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NavyDoc
luciddream
Kinda ironic.. you guys are suppose to be "free" yet living in constant fear...
That must be stressful to live where you are paranoid about getting getting robbed or killed. Screw that, my life would be sht if i had to live like that.
If i die, i die. At least enjoy the life.
You project your own insecurities upon others. People own fire extinguishers, but they do not live in fear of fire everyday. They have emergency kits in their cars but don't live in fear that they will be in a horrible accident everytime they get behind the wheel. We own firearms because they are tools that we might or might not need at some point. We don't fear them any more than we fear the lawnmower and we don't sit in our house in fear of crime any more than we sit in our house in fear of fire.
We enjoy life just fine--perhaps better--because we don't get all upset about the existence of inanimate objects.
Aazadan
Laykilla
Your entire premise is illogical; and all those percent chances are meaningless. If a burgler breaks in, and neither of you are armed and a physical altercation arises; almost certainly it's a fight to the death.
If a burgler comes in armed, and you're armed, and you're alarmed to his presence; you know the lay of the land, the layout of the house, you have advantage everytime; even if they are skilled marksmen. If they entered with a fire arm, you're dead, you aren't getting tied to a chair and beaten if you're discovered. If you have a firearm and a superior position; you can also have the chance to diffuse the situation without a body count, something you cannot do without chucking a very risky bluff; and if he calls you and you're empty handed, you're dead.
If a burgler comes in not armed, and you are armed, chances are he'll turn tail and run; and if he chooses to attack, you put him down.
The home owner is in advantage in EVERY SINGLE scenario listed but only if the home owner is armed; not the other way around. Real world is not a video game; if you aren't prepared and you lose, it's not game over press start to continue; you're dead, pal.
Why would unarmed/unarmed result in a fight to the death? The burglar isn't attempting to kill you (unless they're on strike 3), instead they just want your stuff. In most cases they're fighting to restrain you as you are to them. Seeing as how they're the one acting as an intruder if they're at all prepared for it, they're going to fight better than you.
In the scenario where the burglar is armed and so are you, you skipped over the main factor. You have to be aware of their presence. In the OP the person heard their door rattle and thought nothing of it. Her guard was down, if the burglar came in with a weapon drawn she would not have been in a proper position to fight back. If the burglar saw her going for the weapon, escalation would have happened. As I said, you'll win this a small amount of the time, but the majority of cases involve the burglar winning.
This has nothing to do with a video game, there are 4 armed/unarmed states that can occur. Some actual analysis of those 4 states lets you figure out where the outcomes are best for you. As I pointed out that's for burglary only, there's another set for rape, assault, and so on.
swimmer15
reply to post by Aazadan
Scenario E: Burglar breaks in, sees your unarmed... Crams you in room and commences to violently beat and rape your mother, takes valuables before he walks out the door.... Was about 4... Only scenario I've ever personally witnessed. Lucky he didn't decide he needed to kill us both to ensure no witnesses.. Guess in your mind the criminal is the one who deserves that choice, and should be free to do it with no risk and little fear of being caught.
This is actually a variation on scenario A, they're armed and you aren't. As I pointed out in my post however it had to do with burglary only as that's the most common. The rape scenario has a completely different set of outcomes since the motive changes.
ruderalis1
Ehhh I'd rather have a pistol/firearm on or near me and actually have a fighting chance rather than to hope and pray I dont get a crap beat out of me until I die,shot,stabbed etc etc
Im not willing to take chances with Bad apples...I've seen way too many videos on Liveleak..
Anywho heres a link to a great website with news stories/links to some great Self Defense stories...Updated often too!
gunsnfreedom.com...
Most crime outside of gang related activity is non violent in nature. I don't know the exact numbers but lets say it's 90%, the chart I made is relatively accurate in outcome for the non violent activity. When it comes to violent activity however I completely agree that you want to be armed. The problem is that outside of some specific localized activity you can't be certain of the criminals intentions before the crime takes place, which means you can't determine which decision path is correct (going for your weapon or not). So the default becomes going for it, as you wouldn't have it otherwise. That gives you a better chance against the rapist or the murderer in those 10% of crimes where it's a factor, but it also gives you a significantly worse set of outcomes in the other 90% of crime.
So it comes down to what would you prefer? A worse set of outcomes on average with the worst case scenarios being significantly improved, or a better set of outcomes on average with a considerably worse worst case scenario?edit on 12-1-2014 by Aazadan because: (no reason given)
kingmonkey
NavyDoc
luciddream
Kinda ironic.. you guys are suppose to be "free" yet living in constant fear...
That must be stressful to live where you are paranoid about getting getting robbed or killed. Screw that, my life would be sht if i had to live like that.
If i die, i die. At least enjoy the life.
You project your own insecurities upon others. People own fire extinguishers, but they do not live in fear of fire everyday. They have emergency kits in their cars but don't live in fear that they will be in a horrible accident everytime they get behind the wheel. We own firearms because they are tools that we might or might not need at some point. We don't fear them any more than we fear the lawnmower and we don't sit in our house in fear of crime any more than we sit in our house in fear of fire.
We enjoy life just fine--perhaps better--because we don't get all upset about the existence of inanimate objects.
I'd hazard a guess that you don't sit on your couch with your fire extinguisher as company awaiting that seemingly inevitable house fire.
What's gone wrong America, when did the term 'home invasion' become part of everyday life?
CeeRZ
No, I never leave my doors unlocked.
CeeRZ
I had been in and out my front door and had left it unlocked between my trips outside...
aorAki
CeeRZ
No, I never leave my doors unlocked.
Are you sure?
CeeRZ
I had been in and out my front door and had left it unlocked between my trips outside...
hmmmm
kingmonkey
NavyDoc
luciddream
Kinda ironic.. you guys are suppose to be "free" yet living in constant fear...
That must be stressful to live where you are paranoid about getting getting robbed or killed. Screw that, my life would be sht if i had to live like that.
If i die, i die. At least enjoy the life.
You project your own insecurities upon others. People own fire extinguishers, but they do not live in fear of fire everyday. They have emergency kits in their cars but don't live in fear that they will be in a horrible accident everytime they get behind the wheel. We own firearms because they are tools that we might or might not need at some point. We don't fear them any more than we fear the lawnmower and we don't sit in our house in fear of crime any more than we sit in our house in fear of fire.
We enjoy life just fine--perhaps better--because we don't get all upset about the existence of inanimate objects.
I'd hazard a guess that you don't sit on your couch with your fire extinguisher as company awaiting that seemingly inevitable house fire.
What's gone wrong America, when did the term 'home invasion' become part of everyday life?