect of 10 ppm CO2 on the climate today remains undetectable even with modern instrumentation.
follow the money, eh? 68.4 BILLION dollars for supporting anthropogenic global warming. wouldn't want to lose that bacon by turning up results that contradict what is wanted.
Originally posted by Kali74
reply to post by phantomjack
I don't care tbh, but you tooted your own horn. Presumably as to appear in an authoritative position. So as a scientist, what's your issue with science being taught in school? Why is climate science wrong?
Science says that human emissions of GHG's are causing our current global warming and that is happening at a faster rate than any other warming period of our past (that we know of), there is consensus on this.
Originally posted by Danbones
well, when you have a none existant problem, giving your money to all gore will fix it
all children must learn this inconvenient truth
or else
Originally posted by CB328
The earth has undergone several warm up periods over the millennia, long before industrialized man was to blame
Sigh, many of the warm periods were when the land masses were centered around the equator and there were no ice caps at the poles. Obviously those conditions made it hot with people.
The real question is why conservatives have a religious and completely unfounded belief that humans can't ever harm the environment.
You mean some schools are going to teach actual science... in a science class, instead of creationism
Like many large corporations, Exxon believes the Obama-Jeb Bush -Bill Gates-backed Common Core scheme will improve education. Reality check: This top-down federalization of academic standards and testing will do just the opposite not only for math education, but across the pedagogical board.
Today, Exxon aired pro-Common Core ads during the Masters golf tournament.
Originally posted by jimmyx
Originally posted by Danbones
well, when you have a none existant problem, giving your money to all gore will fix it
all children must learn this inconvenient truth
or else
when I see the wealthy owners and their children living next door to one of their coal-burning plants, or next to a refinery or next to fracked gas wells...then I will believe there isn't a problem. doesn't it bother anyone that the very people that say there isn't a problem, have their family living as far away as possible?...
Originally posted by phantomjack
Originally posted by jimmyx
Originally posted by Danbones
well, when you have a none existant problem, giving your money to all gore will fix it
all children must learn this inconvenient truth
or else
when I see the wealthy owners and their children living next door to one of their coal-burning plants, or next to a refinery or next to fracked gas wells...then I will believe there isn't a problem. doesn't it bother anyone that the very people that say there isn't a problem, have their family living as far away as possible?...
And what do any of the three industries you list have anything to do with Man Made Global Warming?
Oh yes, the agenda dictates that we must use what ever means to destroy capitalism. /sarcasm
And as far as Fracking is concerned, put one in my front yard. I beg you.
The living standards of workers and the natural environment on which life depends are under constant attack due to the drive for maximum profits inherent in capitalism. Our party fights for jobs and economic security, a decent and rising standard of living, peace, justice, equality, a sustainable environment
I think they had some legit concerns about intellectual property as well as being under an FOIA attack, a very deliberate 24/7 attack to keep them tied up