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Originally posted by RussianScientists
I'm interested in seeing if Phage was right when he wrote down January 27th. Will a big earthquake strike on or very near that date?
Originally posted by whatup
reply to post by TrueAmerican
4.4 - 200km off of Tofino
Can small EQ's relieve stress to prevent large ones?
If you look at earthquake statistics in most regions of the world, including California, you will find that for every magnitude 5 earthquake, there are about 10 that have a magnitude of 4, and for each magnitude 4, there are 10 with magnitude 3. Unfortunately, this means there are not enough small earthquakes to relieve enough stress to prevent the large events. In fact, it would take 32 magnitude 5's, 1000 magnitude 4's, or 32,000 magnitude 3's to equal the energy produced in one magnitude 6 event.
Originally posted by TheWetCoast
reply to post by whatup
I thought I felt some shaking last night.But no one else in the room said anything so I thought it might just be my mind playing tricks on me/large truck passing by etc..
Little Quakes Precede A Big One?
Typically, small earthquake swarms have been considered as relieving the stress on a fault. In Italy, only 2 percent of small swarm events had preceded a bigger earthquake, which is why the magnitude-6.3 quake in L'Aquila, Italy, in 2009 came as a surprise even to the seismologists, who now face jail time for downplaying the risk.
But what if there was a way to tell when swarms indicated something more dangerous approaching? Stanford geophysics Professor Paul Segall reporting at the meeting of the American Geophysical Union in San Francisco is using computational models to search for the signature events that may precede a major earthquake. He is relying on data from the Pacific Northwest where the last earthquake to shake the region with an estimated 8.7–9.2 magnitude occurred in 1700 and produced a tsunami that reached Japan. "You have these small events every 15 months or so, and a magnitude 9 earthquake every 500 years. We need to known whether you want to raise an alert every time one of these small events happens," he says. "What our calculations have shown is that ultimately these slow events do evolve into the ultimate fast event, and it does this on a pretty short time scale."
Originally posted by violet
Originally posted by RussianScientists
I'm interested in seeing if Phage was right when he wrote down January 27th. Will a big earthquake strike on or very near that date?
I'm too late into this thread
Phage said this? I missed that.
Hope he's wrong. Was this for the same region?
It's concerning to have two 7.7's
I had my phone with me when the Alaska quake hit. I got the alert, then about half hour later my solar monitor app alerted me to solar flare activity sending off M class flares. I'm wondering if there is any correlation with both events? I tend to think there is but I really don't know.
Coordinates: 45°N 124°W The Cascadia subduction zone (also referred to as the Cascadia fault) is a subduction zone, a type of convergent plate boundary that stretches from northern Vancouver Island to northern California. It is a very long sloping fault that separates the Juan de Fuca and North America plates. Ocean floor is sinking below the continental plate offshore of Washington and Oregon. The North American Plate moves in a general southwest direction, overriding the oceanic plate. The Cascadia Subduction Zone is where the two plates meet.