Quake Watch 2014

reply to post by BO XIAN

What's the current level of quake activity above 3 compared to the last 5-10 years?

The lowest ever in that period. See my geophysical reports and comments on this thread.

And this is why it takes so long to get through stuff (i'm 3 1/2 months behind on the USA/Yellowstone and others on EQ Archives)

Cascade Bay 5.04 upgraded to 5.16 and shifted offshore to the NW.


So what you say?? Well that is 281 tonnes of TNT more energy released and screws up the NZ energy released graphs for a start.
Secondly that makes it bigger than the S of Kermy Islands 5.11 the next day, so clouds the issue of trending.
The aftershocks location and sizes changed too.
Its a never ending process keeping up to date. I wonder if its safe to re-post NZ 2009 now?

Is there any point of posting events within the first 24 hours/3 days/1 month? seems they all get it wrong and change the details on review, regardless of which network it is.
With NIED (preliminary) versus JMA (reviewed a day later) Japanese data there are huge differences, I particularly noticed the lack of micro quakes (less tha M1) in the mountains between Hitachi and Iwaki on the East coast of Honshu after the data has been reviewed in the stuff I have been updating on Global Seismic Archives.
I might do a series of prelim. versus reviewed maps for both Japan and NZ on that, no one is reading what I have been doing there anyway, been stuck on 311 views for nearly a week now (but thanks for the 48 views on the 14th, which obviously came from ATS the day I last mentioned it here)

If there would have been a quake or two in Oklahoma today, I wouldn't have commented. Over the last few months, there has been an average of at least one quake a day. Probably close to 1.33 a day. Last year, there were 291 earthquakes. This gives us an average of less than one a day. So, it's obvious there's been an increase in the short term, as well as the long term trend.

Today, the reason I'm writing, is that there are none. The squiggly lines aren't as squiggly. No biggie, I thought. There have been small breaks with no quakes before. I couldn't exactly pin in on the holidays, but there have been "stoppages".

It was my email inbox that tipped me off. Here's an article about another town meeting.

www.fox23.com...

www.tulsaworld.com... tml

"There no such thing as bad publicity."

This is not true. BP didn't benefit from the notoriety. Lac Magnetic was not good for the railroads. When you are destroying the environment wholesale, people don't migrate to your brand. We're dumb, but not that stupid.

I think they shut off the pumps. When your neighbour starts banging on your apartment wall, you should probably turn down the music.
When criminals feel too much "heat", they lay low. And when the fickle press moves on, they start back up all over again and pretend nothing's happening. Denial.

In Texas, (haha, I was just bad-mouthing journalist when I saw this stupid headline.

"COULD EARTHQUAKES SHAKE UP RAILROAD COMMISSION RACE"

Aren't reporters clever? Sarcasm is hard to convey in writing. So, I being completely sarcastic.
www.myhighplains.com...

In case you didn't know, in Texas, it's the Railroad Commission that takes care of drilling permits. I'm sure there's some historical reason for it. Like, the old timey stereo-typical railroad baddy that takes over towns and properties. The funny thing is that it ain't fiction. The railroads did kick people of their land and worse. Watch lots of Westerns and you'll see the theme.
Cough. Blazing Saddles. We the people, do not own anything. It's the. Aw, forget it.

Puterman is right about Crown Land. Here in Canada, it's the same. We do not own the mineral rights. I believe the same holds true in the United States because I watched something about the way Federal Lands work. However, private lands fall under a different law which give some protections.

Anyway, I'm checking to see if there's been anything in Okie.
Nope. Nothing. All quiet on the Okie front. And the eastern US in general. It been kinda quiet for some time now. But, the last week saw some quakes here and there. This supports my cluster idea. Which means they are interactive, and but up against each other like people in a crowded street.

Yellowstone has quieted as well.


Just to be accurate, I just spot a small on in Okie. It's not listed. But it's obviously from that neck of the woods. Er, neck of the plains.?




They posted it.
earthquake.usgs.gov...





And, just for reference(god, I bore me.) There's an injection well about 2 km to the southish.


The injection well near this most recent and different epicenter is that the well is new and improved. This station must be new. And, it's a new design. I almost thought it was an electrical transformer station. But it has the classic tanks for holding the water. Heck, I'm no engineer. It could be a collection storage facility for the gas. Whatever it is, I'm sure it's part of the gas industry.

So, maybe they are shifting loads. Maybe they shut down wells in the most active area and moved up north. They have to adjust or lose their investments if things get to "hot". I'm sure the problem is they want to keep producing. This means if they have to slow disposal, then they have water backing up. If they were smart- and they are- they will manipulate their dumping schedule and try and keep the quakes to a minimum. It seems like every time the ramp up production, they then must stop to allow those pressures way deep down to equalize. The water doesn't flow. It's kinda like absorbed by the rock. It's pushed by pumping pressure to speed the infusion. Even after the stop, the water moves along the strata outward. After a while, they can start pumping again when the pressure within the rocks falls. Too much pumping, you crack the rock. So, I would imagine at this time they are pumping until things start a rocking, and then move to the next well. It's a rotation of sorts.

What are they going to do when the rock can't take anymore water?
When it's full, what then?
Is there some sort of tipping point within the rock itself where it ruptures a large old fault-line?
Remember, the state is riddled with old faults.
And rubs up against a monster zone.
NMSZ

reply to post by ericblair4891


They were just taking a breather.

M2.9 - 15km W of Medford, Oklahoma
2014-02-21 14:26:14 UTC

Mag 2.9

I should learn to shut my face.
There's been three earthquakes in Oklahoma today.

3.2
7km SSW of Guthrie, Oklahoma
2014-02-21 13:38:49 UTC-08:00
5.0 km

2.9
7km SSE of Alva, Oklahoma
2014-02-21 07:19:12 UTC-08:00
5.9 km

2.9
16km WNW of Medford, Oklahoma
2014-02-21 06:26:13 UTC-08:00
4.4 km

reply to post by ericblair4891


More than that, really... those are just the bigger ones. Check out this place - wichita.ogs.ou.edu.... Time's in UTC, so subtract 6 hours for local time.

reply to post by ericblair4891


No! Don't look!
You really don't want to see it!
WOQ

Shoot! You're going to look anyway aren't you???
Alfred E. just might worry!!!
If he cares about fracking that is!

reply to post by PuterMan


The only place I know of in the U.S., that has a lot of fee simple land, is Hawaii.
When our town was founded though, a couple of the original, crafty, big wigs,
bought up huge amounts of the mineral rights under the town!
Of course, 170+ years ago, they never would have seen this coming!

It is ironic though, that I'm in Pennsylvania, & 16 years after our town was founded,
PA was the site of the first oil well drilled in the U.S!
And that Edwin Drake that drilled it, was a retired railroad man!!!
At least after that the poor whales were given a break!

I have seen different wording in articles about deeds here though.
Some say no mineral rights, some only mention coal, others say just gas & oil.
So if your land has no mineral rights, you could have all of the cons,
without ever getting any of the money! Good luck getting damages too!

Our daughter & s-in-l got a lawyer to look into everything & protect themselves.
They own all the mineral rights, but who knows what the shysters could try to pull!
I'll have to ask them if the specifics of horizontal drilling were mentioned.
I would think that would be one of the main things that would be addressed!

They are talking about putting a well on school property right behind the elementary school!
They were supposed to have done seismic testing already last year.
This would be so close to the school that I don't know how they can get away with it!
Not to mention the noise from truck traffic & operating, the dust, dirt & chemicals,
the vibrations from the heavy trucks going by so close to the building, etc, etc, etc!

An epidemic, of a lack of common sense, abounds!!! Sigh!
WOQ

Three quakes in the same area in Indonesia, in less than 6 hours.
Hmmm...
In increasing magnitudes.
Hmmm...
Foreshocks???
WOQ

5.4
171km SE of Sinabang, Indonesia
2014-02-22 17:29:53 UTC
39.7 km

5.1
180km SSE of Sinabang, Indonesia
2014-02-22 17:27:58 UTC
21.5 km

4.7
169km SSE of Sinabang, Indonesia
2014-02-22 11:45:35 UTC
10.0 km

This is a really looong read, but worth it!
Very sobering, especially some of the statistics!!! Sigh!

'Fracking The Eagle Ford Shale' (Texas):

stories.weather.com...

source: weather.com on Facebook

WOQ

wasobservingquietly
Three quakes in the same area in Indonesia, in less than 6 hours.
Hmmm...
In increasing magnitudes.
Hmmm...
Foreshocks???
WOQ

5.4
171km SE of Sinabang, Indonesia
2014-02-22 17:29:53 UTC
39.7 km

5.1
180km SSE of Sinabang, Indonesia
2014-02-22 17:27:58 UTC
21.5 km

4.7
169km SSE of Sinabang, Indonesia
2014-02-22 11:45:35 UTC
10.0 km

This area was quite active a few weeks ago, if I am not mistaken!

reply to post by wasobservingquietly


They use hydraulic pressure at 9,000 lb per square inch. And if that does'nt start the ball rolling then I give up.

reply to post by muzzy

As I was saying, no one read the USGS/EMSC pages/maps I did through February, so I've gone back, overwritten, and recorded both preliminary and reviewed maps side by side for both Japan (part done back to the 11th Feb) and New Zealand ( back to Feb 1).
At least the blog can be useful for something. There will likely be about a 3-7 day lag to get any reviews from those networks that are worthwhile looking at for comparisons. Looking through a list for updated events is OK for some, but I like to see the actual differences on a map myself.
Global Seismic Archives Interactive Maps

this one is a good example of what can happen on review, when I first seen those two M4 quakes near Whangarei
(M4.31-07/02/2014 08:44:42 ) and Hamilton (M4.26-07/02/2014 08:49:16 ) I thought, hmmm that is unusual, those areas are pretty quiet seismically usually. On review (13/02/2014) they have been deleted, and then a new bunch of quakes up South of the Kermadecs added (with a later time stamp). A mistake at Geonet? or more likely SeisComp3 automated program screwed up?

I've almost totally migrated to Muzzy's way of thinking and I'm so sick of fracking. Honestly, I want to let it go. But, I cannot ignore it because the matter is serious.

I must correct something I wrote a while back. I said there were 291 earthquakes in Oklahoma in 2013. I should have been specific and stated that there were 291 over 2M. Really, the total number of earthquakes was over 2800.
I was focusing on those around 2.5M and above to get a daily average. There's been a bunch. Curiously, there were two within seconds of each other. I thought it was one from a distance. But it was really two.

Here's something that is so stupid, I can't take the pain. The following geologists. Who works for the gas industry. Is blaming the weather. And, the watersheds. This is ridiculous. Mainly, the earthquakes do not just occur near lakes. They are happening everywhere. He blames the drought followed by rains. This theory I would actually agree with. I have long said that water after drought causes earthquakes. But in this case it is misleading. It is not the cause of the quakes. The fracking pads everywhere are to blame. Yes, maybe the weather is increasing the earthquakes. But the faults were activated by the injection.

Droughts in Oklahoma are not new. And, there is no history of this happening in the last 200 years and there is no oral historical tradition of them from the native peoples who lived there before. There were no tales of earthquakes after the drought ended after the dustbowl in the 1930's and 1940's. This situation is new. And therefore peculiar. Something is different and that is the fracking and injection.

I said long ago that fracking was reawakening the faults. And, I thinking it's creating new ones. Then the rain will lube them up after a rain. But to blame the rain as the cause, is wrong. There is no mystery here. Just mirrors thrown up by people who want to make money and keep their jobs and lovely homes.

And here's where it gets funny. Check out this thread. And then watch the report about the geologist wanting to blame the lakes.

www.abovetopsecret.com...

www.news9.com...

earthquake.usgs.gov...

This morning I told myself I didn't want to be human anymore. This is nothing new. Except this time, I said, "I don't want to be human anymore. There must be a billion different life-forms better than this." Then I realized I was wrong. The number is so big I can't even fathom the number of different beings. Man, and I'm stuck here and now.

Right. The reason I post this Oklahoma earthquake is that there is no lake. It's out in the middle of nowhere by itself. There's a farmer's irrigation pond a couple of kilometers away. The epicenter is nowhere near the other swarm sites. There's Bell Cow lake and Chandler lake about 12 kilometers away. Don't think you can blame them. The epicenter doesn't even correspond with a long fault connected to the other swarm sites. No. This lonely quake seems to buck the lake theory. Oh, maybe it's an aquifer. Right. No. It's like many other epicenters. They quakes are all over the place.

There is an injection well 1.2 kilometers away from this most recent epicenter.

There is no mystery here.
There is one common thread.






(One of the insane bunch whispers in my mind's ear, "Maybe we're right about that big crack. Maybe all those earthquakes on the USGS 30 day map are along one general trend." The mind shutters and tries to comprehend. No. It can't be one crack. Or, rift. We can't have a fault all the way from Wetumka, Oklahoma, up north to Conway Springs, Kansas. No. That makes the rift about 600kms long. And, that's forgetting Texas because it's too far off to the west. Nah, it's science fiction-you're stupid.)




And what about Medford. That's not near a lake. It's 20 km away from a salt marsh.

And, I don't buy the argument of aquifers. Here's a map of aquifers and I'll bet you I can find lots of quakes that are away from bedrock bodies of water. Yes, I believe that some aquifers are being effected. And, they are increasing the number of earthquakes because they are adding to the overall pressure. Heck, you get bigger enough fractures and you can contaminate those aquifers because your drilling straight down through them. Don't you think the casings can be breached? Cough. BP.

Bunk.




And, I don't believe that Medford sits on an aquifer.

off topic...
if you have an clear sky you see Betelgeus centerd in an perfect pentagram formed by clockwards Jupiter Aldebaran Rigel Sirius procyon
ore take an look at programm stellarium (home cords. Holland )

Just heard large booms at 2:31 pm here in Los Angeles and just now at 2:36 pm 4 more booms like sonic booms. Could be a fore shock of some type to a quake? Or space junk entering our atmosphere. Post if you have heard or seen anything today.

reply to post by dreamfox1


Hi dreamfox1 i started a thread for this very purpose...
Meteor Watch 2014

if you think it could have been one?

Um whats going on with the Carlsberg Ridge? (Quake count : 5 )

M4.7 - Carlsberg Ridge
2014-02-24 22:17:49 UTC

Event Time

2014-02-24 22:17:49 UTC
2014-02-25 02:17:49 UTC+04:00 at epicenter
2014-02-24 14:17:49 UTC-08:00 system time
Location

4.076°N 62.774°E depth=10.0km (6.2mi)
earthquake.usgs.gov...


M5.6 - Carlsberg Ridge
2014-02-24 23:26:57 UTC

Event Time

2014-02-24 23:26:57 UTC
2014-02-25 03:26:57 UTC+04:00 at epicenter
2014-02-24 15:26:57 UTC-08:00 system time
Location

4.108°N 62.809°E depth=10.0km (6.2mi)
earthquake.usgs.gov...



M5.1 - Carlsberg Ridge
2014-02-24 23:44:01 UTC

Event Time

2014-02-24 23:44:01 UTC
2014-02-25 03:44:01 UTC+04:00 at epicenter
2014-02-24 15:44:01 UTC-08:00 system time
Location

4.138°N 62.620°E depth=10.0km (6.2mi)
earthquake.usgs.gov...




M5.3 - Carlsberg Ridge
2014-02-24 23:47:09 UTC

Event Time

2014-02-24 23:47:09 UTC
2014-02-25 03:47:09 UTC+04:00 at epicenter
2014-02-24 15:47:09 UTC-08:00 system time
Location

4.282°N 62.669°E depth=11.4km (7.1mi)
earthquake.usgs.gov...




M5.2 - Carlsberg Ridge
2014-02-24 23:59:48 UTC

Event Time

2014-02-24 23:59:48 UTC
2014-02-25 03:59:48 UTC+04:00 at epicenter
2014-02-24 15:59:48 UTC-08:00 system time
Location

4.390°N 62.700°E depth=12.4km (7.7mi)
earthquake.usgs.gov...



Has been very active


files.abovetopsecret.com...

The last biggie on the ridge was 07/15/2003.....A respectable 7.6!

I think we are going to see another one sooner then later.

There was another swarm in that area in the last 18 months!