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Originally posted by Druscilla
... and again:
UFOs = Unknown phenomenon.
Aliens = Zero data, unknown, unquantifiable.
In the same vein, if we're playing the pick-your-favorite-imaginary-solution-devoid-of-any-indication-of-proof, we may as well throw UFOs = Demons, UFOs = rainbow unicorns, UFOs = Superman, or UFOs = any other ridiculous fantasy into the mix as well.
There's zero data on aliens.
Originally posted by TeaAndStrumpets
As to plasma balls, I consider that hypothesis as having been dispensed with, decades ago, back in the Menzel days. Read the exchanges between him, Klass, Hynek and McDonald. Certainly plasma balls can explain some small percentage of incidents, but it falls very much short in others. And once again, any person who has read that old and (to you, it seems) distasteful work would know precisely why plasma balls are really not a viable explanation. If only you'd read! You do realize that the people whose work I keep referring you to were respected scientists, correct? No matter, I suppose.
Originally posted by ImpactoR
Originally posted by draknoir2
The way you are using the term implies a deliberate, irrational rejection of a widely accepted "truth".
It's almost like that but whether it is truth has yet to be revealed. The point is, denying absolutely possible things based on current evidence and that evidence is not even all. In general... i was speaking to Drusdilla and others whom I've been observing enough to see where they are heading, and it;s not jard to figre put - that of complete close-mindness. You know, accepting more things when cases suggest so wouldn't hurt your "scientific!?:" approach.
If that's scientific, I will pass. I gave exampels how a thing that you may not know about and others know about, can exist, no evidence for YOU? Your problem
Originally posted by ZetaRediculian
if I get bored enough and have some time, I might just find the quotes from all the skeptics in this thread where they say things are possible...but I have a robot to work on and you know how much time that takes.
Oh really? why do you talk on behalf of others? Some people I have addressed do no accept such thing as alien visitation so I am addressing to the suitable people for that my criticism, and yet they believe in aliens in the universe which I say is the same level of certaintly even less because at least there are some cases on earth that suggest that possibility, while in space so far even less evidence is found about life existing elsewhere.
Also the people I am taking about and pretty much all are defending the position that aliens have never visited here, and all is made up. So why do you argue with me how I am addressing people that don't visit this forum when the people I am talking about are exactly saying that ALL THE TIME !?!?!?edit on 19-2-2013 by ImpactoR because: (no reason given)
People, however, like aliens.
Aliens have a face.
You can hug an alien.
You can have crystal power transcendental meditative telepathic imaginary conversations with Aliens.
Aliens can be secret evil-doers in cahoots with those dastardly self entitled rich folk.
Aliens can answer for all sorts of mysteries and unknowns
Originally posted by TeaAndStrumpets
The Air Force, WAY back in the late 40's, said the 'Flying Disks' were "real and not visionary or fictitious". They also said that "[t]he reported operating characteristics ... and action which must be considered evasive when sighted or contacted by friendly aircraft and radar, lend belief to the possibility that some of the objects are controlled either manually, automatically or remotely." This is why the Air Force UFO projects began. Do you actually not know this?
Originally posted by draknoir2
Originally posted by TeaAndStrumpets
Do you see just how incredibly hard you're having to work to deny what is obviously the most straight-forward explanation for this phenomenon?
Apologies to you both for my interjecting, but I have to ask - Exactly HOW is "ET" obviously the most straightforward explanation for the UFO phenomenon... without a shred of concrete proof?
Let's look at just some of the steps required to get from here to there:
Proof of life outside of earth.
Proof of intelligence.
Originally posted by draknoir2
Apologies to you both for my interjecting, but I have to ask - Exactly HOW is "ET" obviously the most straightforward explanation for the UFO phenomenon... without a shred of concrete proof?
Let's look at just some of the steps required to get from here to there:
Proof of life outside of earth.
Proof of intelligence.
[...]
Proof of travel to Earth.
Proof such travel accounts for the entirety or preponderance of UFO reports.
Now let's look at the available concrete proof:
Zip. Nada. Zero. The null set.
What amazes me is the oversimplification required to believe there to be a single explanation for the entire phenomenon, and the best "theory" being one of complete speculation. One might as well attribute it to magic.
Originally posted by Brighter
reply to post by draknoir2
And I'll pose this question again for anyone to answer, who believes that the best explanation for the strongest UFO cases is that they are all explainable in terms of mundane, naturalistic phenomena:
What is your naturalistic theory that simply and elegantly explains the strongest UFO cases, that explains them better than the simple theory that what people are reporting really are structured, physical craft?
And if you don't want to publicly answer this question, then at least try and do so in private.
Once again, it would benefit you greatly to make yourself familiar with the official history of the topic. By not recognizing the significance of the document -- what it was, who it came from, the actions it resulted in -- you only stick your foot in your mouth and appear uninformed. Which is accurate here, obviously (since you're asking about the background and credibility of its author!), but it's still never fun to see.
Originally posted by Druscilla
Well golly gee. That's real swell for ... 60 years ago!
Would you like for a retro physician to treat you, or do surgery on you with only the medical knowledge of 60 years ago? ... Could you detail the qualifications of the person who made this statement...?
Originally posted by TeaAndStrumpets
Originally posted by draknoir2
Apologies to you both for my interjecting, but I have to ask - Exactly HOW is "ET" obviously the most straightforward explanation for the UFO phenomenon... without a shred of concrete proof?
Let's look at just some of the steps required to get from here to there:
Proof of life outside of earth.
Proof of intelligence.
[...]
Proof of travel to Earth.
Proof such travel accounts for the entirety or preponderance of UFO reports.
Now let's look at the available concrete proof:
Zip. Nada. Zero. The null set.
What amazes me is the oversimplification required to believe there to be a single explanation for the entire phenomenon, and the best "theory" being one of complete speculation. One might as well attribute it to magic.
Or, one can recognize that there are many reports of nuts and bolts craft which are seen by multiple witnesses, which are caught on radar, which appear to act and react intelligently, and which clearly outperform anything humans can manufacture ... and one can then either accept that some percentage of those reports may be true, OR completely dismiss them all as the result of some kind of, what, synchronous mass hallucination, which affects even our best sensor systems, I guess?
And what's with the following statement? You say that "Proof such travel accounts for the entirety or preponderance of UFO reports" is a necessary assumption. That's incorrect, and not at all logical, and you know it.
If there were just one case that you found 70% convincing, would that constitute evidence, in your mind? Not proof -- and I'm not sure why people get so hung up on this concept and say 'absolute proof or it's not true'!! -- but just evidence?
If there were 10 similar cases, would that be evidence?
100?
1,000?
How many are needed before we say "okay, there's some evidence, even if not proof"???
Do you know how many strong cases there are? It's subjective. But "many" captures the idea. So what are the odds that there's not a thing to even a single one of them? This is where some course work in statistics might come in handy. Especially because you must factor into that answer the diversity of the phenomenon. The level of diversity that's reported in these strongest cases -- enough difference, but not too much -- makes it very unlikely that the unidentifieds are just future identifieds waiting for a solution. In fact, the Air Force reached this very conclusion in 1953 (in SR14 ... but forgot to tell the public), so why are people still stuck on this?
Is it Oberg's little 'bundle of sticks' analogy? Because that can be easily dispensed with. It does sound cute and clever, but for it to apply, you need to first establish that you've got nothing but sticks in the bundle, i.e., nothing but future identifieds... which of course makes the 'analogy' perfectly circular, and thus invalid. So let's not have that be a barrier.
We can agree to disagree if you want, but I'll never understand the obsession with 'proof' when there is ample evidence to digest and ponder and be amazed by. 'Proof' exists only in mathematics, not in science.
Originally posted by TeaAndStrumpets
Once again, it would benefit you greatly to make yourself familiar with the official history of the topic. By not recognizing the significance of the document -- what it was, who it came from, the actions it resulted in -- you only stick your foot in your mouth and appear uninformed. Which is accurate here, obviously (since you're asking about the background and credibility of its author!), but it's still never fun to see.
Go read, Druscilla ... and if not for knowledge, then at least for the sake of your own reputation.
Lemme see. TeaAndStrumpets attempts to debate rationally and give you a heads up concerning some serious literature, yet you retort merely with ad hominems. Gee, if I didn't know any better I'd say you are a bigot. Fortunately, there are smarter men and women than you who come to different conclusions. No reason to take Druscilla seriously.
Originally posted by Druscilla
Originally posted by TeaAndStrumpets
Once again, it would benefit you greatly to make yourself familiar with the official history of the topic. By not recognizing the significance of the document -- what it was, who it came from, the actions it resulted in -- you only stick your foot in your mouth and appear uninformed. Which is accurate here, obviously (since you're asking about the background and credibility of its author!), but it's still never fun to see.
Go read, Druscilla ... and if not for knowledge, then at least for the sake of your own reputation.
Avoiding the question.
Avoiding the points made throughout the post and many other posts.
Classic.
Now you're just being defensively and embarrassingly stubborn if not willfully and militantly rejecting the objectivity of critical thinking, as well as every relevance contradicting your religious focus.
You still think that you can divide by zero.
I'm not the only one pointing this out.
If you can't see this after all the dialogue, there's really no point in discussing this further as you are either wholly lacking in the cognitive facility, and/or have prejudiced yourself in favor of a pet belief under the patently false guise of rationale, but in actuality are just another saucer-eyed moony.
It wouldn't surprise me if Whitley Strieber's Communion was part of your collection of "important relevant factual" literature.
Are you also a member of Billy Meier's FIGU organization?
Does your patron saint medallion have a picture of George Adamski?
... all rhetorical and irrelevant, but, according your arguments, the answer to these may as well be 'yes".
edit on 19-2-2013 by Druscilla because: (no reason given)
Lemme see. TeaAndStrumpets attempts to debate rationally and give you a heads up concerning some serious literature, yet you retort merely with ad hominems. Gee, if I didn't know any better I'd say you are a bigot. Fortunately, there are smarter men and women than you who come to different conclusions. No reason to take Druscilla seriously.edit on 19-2-2013 by jclmavg because: (no reason given)
Exactly. This is why (as was done decades ago) you pull in experts from various and diverse fields, so that the 'UFO' can be compared to all phenomena in each arena: astronomy, geology, atmospheric physics, psychology, and so on.
Originally posted by Harte
... Plasma balls certainly do explain some sightings. And these sightings would typically be ones that are classified as "unexplained."
Other incidents would have other explanantions, such as secret aircraft, hallucination, swamp gas, etc. These sorts would also have been classified as "unexplained," since nobody will reveal secret aircraft, hallucinations are not determinable at later times, and swamp gas must be observed at the same instant as the "sighting."
This is why scientific investigation is needed. There are many cases which defy explanation even after having been looked at by top scientists in multiple fields.
Originally posted by Harte
...There are many things that are known to certain fields of science that are unknown to Joe Blow who believes he's just seen a UFO. Plasma balls are one of these things,. Atmospheric sprites also fall into this category. So do Earth lights, etc.
That's possibly the best anti-UFO point made by any rational mind in this thread, because it reinforces the idea that we don't like to base our conclusions on a process of elimination. Those who believe there's something 'strange' behind UFOs must acknowledge that the best arguments in support of the ETH (or EDH, etc.) have this logical form: "It couldn't have been A, B, C, D, E, F or G, so it must have been H." But of course we don't know that there's not an I or a J that should've also been considered up front.
Originally posted by Harte
The point is, it is true that one can find sightings that cannot be explained away with plasma. However, that doesn't mean the sightings are unexplainable, just that they are unexplained by plasma balls.
Originally posted by TeaAndStrumpets
(Since the alien thing is silly to you, I'm assuming you think it's basically impossible, not just that it's simply unproven.)
Or, one can recognize that there are many reports of nuts and bolts craft which are seen by multiple witnesses, which are caught on radar, which appear to act and react intelligently, and which clearly outperform anything humans can manufacture ... and one can then either accept that some percentage of those reports may be true, OR completely dismiss them all as the result of some kind of, what, synchronous mass hallucination, which affects even our best sensor systems, I guess?
Originally posted by TeaAndStrumpets
And what's with the following statement? You say that "Proof such travel accounts for the entirety or preponderance of UFO reports" is a necessary assumption.
Originally posted by Brighter
By all means, let's hear your reasonable, naturalistic explanation for the entirety of the UFO phenomenon. And understand that such an explanation should be able to elegantly and easily explain all facets - descriptive and physical - of the phenomenon.
Originally posted by TeaAndStrumpets
There's more than enough even in the official documents to show that your hypotheses are very weak candidates in the race to explain the entirety of the phenomenon.
Originally posted by TeaAndStrumpets
That's incorrect, and not at all logical, and you know it.
Originally posted by draknoir2
There is no one-size-fits-all explanation for the ENTIRETY of the UFO phenomenon. It was a ridiculous demand and you know it. Each case is unique. Nor is a "theory" based upon pure conjecture and wild speculation the simplest, most elegant of explanations.
Originally posted by draknoir2
What amazes me is the oversimplification required to believe there to be a single explanation for the entire phenomenon, and the best "theory" being one of complete speculation. One might as well attribute it to magic.
Originally posted by ZetaRediculian
Aliens do sell and that does weigh in on my overall assessment of the phenomenon.
Originally posted by TeaAndStrumpets
All that's needed is for us to abandon the 20th-century assumption that 'they' cannot get here from there. Really abandon it. Because it's not a proper assumption.