WWIII ruminations

reply to post by Adaluncatif


Actually the US, and the UN, would sanction the hell out of China and her economy would be destroyed. This would cause massive civil unrest amongst the population and eventual revolution similar to how the communists came into power in the first place.

Now what does China get for destroying their economy? Oh yea....a few islands.

Just not going to happen.

reply to post by Spookycolt
Un like DPRK, China would not in no way stand for, or allow US or for that matter the UN, to sanction them, this would mean war. If we, the US or UN, tell China in anyway, By sanctions or by Mil might :they, China, would let the missiles fly.

CHINA AND JAPAN WILL GO TO WAR... IN 2013!

An academic in Australia is predicting that another war between China and Japan over the "intrinsically worthless" and "trivial" disputed Senkaku/Diaoyu Islands is inevitable and could involve the United States.

Hugh White, a professor at Australian National University, and a former Australian defense official, believes that it will only be a matter of time until the two Asian giants head to war.

LINK

This is a couple of months old but was reiterated by the same guy in an interview a few minutes before posting this. Nothing since this assessment has changed and, if anything, has in fact intensified.

The keynote point, however, is that the only way some kind of conflict looks to be avoidable is if one side backs down and cedes to the other's claims. And if anyone knows anything about these obstinate countries and cultures, this isn't a realistic possibility.

Some serious diplomacy on the West's side is going to be required to avert a real thorny situation arising in the world, stemming from this region. Diplomacy that may have to come in the form of either splitting the islands DMZ style, with entrained UN / US monitoring or compensating one side or the other (likely Japan) for relinquishing the disputed territory.

I hope I'm wrong... =/

Originally posted by Spookycolt
Actually the US, and the UN, would sanction the hell out of China and her economy would be destroyed

You've got to remember you're dealing with a communist regime, here; irrespective of how capitalist it acts in order to further itself in the global economy. Communists governments have only their own interests and survival at heart.

Economic sanctions would mean a veritable declaration of war on China (and any possible allies). This is something the politburo there would well invite over a popular revolution; which is what would ensue if their rollicking economy subsided. It's why nationalistic sentiment is so ingrained over there, to this day. Don't forget, China is a blatant currency manipulator- do you see anyone 'forcing' them to do this or that over that example of wanton flouting of international convention?

There are not so fringe conspiracy theories that suggest the real reason China is ratcheting up tension with Japan is to avoid such self-imposed economic turmoil (nay those pismire islands) – i.e., to deflect the blame elsewhere than the communist party and its short-sighted economic management, as it has sometimes been critiqued for.