It looks like you're using an Ad Blocker.
Please white-list or disable AboveTopSecret.com in your ad-blocking tool.
Thank you.
Some features of ATS will be disabled while you continue to use an ad-blocker.
It's hasn't been a 100 years of data that the current co2 model's are based on.
Originally posted by rockymcgilicutty
reply to post by Phage
My stance is that this is only a normal cycle in earth's 4 billion year history. Can you state emphatically that at no time in the Earths history, CO2 levels have never risen as high as they are today, or that the global temperature has never been hotter ?
Not to make too fine a point of it, but major extinction events like Permian–Triassic extinction event have excess CO2 as a likely contributing factor.
Originally posted by rockymcgilicutty
reply to post by buddhasystem
Not to make too fine a point of it, but major extinction events like Permian–Triassic extinction event have excess CO2 as a likely contributing factor.
Thanks, man wasn't even around then.
So there ARE natural cause for a rise in co2 levels.
Yup. Some. Events like the formation of the Siberian Traps for example. Extensive (really extensive) lava flows (really huge volcanic eruptions lasting a really long time, longer than 100 years). Not to mention; lots of vegetation burned maybe, less vegetation to sequester CO2 maybe.
Right back to my original question for you. Does anyone have any evidence of what caused co2 levels to rise before the industrial age.
reply to post by Phage
TextI haven't made any prediction about it but models which are based on real science show that temperatures have risen because of rising CO2 levels and will continue to do so.
Originally posted by Phage
reply to post by rockymcgilicutty
I think that CO2 produced by human activity is the dominant (vastly so) driver of the current warming trend.
I think that CO2 produced by human activity is the dominant (vastly so) driver of the current warming trend. Yes
.
Non-CO2 GHGs
These gases are probably the main cause of observed global warming, with CH4 causing the largest net climate forcing. There are economic incentives to reduce or capture CH4 emissions, but global implementation of appropriate practices requires international cooperation. Definition of appropriate policies requires better understanding of the CH4 cycle, especially CH4 sources
Yes. Under the heading "Non-CO2 GHGs", methane has the greatest effect. And, as the chart from your source shows; CO2 has contributed 1.4 W/m2 from 1850 to 2000 and methane contributed half that amount.
This is out of the summary. As pre your last reply we are now discussing, co2's effect on global warming .