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OccamsRazor04
boncho
reply to post by OccamsRazor04
Specifically though, when I look at the numbers presented in these two studies, the CDC's position simply does not seem possible, or everyone drinking Raw Milk would be sick. It would mean 30% of ALL people throughout history would have been ill from milk every year. Simply seems untenable.
That's under the presumption that the agriculture industry has never changed over the years. Which clearly it wasn't as you pointed it out just above this paragraph.
Which is the point I was making, the problem is not Raw Milk, it's the industry. So Raw Milk from a farm that is organic/pasture fed/not full of antibiotics, should in no way give the results that the CDC says ALL Raw milk gives.
boncho
OccamsRazor04
boncho
reply to post by OccamsRazor04
Specifically though, when I look at the numbers presented in these two studies, the CDC's position simply does not seem possible, or everyone drinking Raw Milk would be sick. It would mean 30% of ALL people throughout history would have been ill from milk every year. Simply seems untenable.
That's under the presumption that the agriculture industry has never changed over the years. Which clearly it wasn't as you pointed it out just above this paragraph.
Which is the point I was making, the problem is not Raw Milk, it's the industry. So Raw Milk from a farm that is organic/pasture fed/not full of antibiotics, should in no way give the results that the CDC says ALL Raw milk gives.
The CDC mitigates health related disease risk in the community from environmental and industrial/business impacts. If the industry standard in AG is to smear pig poo all over spinach and then not wash it, them saying spinach is dangerous is not disingenuous.
That being said, they tout the line of a few organizations that rely on pasteurized milk sales and they also do not give a balanced opinion, so lobbying efforts could be influencing how they present their information.
That is how I ask .. how do they reconcile these 2 studies. The large study clearly shows Raw Milk can NOT be 150 times more likely to cause illness.
Testing Raw Milk from an industrial cow and then using those findings to say pasture fed cows suffer the same problems IS disingenuous.
What should happen is standardization of WHEN you can sell milk Raw, rather than preventing all sales.
That is how I ask .. how do they reconcile these 2 studies. The large study clearly shows Raw Milk can NOT be 150 times more likely to cause illness.
Aren't raw or natural foods better than processed foods?
Many people believe that foods with no or minimal processing are better for their health. Many people also believe that small, local farms are better sources of healthy food. However, some types of processing are needed to protect health. For example, consumers process raw meat, poultry, and fish for safety by cooking. Similarly, when milk is pasteurized, it is heated just long enough to kill disease-causing germs. Most nutrients remain after milk is pasteurized. There are many local, small farms that offer pasteurized organic milk and cheese products.
Pasteurization DOES NOT reduce milk's nutritional value.
Unsafe to Eat
Unpasteurized milk or cream
Soft cheeses, such as Brie and Camembert, and Mexican-style soft cheeses such as Queso Fresco, Panela, Asadero, and Queso Blanco made from unpasteurized milk
Yogurt made from unpasteurized milk
Pudding made from unpasteurized milk
Ice cream or frozen yogurt made from unpasteurized milk
CDC reported that unpasteurized milk is 150 times more likely to cause foodborne illness and results in 13 times more hospitalizations than illnesses involving pasteurized dairy products.
Perhaps I am mistaken, which is the point of this thread, but when I run the numbers ... they do not add up to me.
If you consider the number of outbreaks caused by raw milk in light of the very small amount of milk that is consumed raw, the risk of outbreaks caused by raw milk is at least 150 times greater than the risk of outbreaks caused by pasteurized milk.
Although warning labels and signs
or government-issued permits are prudent where the sale
of nonpasteurized dairy products is legal, they have not
been shown to be effective and, given the results of this
analysis, do not seem to reduce the incidence of outbreaks
involving nonpasteurized dairy products to the degree that
pasteurization does (18)
They basically say there is no safe Raw milk. All Raw milk is bad and dangerous. ONLY pasteurized milk is safe to drink. Feel free to read it.
Proven lie by the CDC's admission that ANY cheese even not pasteurized cheese is safe if it's aged 60 days or more.
As I explained, IF that was true then of the 1.3 million dairy related illnesses 960,000 would be caused by Raw milk. Yet the CDC only found a few thousand cases.
boncho
They are saying 1% of the milk produced is raw. The wording is important.
Quite true. So I will revise my wording to reflect this.
There are 1.3 million illnesses. According to the CDC 60% of these are caused by Raw milk .. so 960,000.
We still MUST have 960,000 Raw milk related illnesses for the CDC to be correct. Yet they only found several thousand in their outbreak study.
Nonpasteurized products caused
a disproportionate number (≈150× greater/unit of product
consumed) of outbreaks and outbreak-associated illnesses
and also disproportionately affected per
There are 1.3 million illnesses. According to the CDC 60% of these are caused by Raw milk .. so 960,000.
boncho
reply to post by OccamsRazor04
There are 1.3 million illnesses. According to the CDC 60% of these are caused by Raw milk .. so 960,000.
Actually it would be somewhere closer to 9,600 cases related to raw milk, because only 1% of the milk consumed is raw.
We found 121 outbreaks for which the product's pasteurization status was known; among these, 73 (60%) involved nonpasteurized products
Incorrect. It's not 60% of the 1% .. it's 60% of the total. That is how they arrive at the "fact" Raw milk is 150 times more likely to cause illness.
To illustrate this point, it is useful if we provide a
hypothetical weighting of the fi ndings in this study by the amount of nonpasteurized and pasteurized dairy products
consumed. Total milk production in the United States in
2010 was estimated at 193 billion pounds, suggesting that
≈2.7 trillion pounds of milk were consumed during the 14
years from 1993 through 2006 (27). If 1% of dairy products
were consumed nonpasteurized, then during these 14
years, 73 outbreaks were caused by the 27 billion pounds
of nonpasteurized dairy products that were consumed and
48 by the 2,673 billion pounds of pasteurized products
that were consumed. Therefore, the incidence of reported
outbreaks involving nonpasteurized dairy products was
≈150× greater, per unit of dairy product consumed,
than the incidence involving pasteurized products. If,
as is probably more likely, ~ 1% of dairy products are
consumed nonpasteurized, then the relative risk per unit
of nonpasteurized dairy product consumed would be even
higher.
IkNOwSTuff
Raw milk from a free range cow is fine and even good for you.
Cows that are on industrial dairy farms are pumped so full of chemicals and messed with so much that the amount of pus, bile, blood and other goodies in the milk would basically kill you if it wasnt pasteurised.
Raw and pasteurised isnt the problem, its the way dairy cows are breed and treated that leads to sickness in humans.... Not to mention how the poor cows live
I tend to agree .. although I have not researched it enough to come to that conclusion.
I am more trying to reconcile these two different studies. The only conclusion I can reach is that the CDC 100% cherry picked to get a certain result, and then extrapolated those results to make claims that the cherry picked results don't support.
So I am more looking at the math .. not the propaganda.
Exhibit A: Gary Hirshberg's quest for organic milk. Dairy producers estimate that demand for organic milk is at least twice the current available supply. To quench this thirst, the U.S. would have to more than double the number of organic cows -- those that eat only organic food -- to 280,000 over the next five years. That's a challenge, since the number of dairy farms has shrunk to 60,000, from 334,000 in 1980, according to the National Milk Producers Federation. And almost half the milk produced in the U.S. comes from farms with more than 500 cows, something organic advocates rarely support.
What to do? If you're Hirshberg, you weigh the pros and cons of importing organic milk powder from New Zealand. Stonyfield already gets strawberries from China, apple puree from Turkey, blueberries from Canada, and bananas from Ecuador. It's the only way to keep the business growing.