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Originally posted by Brighter
No. The "Cheshire Cat Effect" properties of UFOs that Hynek was referring to are the exact properties that would lead one to abandon the ETH in favor of something like IDH/EDH.
In fact, all of the points against the ETH that he brought up in "The Case Against E.T." are what lead people to favor things like IDH/EDH.
I know that you want to think that Hynek abandoned the idea that aliens were controlling these craft, but you can't conclude this from the quotes that you are referencing that he made in his later years. All that you can conclude is that:
1) His focus shifted to an interest in the study of UFOs as opposed to questions regarding their origin.
and
2) He brought up some counterarguments to the ETH.
In neither 1) nor 2) do you see Hynek saying that he no longer believes that aliens could be controlling these craft. What you do see is someone who is more interested in raising the social perception of Ufology by turning the focus to the scientific study of what these craft are, as opposed to what might be controlling them.
IDH/EDH is just as ridiculous of a suggestion as the ETH. The entire alien belief is complete fantasy with the given hypotheses not even able to hold up to anything realistic. It's just graping at straws for those intent on this superior alien race answer.
Originally posted by Kandinsky
Strong words.
The ETH came about as a possible explanation for the appearance of UFO reports - this much we all know. We also know that serious, official and private studies were undertaken that failed to explain all of them. Thus remained a small number of good reports devoid of tags or labels with which we could all agree they were identified.
I gather from your posts that you personally are satisfied they have all been explained...fair enough. However others aren't as certain as you.
For those remaining reports that described aerial objects, multiple witnesses and so forth, it isn't 'ridiculous' to entertain ideas that they possibly came from elsewhere.
It's 'ridiculous' to sweep every last report away with the explanation that they were all delusions, misperceptions and/or aberrant technology. Likewise it's ridiculous to assert the 'aliens' explanation. Whether you like it, or not, people are entitled to speculate from the available evidence (written or personal experiences) and at least wonder at potential origins for the now rare reports of unusual objects.
In the end Hynek and Vallee tended towards a metaterrestrial explanation for UFO sightings. They didn't necessarily preclude the material substance of some UFO reports - after all they *did* have some radar/visual cases. Instead, Hynek was well aware of the 'space is very big' problem and also certain of the existence of solid objects that were not ours.
Ultimately, Hynek was spinning his wheels with metaterrestrials as much as the ETH because they both resist certain answers. If we have metas, where do they come from? If we have ETH, where do they come from? The answers invite god in the gaps thinking where suspended judgement makes more sense.
It's an unavoidable conundrum at the heart of *some* UFO sightings that an Elsewhere is awkwardly implied.
Originally posted by Ectoplasm8
Originally posted by Brighter
No. The "Cheshire Cat Effect" properties of UFOs that Hynek was referring to are the exact properties that would lead one to abandon the ETH in favor of something like IDH/EDH.
In fact, all of the points against the ETH that he brought up in "The Case Against E.T." are what lead people to favor things like IDH/EDH.
So you're saying people favor the IDH/EDH over the ETH? ...
Originally posted by Brighter
I know that you want to think that Hynek abandoned the idea that aliens were controlling these craft, but you can't conclude this from the quotes that you are referencing that he made in his later years. All that you can conclude is that:
1) His focus shifted to an interest in the study of UFOs as opposed to questions regarding their origin.
and
2) He brought up some counterarguments to the ETH.
In neither 1) nor 2) do you see Hynek saying that he no longer believes that aliens could be controlling these craft. What you do see is someone who is more interested in raising the social perception of Ufology by turning the focus to the scientific study of what these craft are, as opposed to what might be controlling them.
Originally posted by Ectoplasm8
I don't think he did, it's exactly what he said.
Originally posted by Ectoplasm8
He went further stating his last point can't be argued in favor of the ETH. How can you not understand that as Hynek abandoning the hypothesis?
Originally posted by Ectoplasm8
For the sake of your own argument, I can see why you continue to hold on to this assumption, but, in reality he clearly had changed his views.
Originally posted by Thunda
Exactly, Kandinsky- and to make assumptions about what technology or 'laws' may or may not exist to allow these 'vehicles' to move or dimension jump is also ridiculous.
I think Dr Hyneks research tells us there may be more than one phenomenon, using more than one technology. I have read of many cases where the witnesses describe an object appearing and/or disappearing in front of their eyes.
Ectoplasm, Your example of Roswell and the surviving alien is particularly specious- you are assuming that if this dimension jumping ability existed in the first place, it would be carried on the aliens person rather than being part of the 'ship' and allow them to 'jump' without it? Quite an assumption.
Originally posted by Ectoplasm8
After decades and possibly centuries of sightings, not one ounce of evidence has shown us it's a real phenomenon. Yet, many here will argue days and weeks as if the phenomenon has already been proven to be real. Arguments on hypotheses that have so many holes, they can't be taken that seriously.
Originally posted by Ectoplasm8
As I am entitled to think the views of a hypothesis are "ridiculous" as many in the scientific community do.
Originally posted by Brighter
No, not at all. I was commenting on Hynek's beliefs in particular, not those of people in general. You're misunderstanding the domain to which my comments are intended to apply, just as before you misunderstood the domain to which Hynek's comments were intended to apply. Your comments indicate that you continually overgeneralize in order to create an easy target to argue against. The real world and the opinions of mature thinkers are more granular.
Really? Where did he say "exactly" that - that it is not possible that aliens could be controlling these craft? You keep referring to the fact that he presented some counterarguments to the ETH, without appreciating the obvious fact that the ETH is not the only hypothesis that posits alien involvement with UFOs.
What statement are you referring to? Give us an exact quote.
And in any case - what difference does it make? His doubts about the ETH are just that - they aren't doubts about the IDH/EDH.
What precise assumption do you think I am holding? Are you saying that I think that Hynek believed in the ETH at the end of his life? If that's all you're saying, I'm quite comfortable with saying that he had serious doubts about the ETH, which should be clear to anyone who has read the transcript of his talk. But there are two points here:
1) Just because he expressed doubts about the ETH, it doesn't mean that he had totally "abandoned" it. In fact, if you've ever been to an academic conference, you'd know that the reason people bring up certain counterarguments is to see what kind of counterarguments to those counterarguments the audience can come up with. It's a means of using the community to extend a line of inquiry.
And more importantly:
2) Just because Hynek had doubts about the ETH (or even assuming that he actually "abandoned" it), this does not at all imply that Hynek abandoned the idea of alien involvement in form of the IDH/EDH. In fact, as I've said before, the points against the ETH that he brought up are the precise points that lead some people to favor the IDH/EDH.
You're failing to realize that Hynek's "The Case Against E.T." was only meant to argue against the idea that UFOs are physical craft, leaving open the possibility of them as multidimensional. In fact, Hynek modeled the very title of his talk after his friend Jacques Vallee's paper "The Case Against UFOs as Spacecraft". And in the first chapter of Vallee's "Messengers of Deception", entitled "The Case Against the Spacecraft", he presents some of the main points that Hynek later borrowed in his "The Case Against E.T.". All of these points were intended to show the weakness of the ETH in favor of the IDH/EDH. They were not meant to argue against the idea of alien involvement in UFOs, and were in fact used to argue for it, just in a form other than the ETH.
Originally posted by milomilo
the EDH is really just a scienctific sounding word they choose to describe paranormal phenomena like apparitions, poltergeist, abductions, UFO.
its what hynek n vallee see when they check for pattern in the UFO case database. these patterns along with the hih strangeness of UFO encounters lead them to dismiss ETH.
now justifying EDH is harder than ETH , especially to science minded people of western world. and you cannot explain paranormal stuffs with material/physical science.
if UFO researchers are only allowing physical / material science to explain UFO then they will be lead into ETH and nutsnbolt UFO hypothesis. Vallee said that modern US UFO researxh are evolving int a belief system of ETH/conspicary/roswell/dulce and they are not doing investigative field works anymore. in other words their mind already closed. These researchers also dismiss cases that got high strangeness / poltergeist / apparition / paranormal aspects. they focus on legends and word of mouth instead interviewing witnesses and doing field works, they focus on crashed UFOs, dead aliens, MJ12, dulce, goverment/CIA conspiracy..
Originally posted by Brighter
Your conception of evidence is conveniently limited. It's not the case that the only evidence is a physical specimen that can be examined in a lab. It's pretty clear that you haven't done much research into this subject, yet have no problem offering your opinions.
And it seems you yourself don't have much of any evidence to support that value judgment. In fact, there are very accomplished scientists that would disagree with you.
"First remember what the U stands for in UFO. Now, there's a fascinating frailty in the human mind. That psychologist know all about and it's called argument from ignorance...... Someone sees lights flashing in the sky. They've never seen it before. They don't understand what it is. They say 'A UFO'. The U stands for Unidentified. So they say, I don't know what it is, it must be aliens from outerspace visiting from another planet. Well, if you don't know what it is... that's where your conversation should stop.
Re: UFOs - We know, not only from research in psychology, but simple empirical evidence in the history of science, that the lowest form of evidence that exists in this world, is eyewitness testimony."
....maybe you did see visitors from another galaxy. I need more than your eyewitness testimony. In modern times, I need more than your photograph.
I'm not saying we haven't been visited, I'm saying the evidence thus far brought forth, does not satisfy the standards of evidence, that any scientist would require for any other claim that you're going to walk into the lab with.
There people that look up all the time. Like for example the community of amateur astronomers in the world........ UFO sightings are not higher among amateur astronomers than they are in the general public. In fact, they are lower.
"The probability of primitive life developing on a suitable planet may be extremely low, or it may be high, but aliens intelligent enough to beam signals into space may also be smart enough to build civilization-destroying weapons like nuclear bombs, he said. More likely, he added, is that primitive life is likely to develop, but intelligent life as we know it is exceedingly rare."
"We don't appear to have been visited by aliens," Hawking said, adding "that he discounts reports of UFOs. Why would they only appear to cranks and weirdoes?"
In the vastness of the Cosmos there must be other civilizations far older and more advanced than ours..... What counts is not what sounds plausible, not what we would like to believe, not what one or two witnesses claim, but only what is supported by hard evidence rigorously and skeptically examined. Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence.
For all I know we may be visited by a different extraterrestrial civilization every second Tuesday, but there's no support for this appealing idea. The extraordinary claims are not supported by extraordinary evidence.
But even this is to assume that scientists are somehow in a better position to pass judgment on this phenomenon.
In fact, I'd argue that scientists that dismiss this subject out of hand as 'ridiculous' are not acting as scientists when they pronounce such judgments, but expressing their more base, uneducated natures, simply parroting the status quo in order to 'fit in,' without in general having done any real research into the phenomenon.
Originally posted by Ectoplasm8
Well, I was wondering how long it would take for the "you just don't know the evidence" card would be tossed out ... Please enlighten me with just one case that shows your view of this "evidence" of alien involvement. Don't tell me to research it myself or read this or that book. You obviously think you posses the knowledge, time to back it up with your best case, or best couple of cases. In fact, take me out of it, so you don't have the excuse of not being able to prove it to me on my terms. Show the case that you think would change the average "on-the-fence" general publics view to favor alien involvement. I'm curious to see what this evidence is.
But even this is to assume that scientists are somehow in a better position to pass judgment on this phenomenon.
Originally posted by Ectoplasm8
You pretty much negated Hynek's opinion with that statement. Maybe it only works when you don't agree with a scientists view though?
In fact, I'd argue that scientists that dismiss this subject out of hand as 'ridiculous' are not acting as scientists when they pronounce such judgments, but expressing their more base, uneducated natures, simply parroting the status quo in order to 'fit in,' without in general having done any real research into the phenomenon.
Originally posted by Ectoplasm8
Or maybe because there hasn't been any real proof to back it up? It's a silly assessment to say that scientists would ignore the phenomenon for fear of ridicule. Where do you draw this assumption from? You do seem to interpret others words to fit within your frame of thinking though.