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Global Warming is a science. Global Warming denial is the religion.
Originally posted by Kali74
There is only one problem with this scenario, Mother Nature isn’t being cooperative.
www.omsj.org...
Originally posted by mc_squared
Global Warming is a science. Global Warming denial is the religion.
Believers think the warming is man-made
James Taylor is a Senior Fellow at The Heartland Institute - the notorious right wing lobbyist "think tank" well known for it's rampant political attacks on any science that involves government regulation or corporate accountability.
Geo-engineering the Earth's atmosphere with reflective aerosols presents the most cost-effective and reliable means of keeping the Earth's temperature within a desirable range, David Schnare, senior fellow for energy and the environment at the Thomas Jefferson Institute for Public Policy, told the U.S. Senate Committee on Environment and Public Works in September 26 testimony.
In addition to being much less expensive than seeking to stem temperature rise solely through the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions, geo-engineering has the benefit of delivering measurable results in a matter of weeks rather than the decades or centuries required for greenhouse gas reductions to take full effect.
The scientific community has reached a consensus on this.
“The satellite observations suggest there is much more energy lost to space during
and after warming than the climate models show
pielkeclimatesci.wordpress.com... iant-energy-balance-by-spencer-and-braswell-2011/
Data from NASA’s Terra satellite shows that when the climate warms, Earth’s atmosphere is apparently more efficient at releasing energy to space than models used to forecast climate change have been programmed to “believe.”
Although the number of publicly dissenting scientists is growing, many young scientists furtively say that while they also have serious doubts about the global-warming message, they are afraid to speak up for fear of not being promoted—or worse. They have good reason to worry. In 2003, Dr. Chris de Freitas, the editor of the journal Climate Research, dared to publish a peer-reviewed article with the politically incorrect (but factually correct) conclusion that the recent warming is not unusual in the context of climate changes over the past thousand years. The international warming establishment quickly mounted a determined campaign to have Dr. de Freitas removed from his editorial job and fired from his university position. Fortunately, Dr. de Freitas was able to keep his university job.
This is not the way science is supposed to work, but we have seen it before—for example, in the frightening period when Trofim Lysenko hijacked biology in the Soviet Union. Soviet biologists who revealed that they believed in genes, which Lysenko maintained were a bourgeois fiction, were fired from their jobs. Many were sent to the gulag and some were condemned to death.
online.wsj.com...
Originally posted by intrptr
reply to post by burntheships
Its interesting to note that all the "data" is not actually data in the raw sampling sense, but projections of what could or is going to happen. Its easy to argue from the future where all the see I told you so's are pointing.
Using all the allotted pixel size for big circle pie charts just doesn't seem to cut it either. I can make a graph (from the future) go up or down and yet when I go to the same stretch of beach there is the same old shipwreck, sinking into the sand, next to the same rock outcrop I used to climb on when I was a kid. Thats 50 years. If this new data reflects some change in my geologic eye blink life, shouldn't I be able to actually witness it occurring?
I hear a lot of talk, and I see a lot of type, but no actual raw data. Just "models" and "projections" By the way, projection is a good replacement for prophecy, its more acceptable.
Yes, and that is a very good point, one I will look forward to further reading,
that projection is a good replacement for prophecy....
Thank god for second opinions.
Yes, and for that critical thought that some of us still have.
Yes, and that is a very good point, one I will look forward to further reading,
that projection is a good replacement for prophecy....
Originally posted by burntheships
Dr. Roy Spencer, a principal research scientist at the University of Alabama in Huntsville and
U.S. Science Team Leader for the Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer
flying on NASA’s Aqua satellite, reports that real-world data from NASA’s Terra satellite
contradict multiple assumptions fed into alarmist computer models
“The satellite observations suggest there is much more energy lost to space during
and after warming than the climate models show
pielkeclimatesci.wordpress.com... iant-energy-balance-by-spencer-and-braswell-2011/
Dont look now... so many scientists dont believe the manipulated data.
However, it turned out that Spencer had, for the umpteenth time, botched his statistics. To summarize, Spencer and Braswell 1) compared a 10 year period of data with 100 year periods in the models, instead of breaking the 100 years into 10 year periods, 2) didn’t put error bars on the data or the model output, and 3) didn’t plot some of the models that did a better job at reproducing the data. If they had done all this the right way, they would have seen that the models do a decent job, although some are better than others.
This regrettably brought me to the decision to resign as Editor-in-Chief―to make clear that the journal Remote Sensing takes the review process very seriously.
In hindsight,it is possible to see why the review process of the paper by Spencer and Braswell did not fulfill its aim. The managing editor of Remote Sensing selected three senior scientists from renowned US universities, each of them having an impressive publication record. Their reviews had an apparently good technical standard and suggested one “major revision”, one “minor revision” and one “accept as is”. The authors revised their paper according to the comments made by the reviewers and, consequently, the editorial board member who handled this paper accepted the paper (and could in fact not have done otherwise). Therefore, from a purely formal point of view, there were no errors with the review process. But, as the case presents itself now, the editorial team unintentionally selected three reviewers who probably share some climate sceptic notions of the authors. This selection by itself does not mean that the review process for this paper was wrong. In science, diversity and controversy are essential to progress and therefore it is important that different opinions are heard and openly discussed. Therefore editors should take special care that minority views are not suppressed, meaning that it certainly would not be correct to reject all controversial papers already during the review process. If a paper presents interesting scientific arguments, even if controversial, it should be published and responded to in the open literature. This was my initial response after having become aware of this particular case. So why, after a more careful study of the pro and contra arguments, have I changed my initial view?The problem is that comparable studies published by other authors have already been refuted in open discussions and to some extend also in the literature (cf. [7]), a fact which was ignored by Spencer and Braswell in their paper and, unfortunately, not picked up by the reviewers. In other words, the problem I see with the paper by Spencer and Braswell is not that it declared a minority view (which was later unfortunately much exaggerated by the public media) but that it essentially ignored the scientific arguments of its opponents. This latter point was missed in the review process, explaining why I perceive this paper to be fundamentally flawed and therefore wrongly accepted by the journal. This regrettably brought me to the decision to resign as Editor-in-Chief―to make clear that the journal Remote Sensing takes the review process very seriously.
Originally posted by burntheships
Many of you "warmists" have only served to prove the point made in the OP.
Faked data, put into a chart, and large visuals without any supporting scientific
empirical data.
UPDATE: Sept 6th Hot off the press: Dessler’s record turnaround time GRL rebuttal paper to Spencer and Braswell
(September 4) Dr. Roger Pielke Sr. continues his discussion at his blog: Hatchet Job on John Christy and Roy Spencer By Kevin Trenberth, John Abraham and Peter Gleick.
UPDATE: Dr. Roger Pielke Sr. weighs in with his opinions on this debacle here, additional updates are below from Dr. Spencer.
By resigning as Editor, rather than soliciting a Comment/Reply exchange between Spencer and Braswell and the critics of their paper, he has achieved the opposite of his stated goal to have “different opinions … heard and openly discussed”. Wagner also writes“three reviewers ….. probably share some climate sceptic notions of the authors”. First, he fails to define what is a “climate sceptic“? If this litmus test was required of all referees (that they have to be “correct” in their views of climate science), then the review process itself has failed.
Wolfgang Wagner continues
“So why, after a more careful study of the pro and contra arguments, have I changed my initial view? The problem is that comparable studies published by other authors have already been refuted in open discussions and to some extend also in the literature (cf. [7]), a fact which was ignored by Spencer and Braswell in their paper and, unfortunately, not picked up by the reviewers. In other words, the problem I see with the paper by Spencer and Braswell is not that it declared a minority view (which was later unfortunately much exaggerated by the public media) but that it essentially ignored the scientific arguments of its opponents. This latter point was missed in the review process, explaining why I perceive this paper to be fundamentally flawed and therefore wrongly accepted by the journal. This regrettably brought me to the decision to resign as Editor-in-Chief―to make clear that the journal Remote Sensing takes the review process very seriously.”
profmandia.wordpress.com...
Have Spencer & Braswell found a significant difference between observations and the IPCC models?
No. Their article contains a number of errors that have since been identified by climate scientists. These errors range from the trivial (using the wrong units for the radiative flux anomaly), to the serious (treating clouds as the cause of climate change, rather than resulting from day-to-day weather; comparing a 10 year observational period with a 100 year model period and not allowing for the spread in model outputs).
Within three days of the publication of Spencer & Braswell 2011, two climate scientists (Kevin Trenberth & John Fasullo) repeated the analysis and showed that the IPCC models are in agreement with the observations, thus refuting Spencer & Braswell’s claims. An independent analysis by Andrew Dessler also confirms the Trenberth & Fasullo result.
The hype surrounding a new paper by Roy Spencer and Danny Braswell is impressive (see for instance Fox News); unfortunately the paper itself is not. News releases and blogs on climate denier web sites have publicized the claim from the paper’s news release that “Climate models get energy balance wrong, make too hot forecasts of global warming”. The paper has been published in a journal called Remote sensing which is a fine journal for geographers, but it does not deal with atmospheric and climate science, and it is evident that this paper did not get an adequate peer review. It should not have been published.
About Remote Sensing
Aims
Remote Sensing (ISSN 2072-4292) publishes regular research papers, reviews, letters and communications covering all aspects of the remote sensing process, from instrument design and signal processing to the retrieval of geophysical parameters and their application in geosciences.
Dr. Kevin E. Trenberth is a Distinguished Senior Scientist in the Climate Analysis Section at the National Center for Atmospheric Research. From New Zealand, he obtained his Sc. D. in meteorology in 1972 from Massachusetts Institute of Technology. He was a lead author of the 1995,
Dr. J.T. Fasullo is a Project Scientist in the Climate Analysis Section and actively collaborates with various scientists, both here at NCAR (e.g. Dr. Kevin Trenberth) and elsewhere*. He obtained his B.S. in Applied and Engineering Physics from Cornell Univeristy and his Ph.D. from the Univeristy of Colorado under the supervision of Dr. Peter J. Webster.